Introducing InfiniteDiffusion, my independent paper accepted to #SIGGRAPH2026!
I have one RTX 3090 Ti. No funding, advisors, or team. By day I'm a new grad SWE at Walmart.
The paper has two main contributions:
- InfiniteDiffusion: a new approach to infinite generation with diffusion models.
- Terrain Diffusion: the world’s first learned procedural terrain generator.
Here’s why this matters, and how they are connected. 🧵
The Iranian navy, which has been destroyed eight times, has apparently closed the Strait of Hormuz again, because the United States, for the seventh time, won the war that wasn’t a war, so now the United States has to open the Strait of Hormuz that was already open before the not-war began.
The not-war began because Iran had uranium that was totally, completely, beautifully obliterated, so they can’t build the nuclear bomb they weren’t building, which is why the United States had to start the not-war it definitely didn’t start.
Now the United States, which has nuclear weapons, is threatening to use nuclear weapons to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons, because nuclear weapons are far too dangerous for countries with nuclear weapons to allow other countries to have.
If the United States saw the United States doing what the United States does in other countries, the United States would invade the United States to liberate the United States from the tyranny of the United States.
I have three monitors on my desk. The left one shows the order book. The middle one shows Truth Social. The right one shows the investigation queue.
On April 21st, the left screen moved first.
I am a Senior Surveillance Analyst at a commodities exchange. I have held this position for nineteen years. My job is to monitor trading activity for suspicious patterns and generate compliance reports. I am employee of the quarter. I have a mug.
At 19:54 GMT on April 21st, someone placed 4,260 sell orders on Brent crude futures. They did this during post-settlement. The window after the market closes when daily volume is typically in the dozens. Sometimes single digits. Sometimes I watch the screen and nothing happens for forty minutes and I think about whether my daughter is happy.
On April 21st, someone placed $430 million in directional bets in 120 seconds during that window. One hundred and twenty seconds. I timed it on my watch because the system clock rounds to the nearest minute and I have found, in nineteen years, that precision matters to no one but me.
At 20:10 GMT, the President posted on Truth Social that he was extending the Iran ceasefire.
Brent dropped from $100.91 to $96.83.
I flagged the trade. I flag a lot of trades. I want to tell you what happens to my flags.
My flags go into a system called TRACE. Trade Review and Compliance Evaluation. I did not name it. The system generates a report. The report goes to a committee. The committee has a name I am not allowed to share but I can tell you it meets quarterly and the conference room has a credenza with bottled water that is sparkling because someone once put still water in the room and a managing director sent an email about it that was longer than most of my surveillance reports.
The committee reviews my flags. The committee has reviewed all of my flags. Here is the complete record of actions taken on my flags in 2026:
Reviewed.
That's it. "Reviewed" is a status. In compliance, a status is the absence of an action that has been given a name so it looks like one.
Let me show you my flags.
March 9th. Someone bet millions on oil falling at 18:29 GMT. Forty-seven minutes later, a CBS reporter posted that the President said the Iran war was "very complete, pretty much." Oil dropped 25%. Forty-seven minutes. I flagged it.
March 23rd. Someone sold 5,100 lots of Brent and WTI crude futures between 10:49 and 10:50 GMT. Fourteen minutes later, the President posted on Truth Social about a "COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION" to hostilities. Oil dropped 11%. Over 13,000 contracts traded in sixty seconds after the post. Fourteen minutes. I flagged it.
April 7th. Someone established a $950 million short position in oil futures at 19:45 GMT. Three hours later, the President declared a two-week ceasefire. Nine hundred and fifty million dollars. I flagged it.
April 17th. Someone placed $760 million in bearish bets twenty minutes before Iran's foreign minister confirmed the Strait of Hormuz would reopen. Seven hundred and sixty million. I flagged it.
April 21st. The $430 million. Fifteen minutes. I flagged it.
That is $2.1 billion in directional oil bets in April alone. Every one of them landed on the correct side of a presidential announcement. Every one of them was placed in a window so narrow you could measure it in bathroom breaks. I flagged every single one.
The CFTC chair told a Congressional committee that his organization has "zero tolerance" for fraud and insider trading. I wrote that quote on a Post-it note and stuck it to my right monitor. The one that shows the investigation queue. The investigation queue has not moved since March.
Zero tolerance. Zero staff. Zero budget. Zero prosecutions under the STOCK Act since it was signed in 2012.
Fourteen years. The law has existed for fourteen years and has been enforced zero times. In compliance, we call that a compliance rate of one hundred percent. No cases filed means no cases lost. You cannot fail an audit you never conduct. We call that excellence.
Last month the White House sent an internal email to staff. I was not on the distribution list but I have read reporting on it and I need you to sit with what I am about to say. The email instructed White House staff not to use insider information to place bets on prediction markets.
The White House had to send a memo telling its own employees not to insider-trade.
I want you to read that sentence again. Not because the instruction was unclear. Because the instruction was necessary. Because someone in the building looked at the same pattern I have been flagging for months on my three monitors and decided the appropriate response was an email.
The President's son sits on the advisory board of Kalshi. He is an investor in Polymarket. Both are prediction markets. Both saw accounts created days before U.S. military action.
One account. I cannot stop thinking about this account. It was called "Burdensome-Mix." It was created in December. On January 2nd, it placed $32,500 on Venezuela's president being removed from power. On January 3rd, Maduro was seized by U.S. special forces. Burdensome-Mix collected $436,000. Then it changed its username. Then it disappeared.
