chief of overthinking

cooking unrealised profits since 2021
my telegram for cooperation: @abclogic

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$TEL has spent almost four years trading in the shadows.

While most traders moved on to newer narratives

the chart kept quietly building one of the largest accumulation structures in its history.

Now the roadmap is becoming very clear.

The first major objective sits at 0.012555.

This level marked one of the most important local peaks during the previous recovery cycle and represents the first real test for the current trend.

Reclaiming it would signal that buyers are no longer trading a relief bounce.

They would be building a genuine long-term breakout structure.

The second target stands at 0.036269.

This zone acted as a major distribution area during the 2021 cycle, where aggressive selling repeatedly overwhelmed demand.

Breaking through it would completely change market psychology.

At that point, $TEL would no longer be viewed as a forgotten altcoin.

It would become one of the strongest recovery charts in the market.

The final target sits at 0.064894.

This is the level where previous euphoric buying reached its peak before the long bear market began.

Historically, these old cycle highs attract liquidity like a magnet once momentum returns.

The progression is straightforward:

0.012555 - First Target

The level that confirms a new bullish structure.

0.036269 - Second Target

A major historical resistance and the point where sentiment could shift dramatically.

0.064894 - Third Target

The ultimate recovery objective and the level that would put $TEL back on every watchlist.

What makes this setup interesting is how long the market has ignored it.

The longer an asset spends building a base, the more explosive the move can become once demand returns.

Most traders only notice the trend after the first big breakout.

The chart suggests $TEL may still be in the stage where patience is rewarded.

First reclaim Target 1.

Then attack Target 2.

And if momentum keeps building, the path toward Target 3 becomes surprisingly realistic.

Sometimes the biggest moves come from the coins nobody is talking about.

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$XLM is one of those charts that looks boring… right before it ruins everyone’s bear thesis

Back in 2018, $XLM topped around the first target zone.

In 2021, it ran straight into the second target zone.

Now look where we are.

The market spent years building pressure like a shaken soda can nobody wanted to open.

And here’s the part people keep missing:

Every cycle, Stellar doesn’t just revisit old levels.

It overshoots them.

A lot.

Target 1 was the 2018 peak.

Target 2 was the 2021 peak.

Target 3 sits around the $1.8-$2 area.

If history keeps rhyming, XLM isn’t trying to get back to old highs.

It’s trying to create new ones.

The funny thing?

At $0.20, nobody cares.

At $1, crypto Twitter will suddenly discover that Stellar exists.

At $2, you’ll start seeing:

“Should I buy XLM here?”

from the same people who ignored it at twenty cents.

Crypto is basically a never-ending remake with different actors.

$XLM looks like it’s following the same staircase it’s followed for years.

And if that trendline keeps doing its job…

The next stop could make a lot of people wish they paid attention sooner

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

Nobody talks about $TEL

Which is exactly why it’s interesting

The chart has spent years doing absolutely nothing

And crypto traders hate one thing more than losing money:

Being bored

Meanwhile, the roadmap on the chart is sitting right there:

🎯 $0.0127
🎯 $0.0361
🎯 $0.0648

From current levels, those targets aren’t small moves

They’re the kind of moves that turn “I’ll buy later” into “why didn’t I buy earlier?”

Most people are waiting for confirmation

The market usually rewards the people who arrive before the crowd, not after it

$TEL is still trading like nobody cares

Those are often the dangerous ones

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$INJ is sitting in the same zone where every major expansion phase has started

And if history repeats, the next move could be much larger than most traders expect

Most people focus on where Injective traded in the past

What matters now is where price repeatedly found resistance during previous bull market advances

The chart highlights three major targets:

Target 1 - $25.05
Target 2 - $35.09
Target 3 - $53.04

These levels are not arbitrary

Each one comes directly from historical market reactions where bullish momentum stalled and sellers stepped in aggressively

What’s interesting is that $INJ is currently trading near the same accumulation zone that preceded previous explosive rallies

Similar structures appeared before the 2021 breakout

Similar structures appeared before the 2023–2024 expansion

Now price is once again building from a deeply discounted area while the higher resistance levels remain untouched

The first major objective sits near $25.05

Above that, the next significant resistance zone comes in around $35.09

That’s an area where the market experienced a powerful rejection during the last cycle

