I’m only just getting around to reading Citi’s 2026 semiconductor outlook… and this table is genuinely fascinating.
1. Broadcom’s revenue from Google in 2026 is expected to roughly double versus 2025, and in 2027 it could grow again to nearly double compared with 2026.
2. Meta-related revenue likely starts to show up meaningfully in 2027.
3. ByteDance’s ASIC shipments look small through 2026, but it seems to enter true volume production toward late 2026.
4. Revenue from Anthropic could be nearly on par with Google in 2026, but then drop sharply in 2027.
5. xAI’s ASIC really starts to take off in 2027.
6. OpenAI’s ASIC appears to start mass production in late 2026 and see large-scale deployment in 2027.
7. Broadcom seems to have secured meaningful orders from AWS and Microsoft, with major revenue upside expected in 2027.
$AVGO