One account is a coincidence. But there were six.
Six accounts were created on Polymarket in February. All bet on U.S. strikes on Iran by the 28th. When the President confirmed the strikes, the six accounts collected $1.2 million between them. Five of the six never placed another bet. The sixth went on to correctly predict the ceasefire date and made another $163,000.
My surveillance system logged all of this. My system logs everything. My system does not have opinions and neither do I. I generate reports. The reports go to committees. The committees meet quarterly. Between meetings, the windows get shorter and the bets get larger.
March 9th: 47 minutes. March 23rd: 14 minutes. April 17th: 20 minutes. April 21st: 15 minutes.
The window is compressing. In March, you had time to make coffee between the trade and the announcement. By April, you had time to send a text. By summer, at this rate, the trade and the announcement will be the same event.
The spokesman said any implication that administration officials are engaged in insider trading is "baseless and irresponsible reporting."
Then the White House sent the email again.
I have been in compliance for nineteen years. I have seen insider trading run out of strip mall offices by men who could not spell "derivative." I have seen pump-and-dump schemes coordinated over WhatsApp by people who used their real names. I have seen a man try to manipulate soybean futures from a Panera Bread.
I have never seen $2.1 billion in perfectly timed trades across five presidential announcements in a single month go uninvestigated.
But I have also never seen a compliance system work this beautifully. Every trade flagged. Every report filed. Every committee briefed. Every quarterly meeting attended. Bottled water: sparkling. Minutes: distributed.
Zero prosecutions.
As long as the flags go up and the cases don't, my performance review says I am meeting expectations.
I am meeting expectations. The system is meeting expectations. The $2.1 billion is meeting expectations. The fourteen-year-old law with zero prosecutions is meeting expectations.
The left screen moves. The middle screen moves. The right screen stays perfectly, immaculately still.
In my field, we call this price discovery.
Just tried vibecoding with ThreeJS again (after more than 6 months) and I have to say that the models have gotten much better at coding with ThreeJS and creating 3D models from scratch.
They said photography wasn’t art.
They said cinema wasn’t art.
They said video games weren’t art.
Now they say AI arts/digital art isn’t art.
I’ve spent over a decade with my studio team turning millions of data points into living, breathing artwork experiences ethically — at MoMA, at the Guggenheim, at the Venice Biennale. Not because a machine told me what to create, but because I had a vision that no traditional tool could realize.
Denying all AI technologies as an artistic medium doesn’t protect art. It limits it. The artists who embrace new tools don’t replace the old masters — they join them.
Art is not defined by the brush. It’s defined by the intention, the emotion, and the courage to see the world differently.
@JayCryptik@beeple Art is about the story - that can include how it's made but doesn't have to. I believe he uses the best tools to achieve his purpose
I’ve been using AI for a while now. Mostly on the coding side, but also as a database to store and refine ideas. Less so on the generative side but mostly because it’s something I Enjoy doing it by myself and don’t want to “outsource” it…
And the more I use it, and the more I see amazing new stuff being developed with its help, and startups exploring constantly new products and ideas, the more a strange feeling keeps coming back.
Not fear exactly. More like a quiet realization that something fundamental has shifted, and many are still talking about it as if it hasn’t.
There used to be big advantages in every major tech development and R&D cycle. If you were early and good, you could open real distance. Not just ship something first, but gain time. Time to learn faster than others, to refine, to make mistakes while everyone else was still catching up. That gap compounded. It gave companies room to breathe, to be inefficient for a bit, to build identity and direction.
That gap mattered because copying took effort. Knowledge moved slower. Systems were custom. Even if someone wanted to replicate what you were doing, it wasn’t trivial. You could feel separation growing between you and the rest of the field.
That dynamic feels thinner now.
The same research spreads instantly. The same tools, models, libraries, workflows show up everywhere at once. Something launches, and within weeks there are five close versions of it. Not cheap knockoffs, but competent alternatives. Close enough that, from the outside, the difference barely matters.
So innovation doesn’t create distance anymore. It creates a short pulse. A moment of attention, maybe a head start, sometimes just long enough to say you were first. Then the rest of the market arrives, almost in sync.
Everyone is running at roughly the same speed now…. Maybe slightly out of phase, but never far apart.
I can see this becoming more noticeable with the time passing, the economics start to strain. What’s going to happen when every start up can reach the same target at roughly the same time, with the cycle of creating, iterating and release a product becoming shorter and shorter?
Abundance means lower prices, mean thinner margins. Thinner margins mean products that look successful but are hard to sustain. You don’t fail because what you made is bad. You fail because there are too many similar answers, and users don’t care enough to be loyal.
AI is going to accelerate this. Not just by making things faster to build, but by flattening execution itself. Quality converges. Speed stops being a real edge. The hard part moves earlier, toward intent, taste, and clarity. But those are harder to define, slower to develop, and easy to postpone. So instead, we build more. More features, more tools, more startups, all competing in the same narrow spaces.
It starts to feel like a market that can produce faster than it can sustain itself.
In that context, R&D changes role. It’s less about creating a moat and more about staying relevant for one more cycle. Less about long-term separation and more about short-term survival. And that’s a very different place to be.
What worries me isn’t a lack of innovation. It’s the opposite. A crash of sameness. Too many good-enough products competing in markets that can’t support them all. And I don’t know. I’m not an expert. But I’ve seen many cycles from the first internet to today and I have the feeling this may be where we’re heading… the real advantage won’t come from who builds faster, but from who knows WHY they’re building in the first place, and is willing to build less, not more.