Joe

[Monica Morrill @MMorrillArt]

Windswept Pine
12x12 acrylic on canvas
Available in my etsy store!

[Raoul Pal @RaoulGMI]

https://t.co/EAl5H5StvM

[NinjaTrader @NinjaTrader]

Your chart is telling you something. Are you listening?

Price action trading can help you read raw price movement (using patterns, trends, and support and resistance levels) to find your next setup. It can be especially effective in active futures markets like E- mini and Micro contracts, where every move tells a story. Want to dig deeper? The strategies are waiting: https://t.co/2qmvwyFUPk

[Dumb Money @DumbMoneyTV]

The Long-Term Google Thesis
@icedcoffeehour

[Raoul Pal @RaoulGMI]

Things that are obvious:

Smart contract L1's will accrue a larger percentage of crypto total value over time as the investable infrastructure layer.

L1's that can output the largest amount of intelligence per unit of energy will outperform over time (as is true Universally).

NFT's will become a large part of all individualized contracts over time.

The biggest user of DeFi and crypto payments will be AI agents and their scale is infinite.

All financial rails will move to blockchains rails.

Governments will continue to debase currency.

Digital art will accrue vast value over time due to the wealth effect of the above.

It's all just so fucking obvious...

[Raoul Pal @RaoulGMI]

Great read on why NFTs matter and why they are still vastly, ludicrously undervalued

[Raoul Pal @RaoulGMI]

I started by trying to understand markets. Thirty years later I've ended up somewhere closer to life, the universe and everything. The same four rules keep showing up...

Along the way I've written three frameworks that have shaped how a lot of people see the world.

The Everything Code is what I found when I went looking for what actually drives markets. A debt rollover cycle, managed by liquidity, debasing the currency at roughly 8% a year. That debasement is monetary entropy. Capital routes around it, into whatever can compound faster than the entropy degrades it. Technology and crypto sit at the top of that flow because they are the intelligence layer of the economy. Markets are monetary energy routing toward the highest output of intelligence. The only assets that outperform debasement over extended periods are tech and crypto.

The Exponential Age is the realisation that technology has become the substrate. Compute, networks, energy and intelligence are compounding faster than any institution we built was designed to handle, and the gap between the two is the defining tension of our time.

The Economic Singularity is where this is heading. Somewhere in the next decade the curve of intelligence per unit of energy turns fully exponential, and the rules every economy we know was built on stop applying.

For a long time I thought of these as three separate ideas. Looking at them now, they are three views of the same thing at different altitudes. And underneath all three, the same four rules keep showing up.

Efficiency of Intelligence - The universe rewards whatever does more with less. Every system that survives is better at turning energy into information than the system it replaced. There has never been an exception.

Compression - Intelligence is the act of representing a vast reality in a much smaller form without losing what matters. Brains do it. Theories do it. Prices do it. AI does it. They are not analogous. They are the same operation.

Coherence - Complex systems hold together because their parts synchronise faster than the noise around them. Markets, brains, civilisations, ecosystems. When the synchronisation fails, what looks like collapse is desynchronisation made visible.

Selection - Patterns that copy themselves faster than their rivals dominate the medium they live in. Genes did this in biology. Ideas do it in culture. Memecoins do it in markets. Truth is not part of the selection criteria. Replication is. It always has been.

What the four rules produce, when they operate together, is networks.

The same topology shows up everywhere. The cosmic web. The human brain. Mycelium beneath a forest. The internet. Financial markets. Blockchains. Across fourteen orders of magnitude, the universe keeps building the same shape. That shape is what the four laws look like when you can see them.

The Everything Code is what these four rules look like in markets.
The Exponential Age is what they look like running through technology.
The Economic Singularity is where they are taking us.

Three angles, one picture.

Underneath all of it, energy is the constant. Consciousness is the substrate. The four rules are the dynamics through which one becomes the other.

All of this is one corner of what I call The Universal Code. The same four rules apply to everything else and I mean EVERYTHING... they are universal in the true sense of the word.

[Douglas A. Boneparth @dougboneparth]

Here’s one of greatest personal finance tricks I know:

Stop caring about what other people think.

Focus on your own goals, career, and family.

Works wonders.

[Raoul Pal @RaoulGMI]

Forget UBI. The answer is Universal Basic Equity… and it’s humanity’s pension plan for the post-AGI world...

The Economic Singularity is coming faster than people think and the default question is how humans make money in a world that doesn’t really need them anymore.

The default answer is UBI, which is transfer payments from a state, funded by taxing an AI economy that nation states can neither see nor keep up with.

It’s a 20th century answer to a 21st century problem and it’s broken before it even starts.

Agents are becoming the dominant user of the internet, not humans. Your AI is becoming your entire front end UX. The clicks economy is dying everywhere except where humans pay to feel something - clothing, travel, luxury, experiences, culture.

