Capflow

Making sense of investing.
Insights and perspective.
Growth is the goal.

[Capflow @c4pflow]

@TradexWhisperer Same report from JP Morgan expecting prices to drop in 2028.
I know these PE ratio’s seem attractive but it’s just a fact that these are very cyclical businesses.
That does not mean you should not invest, the 40% number you gave is meaningless when profit goes negative again.

[Capflow @c4pflow]

I just started a substack account; for those who are interested subscribe!

https://t.co/EZD6Q8XoBF

[Capflow @c4pflow]

Does anyone still use these types of DCF’s?

[Mindset for Money @Mindset4Money_X]

The market is punishing negative FCF today, but it will be the same market praising Google’s full stack AI infrastructure in a few years.

Negative FCF only matters if the returns on capital do not show up, and for Google they will.

Zoom out.

$GOOGL

[Capflow @c4pflow]

You portfolio would have performed great if you would have just copied NVDIA’s strategy the last couple years…

[Capflow @c4pflow]

POV: leopold aschenbrenner when he discovered his fund got liquidated during his wedding😭

[Capflow @c4pflow]

This chart blows my mind…

The narrative was always that OpenAI’s ChatGPT is absorbing the most cash off all models.

This chart tells us a different story: that ChatGPT’s critique will become its strength in the future.

[Capflow @c4pflow]

2 Unapparent Stocks That Will Profit From the GTA VI Release https://t.co/YaDEx8yWGM

[Capflow @c4pflow]

I just posted about these two stocks that people are overlooking!

Interesting GTA VI catalyst…https://t.co/YaDEx8yWGM

[Capflow @c4pflow]

Leopold Aschenbrenner, the wunderkind who ran a 45 billion-dollar fund that got wiped out yesterday…

Lesson to be learned: Don’t ever trust guys with funny laughs

[Capflow @c4pflow]

Meanwhile, in Western Europe, including Belgium, things feel slower. Not for lack of talent or potential — they have both. But our systems love to debate. Reform turns into reports. Progress becomes paperwork. While others experiment, we analyze. While others launch, we discuss.

It’s not about East vs. West. It’s about momentum vs. stagnation. And the question is: can we shift gears?

[Capflow @c4pflow]

🇪🇺 Europe’s standard of living is rising, but not everywhere equally

Over the past decade, every EU country has seen an increase in living standards, showing the positive impact of the European system as a whole. Yet, the growth has been uneven.

👉 Head to the comments to see what’s really going on.

[Capflow @c4pflow]

Story continuation:

In the early 2000s, a clear divide ran through Europe. West meant wealth, East meant catching up.
Today, that line is blurring.

Countries like Poland, Estonia, and even Romania have gone from rebuilding to reinventing. They’ve digitized public services, opened up to innovation, and focused on agility. Sure, not everything’s perfect — but the pace is undeniable.

[Capflow @c4pflow]

IT IS OFFICIAL

Trump Slaps 104% Tariffs on China

Absolute madness!

This isn't just another trade skirmish – it's economic war:

• 104% tariffs on key Chinese imports (effective immediately)
• Targeted sectors: EVs, steel, semiconductors, solar panels
• Retaliation expected: China already drafting response

"This isn't pricing in yet – the ripple effects could last years."

China is already responding look at the livestream of CNN: https://t.co/gDSzMNFNVD

[Capflow @c4pflow]

European Pharma Stocks Plunge as Trump Tariffs Loom

European pharma giants are taking a beating:
• AstraZeneca (LON): -5%
• Roche/Novartis (ZUR): -5%
• Sanofi (PAR): -4.5%

Why:

Tariff Threat: Trump's proposed import taxes could reshape global pharma supply chains

Exodus Risk: EU pharma CEOs warn of potential mass relocation to the US

Investor Dilemma: Sector now caught between:
-Political risks in EU
-Pricing pressures in USA

What do you think of this?

[Capflow @c4pflow]

Does this data change how you view:

[Capflow @c4pflow]

The U.S. Wealth Gap in Global Perspective

The numbers tell a stark story:

💰 Top 10% U.S. Earners
• $156/day - Outearns the wealthiest 10% in:
India ($23)

Egypt ($22)

Indonesia ($32)

📉 Bottom 10% U.S. Earners
Still surpass the richest in major emerging markets

Why This Matters for Investors:
Explains U.S. consumer resilience

Highlights market concentration risks

Shows why "emerging market" growth stories often disappoint

[Capflow @c4pflow]

source: https://t.co/Jjgu0amIR6

[Capflow @c4pflow]

Markets rattled. Trade war intensifies.

Trump threatens 104% total tariffs on China, including a new 50% hike if Beijing doesn’t drop its 34% retaliation by Tuesday.
“The markets were not looking for this.”

Midweek could bring major volatility.

[Capflow @c4pflow]

Nouriel Roubini sounds the alarm.

Trump’s trade war with China is set to escalate, and the markets could keep falling.
According to Roubini, Trump, Xi, and Fed Chair Powell are all locked in a dangerous game of chicken — and none of them seem to care about the stock market anymore.