But the level that stands out most is $53.04

This is one of the most important resistance zones on the entire chart

It’s the area where a major distribution phase began after Injective’s historic rally

Markets often revisit the levels that previously defined trend reversals

And when a multi-year base begins expanding, those old resistance zones tend to become magnets for price

The roadmap is clear:

$25 → $35 → $53

If momentum continues building and buyers maintain control of the current structure

$INJ could be setting up for another major expansion cycle

The biggest rallies often begin when nobody is paying attention

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$INJ is sitting in the exact same pump zone that launched the last two cycles

Pump Zone 1 ➜ $25

Pump Zone 2 ➜ $55

Now Pump Zone 3 has formed at the same long-term support trendline

The pattern is almost identical:

Accumulation at the base

Explosive breakout

Vertical expansion to the next target

If history keeps rhyming, the next major move isn’t measured in percentages

It’s measured in multiples

Target 1: ~$25
Target 2: ~$55
Target 3: ~$80+

Most traders see a dead chart

I see $INJ back in the same launch zone that produced every major rally on this chart

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$SIREN doesn’t have years of history

That’s exactly why this chart is interesting

Most traders look at new tokens and see a lack of data

This chart looks at $SIREN and sees a series of lower highs getting compressed into a single point

Target 3 → $3.15
Target 2 → $2.23
Target 1 → $1.37

Those levels aren’t random

They’re the exact zones where previous rallies lost momentum

Now price is sitting inside what the chart calls the Pump Zone

The area where the descending structure finally runs out of room

Think of it like a spring

Every rejection pushed the ceiling lower

Every month reduced volatility

Every month tightened the range

Eventually compression stops creating pressure

It releases it

If that release happens, the first objective isn’t a new all-time high

It’s simply reclaiming the levels that once acted as ceilings

And for a small-cap chart like $SIREN, reclaiming old ceilings can be where the real move begins

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

If there’s one chart that keeps getting more interesting, it’s solana:rndrizKT3MK1iimdxRdWabcF7Zg7AR5T4nud4EkHBof

Look at the pattern

Every major cycle peak has respected the same rising trajectory

Target 1 → ~$8
Target 2 → ~$14
Target 3 → ~$21

That’s not random

Each expansion pushed into a higher zone than the previous one

Not equal highs

Higher highs

That’s what strong long-term trends look like

Right now the market is sitting near the same area where previous major moves began

The chart isn’t screaming for attention yet

It’s quietly setting up another test of that ascending structure

And if history repeats, the next destination isn’t where solana:rndrizKT3MK1iimdxRdWabcF7Zg7AR5T4nud4EkHBof was

It’s where solana:rndrizKT3MK1iimdxRdWabcF7Zg7AR5T4nud4EkHBof has never traded before

Most people see a chart that’s down from its highs

I see a chart that has spent years building a staircase higher

The only question is whether Target 3 becomes resistance…

or the launchpad for the next leg up

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$NEAR spent almost 4 years building one MASSIVE base

The entire structure points back to the same zone:

Pump Zone: $1.19

Target 1: $8.84

Target 2: $20.47

What catches my eye is how every major cycle peak lines up with these levels

The 2022 top created Target 2

The 2024 rally stalled almost exactly where Target 1 sits today

And now $NEAR is back at the same launch area where previous impulsive moves started

If history decides to rhyme one more time, this chart isn’t talking about a move to $5 or $10

It’s talking about a return to levels most people stopped believing were possible

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$LUNC

This is the kind of chart that makes people uncomfortable

Not because it’s weak

Because it’s already proving them wrong

For years, $LUNC lived under a massive ceiling while everyone called it dead

Then price exploded out of the breakout zone and started doing something even more important: turning old resistance into support

The first major level around 0.00028 gave way

Now price is attacking the final historical barrier near 0.00065

The same zone that rejected every rally attempt before

And here’s what catches my attention:

The move into resistance isn’t happening after a vertical spike

It’s happening after months of grinding higher, building structure, and absorbing supply along the way

That’s usually how sustainable trends develop

Most traders are still anchored to what happened to $LUNC years ago

The chart only cares about what’s happening now

And right now, it’s sitting one breakout away from revisiting levels that many thought it would never see again

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$INJ looked exhausted after the 2024–2025 distribution phase

Momentum faded

Buyers disappeared

Most traders stopped treating it like a market leader

But the current structure is rebuilding from the exact area where previous expansions began

