Brendan Higgins

Data Analyst @NCFEF (NCFREE)
Polls, Politics, and Elections
UNCC ‘27 ⛏️

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Democrats had a strong election down-ballot in North Carolina. They flipped 7 county commissions, and netted 29 seats. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

With Rep. Murphy (R) conceding his race, Democrats have won 10/14 of the U.S. House races in North Carolina. Hubbard (D) leads Rep. Foxx (R) by a little over 300 votes in NC-05.

If they hold that lead the NC congressional delegation will be 11-3 Democratic. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Great job by Chaz and the entire State Navigate team! They’re doing invaluable work.

[Chaz Nuttycombe @ChazNuttycombe]

🚨NEW ARTICLE🚨

@StateNavigate knocked it out of the park this year. We only missed two state legislative chambers this year and got 93-94% of all contested state legislative seat winners right.

We improved upon 2024, too.

https://t.co/r566hvSp7X

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Republicans are set to secure control of the State Senate by barely ~200 votes. That’s the difference between a Democratic trifecta and a divided government.

Republicans are at an advantage to regain the State House in 2028 if the environment is just a few points more favorable for their party . #ncpol

[Joe Bruno @JoeBrunoWSOC9]

Lenoir County uploaded its provisional ballots and Rep. Greg Murphy's (R) lead over Raymond Smith in NC-03 has been reduced to 83 votes. 5 counties remain. Lenoir was one of 3 counties where Smith performed better than Murphy. Wilson and Pitt are the other two. They haven't uploaded provisionals yet.

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Robeson's results have not yet been officially published, but Danny Britt (R) has won the race for SD-24 per VoteHub. The Republican Party barely holds on to the State Senate. #ncpol

[VoteHub @VoteHub]

NC SD 24: 301 votes from Robeson County

🔴 Britt: +155 (51.5%)
🔵 Hamm: +146 (48.5%)

Britt nets 9 votes, expanding his lead to 228. Pending a recount (which should not change the result), the GOP will barely hold the NC State Senate.

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Tim Merrick (D) leads Dane Scalise (R) in HD-20 by 101 votes.

There are roughly ~350 provisional ballots in this district, the vast majority of which were cast on election day, which broke overwhelmingly Republican.

There are scenarios in which Scalise could pull of a win here.
#ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Rep. Greg Murphy's (R) vote lead has been cut down to 83 votes (down from 233 yesterday). #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

@WhiteGeorgeMaga Thank you, too late to edit it now

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Hoke's provisionals have officially been posted to the election results. In SD-24, Britt's (R) lead has officially been narrowed to 245 votes (down from 268).

Awaiting provisionals from Scotland and Robeston, this race remains within recount territory. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

@GreeneGalv76221 Excellent point and 100% true!

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Democrats gains weren't that noticeable down-ballot in races other than those for county commission. Democrats only gained about 32 new local government positions throughout North Carolina. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Here's how control throughout North Carolina shifted at various level of local government. Not much movement for such a historic election nationwide. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Only 13 of the 100 superior court clerk races were contested. Republicans now control 57/100 positions, and Democrats 41/100 (down 1 from before the election). #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Despite big losses throughout North Carolina for Republicans, races for superior court clerk basically saw no real net-shift in power. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

Despite big losses throughout North Carolina for Republicans, races for superior court clerk basically saw no real net-shift in power. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

@MargoinWNC 62 in total.

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

All 100 NC Sheriffs were on the ballot this year, however there was little movement across the board.

Based on unofficial results, Democrats appear to have gained two positions, unaffiliated candidates three, and Republicans zero.

Four sherrifs won re-election this year as Republicans, even though they were originally elected as Democrats four years ago. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

@ml_douglas thanks for the suggestion!

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

If current results hold, there will be 66 Republican sheriffs, 29 Democratic, and 5 unaffiliated sheriffs in North Carolina. Only 38/100 sheriff elections were contested this year. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

All 100 NC Sheriffs were on the ballot this year, however there was little movement across the board.

Based on unofficial results, Democrats appear to have gained two positions, unaffiliated candidates three, and Republicans zero.

Four sherrifs won re-election this year as Republicans, even though they were originally elected as Democrats four years ago. #ncpol

[Brendan Higgins @brendanhigginsX]

@ml_douglas Wasn’t intending to, but that’s a good idea!