@LFTGCFB@JMUDukesss Like Texas or Alabama or Michigan all in last 25 years struggling at .500 or below a few times but impossible to fail?
JMU with its resources in the conference they play in is in a stronger position than stated. Hell, Liberty is not right either (though wish no success for them)
@JMULiker SDSU/ ODU on road & early in season with new team likelier slip ups than Marshall/ UCONN though I know the Parents Weekend crowd is an issue for us with Herd in town
@JMUGameday If the goal is P4, $25M is not a deterrent. We should see an increase in 2030 from media rights & 2031 is the ACC question/ domino starting point. Just keep building over the next 4+ years for best position possible. American is a non-starter in terms of collection of misfit toys
Next weekend, Cal Poly or West Virginia is going to play Little Rock or Troy in an opening-round game of the College World Series.
None of those four have ever played in the event. One of those four teams is going to win a game in Omaha.
MAC commish Jon Steinbrecher unloads on Power 4.
"If you look up the term ungovernable, I am convinced a handful of conference logos pop up & they're all autonomy logos. ... I am tired of listening to the complaints of the autonomy conferences who believe they know the best way to run the organization."
https://t.co/J7zgZ0dmwr
With the new senate proposal more or less encouraging future re-alignment of CFB... I keep coming back to one model that I think are best for the good of the sport.
CFB needs a Pro/Rel model. Split the country into 5 regional sections with tiers going down to FCS.
13 teams in each conference. Play every team in your conference home and away (12 games).
Bottom team in tier 1 gets relegated. Top team in tier 2 gets promoted. Second in Tier 2 plays 12th in Tier 1 in a Pro/Rel playoff game.
16 team playoff with selections chosen by a backward-looking formula based on conference result in past playoffs. The Midwest has won 3 straight titles? They get 4 bids. The Atlantic hasn't won a game in 3 years? They get 2 bids.
This is probably the best true system to store regionality and fairness, but also extremely unrealistic given the total overhaul it would require.
(Conferences aren't perfect. Just something I cooked up in 10 minutes)
Universities had 17 years of warning. They responded by doing the opposite of what the math demanded.
In 2008, American birth rates fell off a cliff. The Great Recession made people stop having kids. Those never-born children would be turning 18 right now. The number of U.S. high school graduates peaked at roughly 3.9 million in 2025. By 2029, that number drops 15%. By 2041, it drops by nearly half a million students per year.
Every school in this tweet had access to the same Census data. They all saw the same curve.
Administrative positions at U.S. colleges grew 60% between 1993 and 2009, ten times the rate of tenured faculty growth. Non-instructional spending (student services, administration) grew 29% from 2010 to 2018. Instructional spending grew 17%. Average tuition at public four-year schools went from $3,500 in 2000 to $10,560 in 2023. Yale now has more administrators than undergraduate students. 5,460 administrators for fewer than 5,000 undergrads.
They built the cost structure of a growth company on top of a customer base that was mathematically guaranteed to shrink.
The split in this data tells you everything. Clemson, Syracuse, Duke, UNC, and Indiana are all cutting because the model broke. Alabama, Ole Miss, and the University of Florida are turning away more applicants than ever. Harvard gets five applications for every spot. The middle is where the cliff hits. Elite schools absorb demand. Everyone between elite and community college fights over a shrinking pool. The Fed published a study in December 2024 predicting 80 colleges will close in the next five years. Since 2016, over 100 already have. In 2024 alone, 28 shut down. One per week.
These program cuts and layoffs are a decade late. The birth rate data was sitting in Census spreadsheets the entire time. Everyone in higher education administration saw the enrollment cliff coming. They hired more administrators anyway.
Cam Schlittler of the @Yankees is the first MLB pitcher to have:
50+ strikeouts
fewer than 10 walks
no more than 1 HR allowed
a sub-1.50 ERA
...over his first 9 starts of a season since Walter Johnson in 1913.
He had James Madison in the College Football Playoffs last year and now @CoachBobChesney is ready to make @UCLAFootball a power once again — this was awesome with the new #GoBruins head coach today:
If there has ever been a season where the Yankees need to go 100% all-in at the trade deadline, it's this season.
Judge is 34, Cole is 35, Giancarlo is 36.
Plus the team is incredibly, unbelievably good. Do whatever it takes to be the best.
Looks like former JMU safety Jacob Thomas finds his landing spot — and it's wearing a familiar colorway. He signs as an UDFA with the Minnesota Vikings.