WE HAVE HIT 11 OF OUR LAST 12 PLAYS!!!
✅ Jalen Green U 24.5 Pts
✅ Isaiah Hartenstein O 9.5 Reb
✅ Tyus Jones O 10.5 Pts
✅ Zion Williamson U 24.5 Pts
❌ Anthony Edwards U 34.5 Pts+Ast
✅ Jeremy Sochan O 7.5 Pts
✅ Donovan Mitchell O 25.5 Pts
✅ Anthony Edwards U 31.5 Pts
✅ Tobias Harris O 15.5 Pts+Ast
✅ Evan Mobley O 16.5 Pts
✅ LeBron James O 3.5 Turnovers
✅ Victor Wembanyama First to 25+ Pts
We are absolutely on FIRE in the NBA🔥🔥🔥.
I haven’t been able to put out a large volume of plays recently but definitely will look to extend this streak as much as I can in the near future. Thanks for all the love ❤️.
Season Long Prop #9
Brian Thomas Jr. O 700.5 Rec Yds (Score)
This line is disrespectful!! Brian Thomas Jr had an amazing rookie year. Last year was a season from hell for BTJ, and he STILL hit this line.
Going into year 2 with Liam Coen, I think they will start to click a little better than last year. Everyone is dead set on Parker Washington season, and to that I say, why can't it be both?
This offense has the potential to be so good this year and can definitely support two 700+ yd WR.
Brian Thomas is in his 3rd season as a 1st-round drafted WR. There is no more dangerous combination than that.
Season Long Prop #7
Adonai Mitchell UNDER 524.5 Rec Yds (365)
He is a bad player! In two years, he has not shown us that he can earn significant playing time. Outside of one 52-yard catch this past season, he really didn't do much. He had 301 yds in 8 games with absolutely ZERO tgt comp.
No Garrett Wilson. No Mason Taylor for most of the games. He was the CLEAR WR1 due to lack of other players in this Jets offense, and he still wasn't that impressive.
Now the Jets spent TWO first-round picks on pass catchers in Omar Cooper Jr. and Kenyon Sadiq. Garrett Wilson is healthy. Mason Taylor healthy.
Geno Smith will elevate this pass offense for sure, but it will still be a bad offense overall. I think Mitchell is going to lose a lot of reps and a lot of targets to the rookies. I simply have no faith in AD Mitchell to put together a full season, let alone a productive one.
Season Long Play #8
Devonta Smith O 5.5 Rec TD (Score)
It's officially Devonta Smith season!! He is so good at football. He graciously took a backseat to AJ Brown for a few years and still hit this line 3 seasons in a row before last season.
The Eagles' offense was so bad last year. Even though they lost AJ Brown, they should still look better this season. They still have a lot of weapons and even brought in rookie first-round pick Makai Lemon.
There is SO MANY vacated TD Rec in this offense. AJ Brown had 7 in 2025, and Goedert will see regression after having 11. There is blatant opportunity for Smith to have 6, 8, or even 10 TD Rec as the new alpha in this offense.
Don't overthink it.
Season Long Prop #6
Courtland Sutton O 699.5 Rec Yds (Score)
This line is disrespectful for a guy who has had back to back 1000 yd seasons with Bo Nix. Not only that, he has had 700+ yds in EVERY full season of his career.
Jaylen Waddle is very good, but people are throwing Courtland Sutton aside like he is an afterthought in this offense. He is still the CLEAR #2, and I'd even say he's probably a 1b if anything.
History has shown that Sutton is capable of coexisting. He had 704 yds (as a rookie) playing next to Emanuel Sanders. He had 829 yds playing next to Jerry Jeudy (972 yds).
Denver was sneakily a top-5 pass-rate offense last season, and Bo Nix threw the ball more than any other QB. There is no reason this shouldn't be a top-10 offense again this season, and no reason it can't support 2 700+ yd WRs.
Season Long Prop #5
Makai Lemon O 600.5 Rec Yds (Score)
This play is very similar to the Carnell Tate play. 1st round WRs were good to me last season, and I will continue to bet on the safest players this year as well.
This is not as much of a smash play as Tate was for a few reasons...
Tate is a #1 option; Lemon is #2 behind Smith
Tate was drafted 4th overall; Lemon was 20th
However, Lemon has a few things going for him as well...
His line is 100 yds lower than Tate's
He is in a better offense with Philly
22/26 healthy 1st round WRs have hit this line since 2018
7/9 have hit this line when they were clearly the #2 option or had lots of tgt competition (Legette and Q. Johnston did not)
The Eagles' offense should look much smoother this year now that they have a new OC.
NFL Futures Prop #4
Justin Jefferson O 1100.5 Rec Yds (Score)
This line is disrespectful.
Justin Jefferson had a season from hell in 2025. From JJ McCarthy to Max Brosmer, there was a whole bunch of bums throwing the ball to him last year. He had the lowest tgts, rec, yds, and TD since his rookie year. Everything that could've went wrong did go wrong.
He ended with 1048 yds. Only 53 short of this line.
Kyler Murray is by no means an elite QB, unless you compare him to the Vikings QB play from last year. Kyler Murray is servicable enough, and JJ has to be a main focus point for KOC and his offense after what happened last season.
