🚨 ÚLTIMA HORA 🚨
🇺🇸 Los traders de Kalshi ya ponen en 69% las probabilidades de que la próxima suba de tasas de la Fed ocurra antes de 2028 📈
• Esto refleja que el mercado empieza a ver un escenario de política monetaria más restrictiva por más tiempo ⏳
• Y cuando suben las expectativas de tasas, los activos de riesgo suelen sentir la presión ⚠️
👀 ¿El mercado está subestimando lo que puede venir con la Fed? Te leo.
Things are playing out exactly as I said they would.
The S&P is back at November lows.
If you saw the tweet below, you know exactly what’s coming next.
The setup is almost ready.
When I start deploying a lot of capital, you’ll hear it here first.
Back into heavy shorts here.
Shorted more $ETH and opened a $HYPE short here.
Even though I said earlier that the current $BTC area looked like a solid potential long zone, right now I’m leaning way more toward adding shorts, looking for an extension of the downside move.
- The charts look terrible.
- There’s no meaningful bid. The little buying we’ve seen has mostly been passive bids, and it’s been pretty weak. That creates small bounces that don’t hold because there’s no real bid supporting price.
- Bad candle closes.
- Bad macro environment (imo).
On top of that, and this is a big one, below current $BTC price there are major liquidity clusters that in my opinion have a very high chance of getting swept before we see any real bounce.
Heavy in shorts here. If I’m wrong I’m wrong, but I can’t ignore all these signals pointing to price needing to go lower, plus the lack of any real bottom signals.
That said, there are good bids waiting for $BTC between 63–55k, but that’ll be a different story.
The insider whale just made their first moves after several days of just holding.
They longed an additional $35M of ETH and $6M of SOL.
Current total uPnL: -$42.7M