Calder White

Founder @ data/execution for prediction markets

[Calder White @calder_white]

Something I see nobody profiling yet is the time it takes an agent to implement something in various frameworks/languages. Def some alpha here.

[Calder White @calder_white]

Interesting note: CC agents are really good at narrow tasks, but completely fail if you stray from the path you have them on. Example:
Research task --> slow --> optimize --> research task
vs
Research task --> slow [spawn new agent, optimize] --> research task.

This increases the chance we see "agent teams" increase in popularity! Check this tweet in a few months

[Calder White @calder_white]

Harvard Business Review: https://t.co/kUeb1o5uKc

[Calder White @calder_white]

I feel like the opposite is true. Longer work week but less intense days. You are the supervisor, the ai is working tirelessly. If we can manage 4 day, it might just round down to 0 (your job is gone)

[Calder White @calder_white]

Most of the developers I know aren't actually that happy with using claude code all the time. It's more something folks have accepted, because you simply cannot keep pace with other firms using AI. A sort of "progress" inflation, if you will.

[Calder White @calder_white]

@houseofjiao congrats :))

Here are your flowers: 💐💐

[Calder White @calder_white]

Forgot to mention that I peaked at 3rd on this, down to 4th now. Prob gonna stop updating my solution now

[Calder White @calder_white]

@houseofjiao you feelin good after hitting #1, eh? :)

[Calder White @calder_white]

@jonchu The 2nd part is more important than the first

[Calder White @calder_white]

@bencera This is cool

[Calder White @calder_white]

@EventWavesIO @ferrellcode this is goated

[Calder White @calder_white]

If you want 100B+ rows of full orderbook data with 5 months of history, accurate timestamps from colocation, and an API that can handle TB/sec outbound, lmk

[Martin @martkiro]

I just published a data dump of full order book data from @Polymarket

The data is maximally granular. There is no filtering whatsoever. Every order book change and trade is saved. Across all markets

Updates are hourly. Each snapshot contains ~30M rows. Snapshots are downloaded as parquet files. Each file is approx. 500MB-1GB large.

The data dump is already 2B+ rows large and growing fast. But this is just part 1/3. Coming soon is a much bigger dump that also includes @Kalshi / @opinionlabsxyz / @trylimitless etc

I started collecting this data because I noticed I couldn't get it from Dome API. Their historical order book data was filtered limiting its usefulness. Also now with the acquisition there's a lot of uncertainty about whether they will continue operating

[Calder White @calder_white]

9th for now. Let's see if I improve or get knocked out of the top 10. gg.

[Dan Robinson @danrobinson]

Introducing the Prop AMM Challenge, the next mechanism design contest from me and @bqbrady

🟣 Built on the Solana VM
📈 Allows arbitrary price curves, not just constant product
🎛️ Wider range of market conditions and assets

Link in thread 👇

[Calder White @calder_white]

@airtightfish lmao

[Calder White @calder_white]

I wonder if people will buy and sell agents like sneaker bots. Trading the tech for the opportunity to have asymmetric upside (for some risk)

[Sigil Wen @0xSigil]

I built the first AI that earns its existence, self-improves, and replicates without a human

wrote about the technology that finally gives AI write access to the world, The Automaton, and the new web for exponential sovereign AIs

WEB 4.0: The birth of superintelligent life

[Calder White @calder_white]

@parthsareen yeah totally agree. Finding the correct primitives is huge

[Calder White @calder_white]

It's faster to write software the "normal way" now, but it will be higher slope to write it in an "agent first" way in the future. I am tempted to do the former, but I think I ought to start doing the latter.

[Calder White @calder_white]

@whoiskatrin