TheCryptoSensei

Trading transparency, not signals.
My setups. My AI. My method.
#SenseiMethod v1.0 in progress
All views my own. NFA

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@boardyai building private AI systems for teams that need sensitive data to stay on-device and off third-party platforms. would love in on Boardy Pro

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@Larktrades It's been a fun 24 hours. Where now? What range do you think we're playing in?

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@DefiWimar This is stupid.
🎟️ 15-bit: Like guessing a number between 1 and 32,768.

🌌 256-bit: Like winning the Powerball jackpot 9 times in a row. Every. Single. Time.

📉 #Crypto #QuantumComputing #CyberSecurity

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

gambling with this: https://t.co/zFq4vgcyJU

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@undercoverwhale Gm

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@sovereignSik21M @KillaXBT Look at his previous post. He opened shorts recently

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@corleonescrypto ETH

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@binance Risk First

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@JamesEastonUK Agreed

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@carry_negative @KillaXBT Ouch. The time to short was when @KillaXBT said he was going short. Hopefully your leverage is low. We will go under that but maybe not before going higher.

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

Here you go.

[BACH @CyclesWithBach]

$ETH

Boombust framework telling us to be bullish here🚀

First Bull signal triggered since the Q1 meltdown

Yellow = Caution

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

Now here's one way of looking at it....Top comes in Q1?

[mario @superfinancebro]

@AshCrypto Maybe we stop comparing to other cycles, as it seems to be misleading many folks into thinking this cycle must repeat or “rhyme” … people think they know what rhyming is.. and if they did, they would see we are right on track!

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

Well worth a read.

[The Bitcoin Strategy @ThisiswhyweBTC]

Fact Check: NO, $mstr Strategy Is Not Being Delisted From the Nasdaq 100 or Blocked From S&P 500 Eligibility

A viral post is claiming that MicroStrategy (“Strategy”) is being removed from the Nasdaq-100 and MSCI USA indexes.
Here’s the truth:
⸻
1. MSCI ≠ Nasdaq 100 ≠ S&P 500

These are three completely separate index systems with zero overlap in eligibility rules.

• MSCI USA

A global benchmarking index.
Removing a company from MSCI has no effect on an exchange listing or on S&P/Nasdaq eligibility.

• Nasdaq 100

MicroStrategy is still included and is not being delisted.
Nasdaq-100 inclusion depends on market cap and liquidity — not MSCI indexes.

• S&P 500

Eligibility requires:
•Positive GAAP earnings (TTM)
•Adequate liquidity
•U.S. domicile
•Market cap above the threshold
•Public float

MSCI membership is not an S&P 500 requirement.

⸻

2. Will this hurt S&P 500 chances?

Absolutely not.
The S&P 500 committee does not use MSCI indexes in any part of its methodology.

⸻

3. How much MSCI-linked capital is in MSTR?

Relatively little.

Based on index fund holdings:

Estimated MSCI-linked ownership:

~$150M – $350M in total.

For a company with a ~$40B market cap, MSCI flows are rounding error compared to:
•Bitcoin price
•NAV premium/discount
•Options markets
•Convertible note issuance
•Institutional BTC adoption

Bitcoin moves MSTR. MSCI barely registers.

⸻

3. Bottom Line

Removing MicroStrategy from MSCI USA (if it occurs) has:
•No effect on Nasdaq-100
•No effect on S&P 500 eligibility
•Minimal effect on the share price
•Zero impact on Bitcoin fundamentals or MSTR’s long-term strategy

The panic is manufactured.
The facts are clear.

@saylor and @Strategy will continue it’s march towards 1M+ BTC and nothing can stop this.
Bitcoin will continue its march towards $1M+ and nothing can stop this.

@Strategy WILL have a Trillion dollar balance sheet of Bitcoin by 2035 st the latest- and there’s nothing anyone can do about it. If a troll or engagement farmer on social media says otherwise they have simply not done the math or their hw.

Even the AI is Bullish on MSTr giving it greater than 85% chance of reaching 1m BTC by 2035, and giving Bitcoin greater than 85% odds of touching $1m a coin by 2035.

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

@undercoverwhale Wise words Dylan.

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

Action plan:
• DCA in the $80K–$84K zone
• Avoid leverage in this vol
• Use a 3–6 month horizon (rate cuts likely return in Q1)
• Watch whale activity: slowdown = base forming

This isn’t 2022.
Institutional adoption is real.
This correction is healthy after the recent ATH.

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

BTC at $83K, down from $116K. That's a 25%+ correction.

Here’s my take on what the data actually says 👇

[TheCryptoSensei @btc_rockets]

The read:
This looks more like an accumulation zone than a macro top.
Whales + institutions buying while retail panics has historically marked local bottoms.

Likely bottom: $80.4k (with possible wick lower).