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posting a few write ups next, B2B sweeps?
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Damian Lillard O 6.5 Astโ
14-5 L4 Days (so far)
6-0 L6 Plays
1-0 Today
Early 3Q Cash! WE LOVE THAT
Top Assist Proj Record: 45-24๐ฅ
Like if you tailedโค๏ธ
Tyus Jones O 7.5 Assists
-113 BetRivers | 1.13u
You guys know how hard it is for me to bet on Wizards players so you know I liked this
Like if tailing | Write-Up โฌ๏ธ
Tyus Jones just played the, 3 weeks ago and had 17 potential assists with 13 assists, and he has only been trending up since
Since the trade he has 31+ minutes in all 4 games and averaging 35 minutes and 22 potential assists average
In games with 30+ minutes he has 9+ in 9/L10 and the 1 miss was vs MIN, probably the worst Assist matchup there is
With Bagley on the court, Tyus Jones averages 11.19 assists per 36 minutes in 141 minutes.
As for the matchup against Denver, it is nothing great but nothing bad either, so knowing that and knowing the volume he has had, I am happy with that.
Comparison of full season data to L4:
Passes made: 53 to 67
Potential assists: 11.8 to 22
Adjusted Ast: 8.3 to 13.8
4 games is a small sample size, but the gap is absolutely huge. Even looking at the last month, we see 16 pAST, 11.4 adjusted assists and 59 passes made. The volume was already trending up, and now it is sky high.
For context, here is a comparison of his L4 to Haliburton's season numbers
Haliburton: 69 passes, 19.5 pAST, 14.1 Adj Ast
Tyus: 67 Passes, 22 pAST, 13.8 Adj Ast
Now, what would you do if Hali had a 7.5 assist line? This is of course not the same since the sample size is so small, but just to give context on how mispriced this line is given the volume we have seen recently