Eight days. Five bond deals. One graph.
The shortest path from a chat window to a credit default swap is four edges.
New: Four Hops to a Default Swap
https://t.co/PwVKX8inrz
Using X from 8 years
Still didn’t figure out it can make you meet a lot of incredible person
When I want to search some news it is my first location where to look
Ah, you can get also a screenshot of a post using the copy button 🤝
This is not a “small model vs big model” story.
This is the first clear signal that the cost curve just bent harder than most people are pricing.
Full breakdown of the numbers (HLE-Diamond, Vals, Terminal-Bench, legal/tax splits) in the next posts.
Stop scrolling.
Meta just released a model that matches DeepSeek’s performance
at 1/4 the cost
and they refuse to publish the parameter count or architecture.
Ember sits inside the error bars of a 552B sparse MoE
while remaining the cheapest model on the entire agentic index.
Stop scrolling
That’s the magic every one is looking for
We’ve investigated how the magic persuasion of the social algorithms manipulate your brain becoming part of your most hidden thoughts
+1.5k articles, blogs and real life stories collected
What are they saying ?
On HLE-Diamond, Artificial Analysis has them tied: DeepSeek 25.3% (34.8 reasoning, 15.8 knowledge), Ember 25.1% (36.6, 13.6).
A 552B sparse MoE and Meta's smallest model land in the same place. Ember wins reasoning by 1.8; DeepSeek wins knowledge by 2.2.
Meta's Muse Ember is rhe cheapest model on Val's agentic index: 60.48% at $0.15 per test, 15 min.
Ember is 0.78 behind Deepseek V4.1 Flash - inside the error bars - at a quarter od Deepseek's cost. 1.75 ahead of Haiku 5.5 at 1/21 the cost. 8.16 ahead of GPT-6 Luna at a third.
On Vals' components, it's not "DeepSeek is smarter."
Ember wins legal (75.69 vs 71.86), Harvey's legal agent benchmark (25.0 vs 14.2), and Terminal-Bench 4.0 (39.4 vs 31.8). DeepSeek wins tax (44.4 vs 38.2) and Vibe Code (87.7 vs 83.7). Finance ties: 60.91 vs 60.89.
The AI credit web is not a chain. It is a set of cycles.
OpenAI→Oracle $300bn. Microsoft→OpenAI $138bn vs OpenAI→Microsoft $250bn. CoreWeave↔Nvidia.
The gross arrows are ~$1.9tn. The net delta is the missing number.
https://t.co/PwVKX8hPC1
CoreWeave sent a letter to Texas Governor-elect Gina Hinojosa seeking to work with her incoming administration on present and future data center projects in the state https://t.co/CurIfjlj1R
HLE-Diamond's leaderboard lists nine models. TwIL-8B is not one of them.
That is the other half of fresh: the test is new enough, and expensive enough, that the small model is often not in the room.
Full audit: https://t.co/bDkitfUKgM
Small models look caught up on the benchmarks that stopped moving. Not the new ones.
TwIL-8B's model card: 98.2 on MATH-500, 12.6 on Humanity's Last Exam. Frontier: 45.8–48.7.
Same 8.8B model. One test is saturated. One is not.
HLE-Diamond (Sept 2026) splits 1,000 questions into 500 reasoning, 500 knowledge.
Best model on it, no tools: 74.2% reasoning, 45.6% knowledge.
The wall is the knowledge half: it scales with parameters more than with post-training.