What makes this setup interesting:

Pump Level marks the first major liquidity zone

Above that sits the “New Life” level where trend perception starts to change

The ATH level remains the ultimate magnet if the cycle fully develops

Price is still trading far below the zones that defined the previous bull market

The strongest leaders often spend months looking forgotten before the next expansion phase begins

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$DASH is quietly building one of the strongest long-term recovery structures among legacy cryptocurrencies

After years of sideways accumulation and fading market attention, the chart is now revisiting the same historical levels that defined the previous bull cycle

What’s important here is that each target comes directly from major reaction zones where price previously found support, resistance, or explosive momentum

The first major target sits at $155.85

This was a crucial level during the 2021 cycle and acted as a major battleground between buyers and sellers

Reclaiming it would confirm that $DASH has transitioned from accumulation into a true expansion phase

For many market participants, this is where the asset would return to relevance

The second target is located near $283.62

This area represents one of the strongest historical resistance zones on the chart

During the previous cycle, it served as a key pivot before the move toward the highs

If $DASH can break above and hold this level, it would signal a complete change in long-term market structure and likely attract significantly more attention from investors

The final target stands at $474.64

This level marks the upper resistance zone from the last major bull run and represents the ultimate objective of the recovery structure

A move into this area would mean $DASH has recovered a substantial portion of its multi-year bear market losses and re-established itself as a major player among older crypto assets

The roadmap is simple:

$155.85 - First breakout target

The level that confirms bullish momentum is returning

$283.62 - Major resistance zone

A break above here would validate the larger recovery thesis

$474.64 - Long-term cycle target

The area where $DASH would approach its former market strength

What makes this setup particularly interesting is that $DASH has spent several years building a base while most traders focused on newer narratives

Historically, some of the strongest percentage moves occur when forgotten assets finally break out of long accumulation ranges

The longer the compression, the more explosive the expansion can become

If momentum continues to build, the path toward $155 → $283 → $474 becomes one of the clearest long-term structures currently visible on the chart

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$NEAR is sitting at a level that has historically marked the beginning of its strongest expansions

The first target is around $3.25

The current pump level and the closest major resistance

This area acted as a turning point during previous cycles, making it the first checkpoint for bullish momentum

A clean break above it would signal that buyers are taking control again after a long accumulation phase

The second target sits near $8.96

This is where $NEAR previously transitioned from consolidation into a powerful trend

Reclaiming this zone would completely change market sentiment and likely attract a wave of new participants who have been waiting for confirmation of strength

The third and most important target is around $20.66

Close to the previous cycle’s ATH zone

This level represents the final major resistance before price enters true price discovery territory again

Historically, once assets revisit these areas, volatility and momentum tend to increase dramatically

What’s interesting is the structure itself

After spending years correcting from the 2022 highs, $NEAR has built a broad base while most market participants lost interest

These long accumulation periods often create the foundation for the largest moves because supply gradually transfers from weak hands to long-term holders

If the bullish scenario plays out, the roadmap is straightforward:

$3.25 - first breakout confirmation
$8.96 - trend reversal fully confirmed
$20.66 - return to major cycle highs

For many traders, the real story isn’t the targets themselves

It’s that $NEAR is approaching the same zones where previous multi-hundred-percent moves began

The market has spent years compressing

Now it’s approaching the point where expansion becomes possible again

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$ZEC spent years trapped below the same major resistance zones while most of the market ignored it

Now the chart is doing something completely different

Price reclaimed every historical support level one by one

And each reaction from support created a stronger expansion than the previous move

The structure no longer looks like a dead coin

It looks like a long-term accumulation finally transitioning into a momentum phase

What stands out here:

Multi-year base already formed

Strong reaction from the $212 support zone

Previous resistance levels around $303 and $370 flipped into acceptance areas

Weekly candles are expanding vertically with almost no pullbacks

The interesting part is that $ZEC still hasn’t revisited the true euphoric zone from prior cycles

Most traders focus on coins already trending on social media

Meanwhile older large-cap names quietly build the cleanest macro reversals

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$CHZ spent almost 3 years in a slow bleed while attention rotated into newer coins and faster narratives

Most traders stopped watching it completely

But the weekly structure is starting to change

Price is now approaching the first major historical resistance after a long accumulation phase

And every reclaim since the bottom has happened with stronger momentum than the previous move