This is absolutely a stay-healthy line, which we love here. JJ has stayed healthy all but one season where he only played 9.5 games... and put up 1074 yds. Yeah I'll happily bet on a bounce back year from the best WR in the game.
Season Long Player Prop #3
Carnell Tate O 700.5 Rec Yds (Score)
The books continue to disrespect rookie WRs!!
For Tate to stay healthy and still go under this line, he would have to be the biggest WR bust in at least the last 8 years.
This is a stay healthy line.
Among healthy 1st round WRs since 2018...
20/29 have hit this line
14/15 have hit this line when they are the clear #1 option
11/11 have hit this line when drafted top 15
Most books are at 774.5 yds right now for Tate, and I expect most books to finish around 825-850 closer to the season (similar to Egbuka last season). Putting this in early and getting it at 700.5 is a great value.
Season Long Prop #2
Josh Allen OVER 24.5 Pass TD (DraftKings)
Pass TD last 6 years: 37, 36, 35, 29, 28, 25
Allen has decreased his pass TD numbers every year for 6 years. We are going against the grain here with this trend. In 2025, everything fell perfectly in place for him to NOT throw a lot of TDs:
- Insane rushing offense (30 rush TD)
- Lowest Pass Att of his career (460 att)
- Threw 0 TDs L3 weeks after he BROKE HIS FOOT (also didn't play week 18)
All of this, and he STILL went over this line with 25. This is Josh's absolute floor. I project 28-30 pass TD this season.
When it comes to futures, I like betting on guys who are injury-resistant. Allen is as Ironman as it comes. He has the longest active QB streak of starts and is known to play through injury.
The Bills are still projected to be a top 5 offense this season, similar to past seasons. Every single top 10 offense since 2018 has thrown at least 24 pass TD, and only a select few have thrown 24. Most threw 25+ easily.
Caleb Williams OVER 3400.5 Passing Yards (Score)
Bears fans, lock this one in. Caleb “Iceman” Williams is about to cook again in Year 3 — dropping dimes just like Drake with his new Iceman album.
After 3541 yds in his rookie season and then dropping a franchise-record 3,942 yards in 2025 (his first year in the Ben Johnson offense), the bar for "over" at just 3400.5 feels like free money.
Weapons everywhere — Rome Odunze, Luther Burden, Colston Loveland, etc.
2nd year in Ben Johnson offense — Built to sling it. 2026 projections floating around 3800–4100 yds
Game script — Improved O-line and a first-place division schedule
Narrative: Caleb Williams on being the first Bears QB to possibly hit 4,000 pass yds:
“It’d be cool just in the sense of there’s never been one here. I think I was brought here for those types of things and those types of moments — the things that haven’t been done here, to try and be able to accomplish.”
Over 3400.5 is absolutely the floor and a great price. Other books are at 3600.6 or 3550.5.
#DaBears #BearDown #CalebWilliams #Iceman
Joe Flacco 225+ Pass Yds (-120, 365)
This line is straight up priced wrong. Flacco looked good last week and the Ravens defense looked bad.
I know Flacco isn’t exactly Josh Allen, but if Allen threw for just under 400, surely Flacco can throw for 225. Analysis ⬇️
Flacco has yet to throw for less than 250 yds in a Browns uniform. He averages 317.7 pass yds per game. He threw for 290 yds last week. The Browns cannot rely on their rushing attack even with Judkins making his debut.
This Ravens pass defense started slow last year as well, allowing 7 of the first 8 QBs they played to hit this line.
Browns will be trailing all game and their defense is good enough to get the ball back to the offense.
Jalen Brunson O 6.5 Free Throws Made (-110, ESPN)
HE IS JUST LIKE SGA!!
Donovan Mitchell averaged 14.2 FTA per game vs IND. Brunson has averaged 10 FTA the last 2 years vs IND in games where he played 35+ min. This Indiana team is a much different matchup than BOS. Analysis ⤵️
BOS allowed 19 guards this season to have 8+ FTA vs them. IND allowed 31 guards to take 8+ FTA. BOS has been historically very good at not letting Brunson get away with his foul-baiting. They have allowed him to average 5.7 FTA per game in his time with the Knicks.
IND on the other hand, is much different. They have allowed 35+ opp FTA in each of their last 4 games (all against CLE). Jalen Brunson should have a mutch better matchup in general, allowing him to get to his spots and draw contact.
Jalen Brunson O 6.5 Free Throws Made (-110, ESPN)
HE IS JUST LIKE SGA!!
Donovan Mitchell averaged 14.2 FTA per game vs IND. Brunson has averaged 10 FTA the last 2 years vs IND in games where he played 35+ min. This Indiana team is a much different matchup than BOS. Analysis ⤵️
BOS allowed 19 guards this season to have 8+ FTA vs them. IND allowed 31 guards to take 8+ FTA. BOS has been historically very good at not letting Brunson get away with his foul-baiting. They have allowed him to average 5.7 FTA per game in his time with the Knicks.
IND on the other hand, is much different. They have allowed 35+ opp FTA in each of their last 4 games (all against CLE). Jalen Brunson should have a mutch better matchup in general, allowing him to get to his spots and draw contact.