Stouff Capital

Global Long & Short Absolute Return Equity, Macro & Crypto Quantamental Strategy

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

🎉Join us for a virtual session featuring our Founder & CIO, Julien Stouff! We will delve into our Quantamental Equity LS strategy and offer insights into our latest equity market outlook.

June 5th - 11am EDT | 4pm BST | 5pm CEST

Register your interest: https://t.co/0iAuSac0JJ

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

$SPX breaking down a 6 months support ! next 6174 as 32.8% fibo retracement

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

XETUSD$ possibly ending a wave IV correction, on its way towards 6K, and outperforming again XBRUSD$ like in the summer.

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

We are honored to see Stouff Capital's hedge fund shortlisted in the following categories: 🏆Global Equity 🏆Global Equity Long-Term Performance 5 Years 🏆Market Neutral 🏆Quantitative Strategy up to $1bn 🏆Volatility Fund at the With Intelligence HFM European Performance Awards

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

Rhyming with 1998 !!! (S&P500 in 1998 in candle vers
us now in grey)

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

SPX has reached a wave v target, with negative divergence for RSI and breadth. A 38.2% fibonacci correction would target 5852 then 5464

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

If history rhymes, a few more bucks

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

History Doesn't Repeat Itself, but It Often Rhymes” – Mark Twain - SPX in 2018 (Trump 1.0) and now

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

The rise of liquidity (deflating of TGA) should continue until the end of June. Then liquidity will be a big issue

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

Not a lot of change in the last months

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

High Stress for Treasury Dealers: As they undergo record inventory owing to too much supply of Treasuries, swap spreads are very negative

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

Break

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

Make or Break ahead of Liberation Day ! $SPX reversing from 200days MA

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

The S&P500 is testing its 200 days moving average for the first time, since it started its bull market in 2023: Make or Break !

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

1mth implied Correlation is waking up!!!

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

Despite a mere 4% drawdown in the S&P500, AAII investors are just terrified.

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

Our favourite set of charts is bullish on the US economy (heavy truck sales up, ratio copper/ oil up, oil down, yield curve back to positive)

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose above 50 for the first time since October 2022, ending a record stretch in contraction. Historically, an accelerating ISM has signaled strong and sustained equity gains, led by cyclicals

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

Why is Sentiment so low ?

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

Massive alligator spread between the optimism of small business and the ratio of small caps versus the S&P500. What do you think will happen ?

[Stouff Capital @CapitalStouff]

Global equities are strectched on all metrics versus global liquidity