What makes this chart interesting:

Target 1 hasn’t been reached yet

The move toward it already triggered expansion volume

Above that, liquidity opens toward the higher cycle levels

The entire structure still looks early compared to previous runs

The biggest moves usually begin when a chart still looks “forgotten” to most of the market

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$TEL spent years fading into irrelevance while MOST of the market moved on

Now price is reclaiming historical breakout levels one by one

And the structure looks almost identical to the early stages of previous parabolic expansions

What stands out on the weekly chart:

Target 1 already reclaimed

Target 2 sits near the next major liquidity zone

Target 3 aligns with the original cycle resistance

The important part isn’t the targets themselves

It’s the fact that momentum returned after a multi-year accumulation phase while sentiment is still extremely low

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$NEAR spent almost 3 years under resistance

Charts that survive that long usually don’t stay quiet forever

After the 2021 hype cycle, price spent years bleeding and destroying sentiment

Now the chart is approaching the levels that historically change everything:

$9 → trend reversal confirmation
$20+ → full return to ATH territory

The interesting part is how long $NEAR has been building a base under resistance

That usually matters more than short-term volatility

Because when a market spends years compressing under major supply, the breakout can become explosive once liquidity returns

Most people won’t care until price is already trading much higher

But structurally, this is the type of chart that can completely change character after reclaiming the first major level

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$RENDER still has one of the strongest AI narratives in crypto

And the chart is starting to reflect it again

After a brutal reset from the highs, price is now sitting near long-term accumulation levels while reclaiming previous support zones

The roadmap on this structure is pretty clear:

~$5.5 → first major reclaim
~$11.8 → expansion zone
~$13.8+ → macro breakout territory

What makes $RENDER different is that the narrative never really disappeared

AI demand kept growing even while the chart cooled off

That’s usually what strong cycle leaders look like before the next expansion phase begins

Technically this setup resembles:

long-term accumulation

seller exhaustion

support stabilization

early trend reversal structure

Once momentum returns to AI-related assets, $RENDER is one of the first charts traders will start watching again

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$NEAR holders checking hotel balconies while waiting for TARGET 2 😭

But structurally this chart is actually becoming very interesting

After a full multi-year reset, $NEAR is starting to print the kind of accumulation base that strong altcoins form before trend reversals

The important levels are obvious:

~$8 → first major reclaim
~$20 → macro resistance / TARGET 2
above that = full expansion territory

What makes $NEAR dangerous is the combination of:

AI narrative exposure

strong ecosystem activity

one of the cleaner long-term chart structures in crypto

Most people only notice these charts after they already move 300–500%

Right now it still looks “dead” to the majority

That’s usually where the biggest reversals begin

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$ASTER has the type of structure traders hunt for before explosive repricing phases

The entire chart is compressing inside a massive falling wedge while volatility keeps shrinking near the lows

That’s important because:

falling wedges after long downtrends often resolve violently upward once resistance breaks

The current zone around the wedge apex is the decision point

You can see how price stopped making meaningful lower lows while pressure from sellers weakened over time

That usually signals exhaustion, not strength

The breakout trigger here is psychological as much as technical

Once price escapes the wedge with volume, the market narrative changes instantly:

from “dead launch chart” → “new momentum breakout”

And because $ASTER is still relatively early in price discovery, upside moves can become irrational very quickly if liquidity rotates in

The ATH area near $3 becomes the magnet once momentum confirms

But the real signal is whether the current compression resolves upward with sustained closes outside the structure

That’s where trend acceleration normally begins

[chief of overthinking @brilliantpanicc]

$ONDO is starting to print something very different from the earlier structure

Before, every rally created a lower high and immediately rolled over

Now price is compressing near the lows while holding a higher base

That’s usually how breakout structures begin

The interesting part is the geometry on this chart:

descending resistance getting weaker
flat accumulation forming underneath
then a sharp expansion attempt out of the range

That breakout near the $0.45–0.50 area matters a lot because it’s the first time buyers showed real aggression after months of slow bleed

And once charts like this escape long compression zones, they often move much faster than expected because there’s very little resistance overhead

The market still sees $ONDO as “cheap because it dumped”

But structurally, this looks closer to a transition from distribution → accumulation → expansion

If RWA narratives stay strong, $ONDO could easily become one of the charts people wish they paid attention to earlier