Agents run on crypto rails because nothing else works. The dollar doesn’t fractionalise below a cent, settlement isn’t instant, permissions are required, jurisdictions matter. Stablecoins handle the dollar leg and native tokens handle the rest.

The biggest users of DeFi in five years won’t be humans farming yield… it’ll be agents managing treasuries, swapping, earning and spending at machine speed.

Capital formation has already shown its new shape and it came from the most unexpected place. Memecoins. Everyone wrote them off as a casino but they were a prototype. Instant capital formation around the attention of an idea, raised by entities without legal personhood, settled in seconds. That is the template agent economies will use to fund themselves.

And it’s not just agents...

Robots will run on the same rails, with zk permissions issued from our wallets as the source of truth, because biometrics are far too flawed for that role

Open source code itself gets tokenized and finally captures the value it creates, instead of being monetized through bolted-on services and subscriptions.

Proof of humanhood becomes the trust layer that lets us release agents into the world without society collapsing under synthetic noise. Identity, authentication, verification, permissioning, all of it migrates onto the same substrate.

So when you zoom out, the L1s aren’t just settling agent transactions but settling the entire coordination layer of the new economy… agents, robots, humans, code, capital, identity and trust.

Every contract, every treasury, every permission, every stake. Open source finally captures the value it creates, at scale, for the first time, and truly vast value accrues to the coordination layer because everything routes through it.

Which brings us to the actual answer to the Economic Singularity…

Universal Basic Equity.

Anyone on earth with a phone and an internet connection can buy a stake in the substrate that the new economy runs on. No KYC walls, no accreditation rules, no jurisdiction, no employer, no state, no permission. The first homogenous, permissionless, globally fractionalisable claim on the productive infrastructure of the world. It's not a slogan but a structural fact about how blockchains actually work. This is their purpose.

Wealth comes from owning the substrate. Income comes from being human, because attention and experience remain the irreducible currency of culture, community and love.

Abundance of goods and services from AI handles the cost of living.

Taxing data center electricity use solves the tax issue.

Four legs of a stool that holds up the post-singularity human world.

So… just buy the fucking tokens.

Bitcoin if you want pure store of value, a basket of the major L1s if you want the coordination layer. 10% of your earnings, every month, for a decade. You'll be wealthy and protected from the changes to come.

Crypto is going to $100trn in the next 6 to 8 years and well beyond that after.

You can choose to invest in your own economic disruption, or get left behind by it.

And if you’re worried about timing the cycle…

…adjust your time horizon.

This is humanity’s pension plan.

It's all so absurdly fucking obvious...

[ApexTraderFunding @ApexTradeFund]

Apex is up to 90% OFF - Is Now Live and Ends Thursday May 7th!
SPECIAL PRICE on INTRADAY $50k One Time PA Fee - Only $69 now till Monday Night April 27th (11:59 PM ET)

Other pricing, PA Fees, Product info and full details can be found on the Home Page of the Apex Website! Scroll down to the product selector, choose your size and see all details in the Product Selector!

90% Off Any Size Evaluation - with a Coupon Code! Use the code of the person or group that referred you to Apex or use Code APEX at checkout for 90% off Evaluations!

https://t.co/agKtmXcdk9

[ApexTraderFunding @ApexTradeFund]

Apex is up to 90% OFF - Starts Now and Ends Thursday May 7th!
SPECIAL PRICE on INTRADAY $50k One Time PA Fee - Only $69 now till Monday Night April 27th (11:59 PM ET)

Other pricing, PA Fees, Product info and full details can be found on the Home Page of the Apex Website! Scroll down to the product selector, choose your size and see all details in the Product Selector!

90% Off Any Size Evaluation - with a Coupon Code! Use the code of the person or group that referred you to Apex or use Code APEX at checkout for 90% off Evaluations!

https://t.co/agKtmXcdk9

[J.C. Parets @JC_ParetsX]

https://t.co/OMs97UbJ75

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

The market has been discounting higher oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty. Sentiment is finally turning more bearish, which from a contrary standpoint is a step in the right direction. However, in the short term, volatility is likely to remain elevated as bullish sentiment unwinds and bearish sentiment approaches an extreme.
As noted, this is likely a cyclical correction within a broader secular bull market. Patience and vigilance will be key to identifying the next leaders in the coming advance.
Oil will ultimately present a compelling opportunity on the short side, and equities will eventually find a bottom. That said, I don’t play guessing games or try to catch falling knives. One of the most difficult lessons for traders to internalize is that the right price is not necessarily the lowest price.
In the near term, remain defensive. Keep exposure tight and highly selective. Focus only on the highest-quality setups and demand confirmation with meaningful follow-through before committing additional capital or increasing exposure to aggressive levels. The market is offering very little margin for error—discipline and patience are essential.
https://t.co/JXzFFTnkiV

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

I’m 59 years old and have been trading over 30 years but one thing I can share with you:

Stop trading against the 8 EMA moving average. It NEVER misses a big move. Go back and test it.

