@Rufus59087204@xGPhilosophy You don't get 3 xP for an xG win and 0 xP for an xG loss. Instead, you get a number in between 0 and 3 corresponding to (I think) the weighted average points you would expect to get based on the probabilies of a win, draw and loss given the xG balance in the game
@dieworkwear "I couldn't paint you a picture, I probably can't hit the ball out of Fenway, and I can't play the piano"
"But you can point out 5 problems with my suit in under a minute"
"Right, well I mean, when it came to stuff like that, I could always just poast
@chris01102247@clivepafc Yep, although I think it's quite good at capturing form in performance, rather than results, so we have to actually start playing better (despite still having the injuries)
@cmbftbl Peter Drury voice: the Norwegian stallion leaps and fires an ARROW into Arsenal hearts! Defeated by the UNDEFEATABLE. David caught by GOLIATH. A BLUE WAVE crashes onto North London shores
https://t.co/qIuCeLrwVz
@joseph_gellman As I read this, I thought she was going to go somewhere plausible about skin colour being a more constant impactor on life, but instead she boldly went with 'Jews haven't experienced much discrimination historically'
@BigSighhhhhh@avisualgame @SidharthWarrie4 Yes, on average, a player's *highest* assist tally will be an xA overperformance as generally you do your best when luck is with you. But that doesn't mean that De Bruyne was *unlucky* when his xA equalled his assists. It just shows how impressive that he got 20 with neutral luck
@BigSighhhhhh @SidharthWarrie4 @avisualgame Nearly every player's goals tends towards their xG in the long run, including CR7. It's a popular misconception that you should expect good players to generally outperform it. Only a few freaks do
@avisualgame This is interesting, although it's not statistically significant (at a 5% level) (p=0.09). Given his xG overperformance in general though, it fits the pattern