David Segovia

Futures Trader : Learning the Strat: Personal Investments

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

@MacroTactical +1

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

@AmasPFT Done

[Brett Simba @BrettSimba]

$1000 cash giveaway 💸

Just RT n follow. Picking tmr morning 🫶🏻

[Bravos Research @bravosresearch]

The US stock market is near all-time highs in dollar terms

But is down 45% when measured in gold terms

What does this mean for the economy and financial markets?

A thread 🧵

[Kris Sidial🇺🇸 @Ksidiii]

Markets can be funny at times. Something can occur where everyone (including myself) believes it’s extremely clear what it means for prices, and then the market opens and trades in the absolute opposite direction of what seemed so narratively obvious.

This just underscores why you always need to hold every view loosely and be ready to dance 💃🏽 like a ballerina at the slightest indication that you’re wrong. Because if not, your wallet will eventually pay for your stubbornness.

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

Took a short MES from 4hr failed upside 2 bar.

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

Took NQ short at open and hit target.

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

$TLT Although it’s bullish flow today, I don’t see it as a bottom, and if it is, I don’t see it rebounding as others do🤔

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

Two trades testing The Strat on 1hr and 4hr timeframes

[Andrew Mack @Gingfacekillah]

@Ksidiii Louder for the people in the back 🎯💯

[EndGame Macro @onechancefreedm]

Highly intelligent people often appear antisocial not because they dislike others, but because their minds are tuned differently. They process faster, prefer depth over surface interaction, and quickly notice social pretense or inefficiency, which makes many everyday interactions feel draining rather than rewarding. Their internal reward systems are more stimulated by ideas, problem solving, and insight than by social validation, and their emotional self containment can be misread as coldness. Over time, repeated experiences of being misunderstood or asked to dial it down reinforce withdrawal. What looks like isolation is usually a rational choice to preserve energy, clarity, and meaning and not a lack of social capacity.

[Lyn Alden @LynAldenContact]

My December macro newsletter is now available.

It discusses the debasement trade, changing macro conditions, and the large dislocation between the economy and markets.
https://t.co/jKRb3SH87p

[Lyn Alden @LynAldenContact]

@fejau_inc It’s money printing.

Whether it’s QE or not is more semantics. Fed won’t call it QE since it’s not duration and it’s not for economic stimulus.

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

RT @Ksidiii: It’s been clear that the VIX complex has been a tricky one over the past six weeks. Since returning to Twitter, my DMs have be…

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

China news: VIX backwardation, Neg gamma. NQ

[Kris Sidial🇺🇸 @Ksidiii]

This headline is a bit misleading. But here’s what’s actually happening.

We’re seeing an uptick in shorting VIX-related derivatives such as VIX futures. At first glance, it looks like speculative bets against volatility are increasing, but that’s not really the case. What’s driving this is a wave of relative value volatility shops putting the basis trade back on.

Over the past few weeks, I’ve pointed out that buying $VIX calls is a bad play in this environment. S&P realized volatility remains very low the index is moving just 20 to 50 basis points a day. When Cook was fired, the market dropped only 20 basis points, and that was considered a big move. That shows how suppressed realized volatility is right now. On top of that, the term structure is in deep contango, so anyone buying VIX calls has a long and costly roll down the curve.

Relative value vol funds understand this. They see that VIX looks stretched compared to S&P volatility, so they’re short VIX products while being long S&P volatility.

Contrary to the headline, these hedge funds would likely make money if volatility goes up.

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

@Ticker_25 @TheInsiderPaper You believe Iran but not America?

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

@Motivemodee Which oils do you recommend to use?

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

Short $NQ from $20250 +$530 from this morning.

[David Segovia @BuiltOnTrials]

1 lot short @ $20010 +$300