If you’re trading against this 8 EMA, you are gonna get screwed eight out of ten trades. It follows the flow of the market. People don’t listen to this advice and get rapped in their trading accounts.

How many times have you tested this?

My guess is 15 or 25 trades… you need to test this on over 1,000 trades. Get your head out of your ass.

Too many vendors are selling you BS and you’re lack of going back and testing it on 1,000 trades shows in the results.

They are blowing smoke up your ASS with their BullShit concepts.

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

Day Trading 101

If you’re trading a 4 to 1 ratio and you’re risking 20 tick stops and looking 80 tick target that’s a 4 to 1 ratio.

You can lose 6 trades in a row if you hit a 280 tick target you can close out the day a profitable trader.

In the NASDAQ… this is a normal swing.

These people teaching you need a 150 tick stop are NUTS.

2 losses in a row and you need 38O ticks to get you a nut (80 ticks profit) for the day.

What happens if you get 3 losses in a row?

Fuck that. How many swings are you going to get on 380+ ticks per session ???

People get these insane idea in their head where the market will produce this many ticks ??? especially during ROLL OVER.

All because of why? You don’t want any losing trades ???

Your need to be right is what is killing you as a profitable trader.

Might work for 2 or 3 months, but it will come back and bite you in the ASS.

Guaranteed…

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

Most traders fail to see this, and it’s one of the most important Results: Overall, 21 trades were taken, 13 of those trades were losers, and 8 of the trades were Winners. 23 win units vs. 13 losing units = +10 units if each unit = $100 you made +1,000. Only 34% wins you profit.

[Casper @casper_smc]

Most traders think they trade to make money. They don't.

They trade because their 9-5 is boring and the chart is the most exciting thing in their life. They trade because being right about a move feels better than almost anything. They trade because risk makes them feel alive in a world that's otherwise completely predictable.

None of that is wrong. But if you don't know that about yourself, you're going to keep bleeding money and not understand why.

The guy who trades out of boredom takes setups that aren't there. The guy who needs to be right holds losers way too long. The guy chasing a high sizes up and blows his account.

Same pattern. Different costume.

The fix isn't a new strategy. It's a harder question: why are you actually here? Not the answer you'd give your wife or your friends. The real one.

Because once you name it, you can build around it. You want action? Build a strategy with plenty of entries inside a system that won't let you self-destruct. You want to prove you're smart? Stop using your P&L as the scorecard and start using a process you can actually measure.

The traders who blow up aren't stupid. They're running a strategy built for someone they're pretending to be.

Figure out who you actually are first. The strategy comes after.

The real commitment that nobody talks about is designing your life so the bad trade can't happen in the first place. Not being disciplined on the charts. Eliminating the need for discipline on the charts.

Here's what I mean.

The most dangerous trade you'll ever take isn't a bad setup. It's the one you take because you're sitting at your desk with nothing to do and the market is open. The real pre-commitment isn't a rule about what to do at the screen. It's not being at the screen. The best traders I've seen don't have 8 hour screen days. They have a 1 hour window. Before that, they're doing something else entirely. After it closes, they're gone. Not because they're “disciplined”. Because they built a life that doesn't leave a hole for the market to fill.

If your entire day revolves around the chart, the chart becomes your emotional regulator. You're not trading at that point. You're self-medicating. And no rule set survives when the thing you're trying to control is also the thing keeping you sane. There is no “getting better at trading” when you’re getting worse at living.

The pre-commitment isn't "I'll only take three trades." It's "I have something at 11am that I care about more than the market." If you don't have that, you'll never stop overtrading. Because overtrading was never the problem. The empty calendar was. Go to the gym, spend time reading, building yourself into a better human being and stop hyper fixating on trading.

The second thing, and this is the one that actually separates professionals from everyone else …is that real pre-commitment means accepting dead time as part of the job. Retail traders feel like they're failing when they're not in a position. Professionals know the money is made in the waiting. But you can't white-knuckle your way through waiting. You have to actually be okay with it. And you'll never be okay with it if trading is the only thing giving your life texture.

That's the actual edge. Not a “rule” or writing your strategy down on a Notion document for the 10th time. A LIFE that doesn't need the market to mean something.

[NOBS TRADES 🇺🇸 @NOBStrades]

Excellent article on Trading legend Jim Simons with special thanks to @GoshawkTrades for posting it.

[Douglas A. Boneparth @dougboneparth]

At some point in your life you will eat an edible and think it’s not working. It’s very important that you do not eat a second one.

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

If you want to make real money in the market consistently, stop trying to call tops and bottoms and Monday-morning quarterbacking what you could have done.
Focus on managing risk relative to reward and turning over your edge. Then, your efforts will start producing profits instead of volatility and grief. 📈