briermarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket, side-by-side. Spot the price gaps.

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:01am ET):

Texas Senate winner? — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? — Ken Paxton

Kalshi 42¢ · Polymarket 38¢
Kalshi prices this 4.0pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/B8fQxkLgim

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:01pm ET):

Michigan Senate winner? — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan? — Mike Rogers

Kalshi 30¢ · Polymarket 26¢
Kalshi prices this 4.0pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/5GdTpxgpmr

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:00am ET):

Will Israel and Qatar normalize relations before 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi 3¢ · Polymarket 11¢
Kalshi prices this 7.8pp lower than Polymarket.

https://t.co/MYDblLw8Yb

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:01am ET):

Atlanta vs New York City — New York City wins

Kalshi 30¢ · Polymarket 56¢
Kalshi prices this 26.0pp lower than Polymarket.

https://t.co/fH2lxhAcdB

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:02pm ET):

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Will Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI in before 2027?

Kalshi 20¢ · Polymarket 16¢
Kalshi prices this 4.5pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/NcPAdUNhul

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:04am ET):

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Kalshi 16¢ · Polymarket 18¢
Kalshi prices this 2.7pp lower than Polymarket.

https://t.co/EJU2OsyT4f

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:02pm ET):

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026?

Kalshi 30¢ · Polymarket 34¢
Kalshi prices this 4.0pp lower than Polymarket.

https://t.co/Yl2pM9cKdS

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:03am ET):

Who will be arrested in 2026? — Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before Jan 2027?

Kalshi 5¢ · Polymarket 3¢
Kalshi prices this 2.0pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/azWldCYH9S

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:01pm ET):

Fed rate cut before 2027? — Will Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027? — Cuts

Kalshi 5¢ · Polymarket 3¢
Kalshi prices this 2.7pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/Dxe0EMD14r

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:01pm ET):

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Kalshi 14¢ · Polymarket 16¢
Kalshi prices this 2.4pp lower than Polymarket.

https://t.co/x5gC49c8rt

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:00am ET):

#1 searched person on Google in 2026 — Will Donald Trump be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?

Kalshi 8¢ · Polymarket 4¢
Kalshi prices this 3.0pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/f6XW01CyW3

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:03pm ET):

Texas Senate winner? — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas? — Ken Paxton

Kalshi 48¢ · Polymarket 44¢
Kalshi prices this 4.0pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/B8fQxkLgim

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:03am ET):

State of the economy at the end of 2026? — Overheating

Kalshi 71¢ · Polymarket 78¢
Kalshi prices this 7.2pp lower than Polymarket.

https://t.co/tQX3bls2Jn

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:04pm ET):

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 — Will Bank of Canada overnight rate on December 31, 2026 be exactly 2.25%?

Kalshi 49¢ · Polymarket 64¢
Kalshi prices this 15.0pp lower than Polymarket.

https://t.co/HCrE6OQNOU

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:03am ET):

Who will be arrested in 2026? — Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before Jan 2027?

Kalshi 12¢ · Polymarket 8¢
Kalshi prices this 3.3pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/usFvvFf5zQ

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:03pm ET):

Maine Senate winner? — Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine? — Susan Collins

Kalshi 34¢ · Polymarket 30¢
Kalshi prices this 4.0pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/RptWnuF6rA

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:04am ET):

Gianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026 — Will Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026? — Yes

Kalshi 18¢ · Polymarket 9¢
Kalshi prices this 9.0pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/lbNNyVVXek

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:05pm ET):

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Kalshi 16¢ · Polymarket 19¢
Kalshi prices this 3.2pp lower than Polymarket.

https://t.co/EJU2OsyT4f

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 9:01am ET):

Pro Football #1 Overall Pick in 2027 — Who will be picked 1st in the Pro Football Draft? — Arch Manning

Kalshi 24¢ · Polymarket 29¢
Kalshi prices this 4.0pp lower than Polymarket.

https://t.co/WqJ6R9WE8b

[briermarkets @briermarkets]

Biggest dislocation we're seeing (as of 5:01pm ET):

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? — Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court before Jan…

Kalshi 46¢ · Polymarket 34¢
Kalshi prices this 11.5pp higher than Polymarket.

https://t.co/5nlmNaNSj2