Casey

Trading Group - | Not Financial Advice | on TG

[Casey @caseycallouts]

Early alpha I’ve gave you guys this year…

$PONKE 5.6M > 300M (53x)
$BRETT 8.1M > 1B (123x)
$PAAL 680k > 243M (357x)
$PENG 2.1M > 220M (104x)
$BULL 7.3M > 261M (35x)
$FWOG 903k > 57M (63x)

Countless other plays so join now👇

https://t.co/M5B0t9DSJS

[Jelitics @Jelitics]

up $20M from gambling and apparently that hurts people’s feelings on here.

imagine losing to a dude placing bets from a random tobacco shop in Indonesia.

this app was never serious competition.

[Fuel @fuelkek]

TON is now my second largest position in crypto

the amount of retail attention this thing has is insane

$50 per $TON genuinely doesn’t sound crazy to me anymore

see you in 12 months

[LilMoonLambo @LilMoonLambo]

it’s okay bro you only missed uniswap, ohm, defi summer, aave, nfts, bayc, doodles, pudgies, ens, azuki, sol, dydx, pepe, bitcoin, tia, sui, arb, bonk, boden, wif, bome, goat, virtuals, fartcoin, chillguy, pnut, sol again, trump, hyperliquid, punch, penguin, asteroid

keep going

[Alex Becker 🍊🏆🥇 @ZssBecker]

The two most important goals of a man.

1) Earn JUST enough money to not give a fuck.

2) Find the big passion you'd chase. Daily. For the rest of your life if you didn't give a fuck about money.

Then do that. It's over. You've won. GG. 🤜🤛

[Crash @CrashiusClay69]

500x hidden in plain sight

@durov the goat

[Ethan @0xEthan]

Crazy that all the crypto girls disappeared now we are 15 months deep into a bear market

[Telegram Messenger @telegram]

can I buy this in the metaverse? @facebook

[Casey @caseycallouts]

Someone made a Claude-powered bot that made $381,000+ on Polymarket.

Almost nobody noticed.

But he wasn’t predicting BTC direction like everyone else.

He built a market reaction engine.

Wallet:
https://t.co/fk4ZWC7mAY

What the system does:

• pulls live CLOB order book data
• tracks OTC liquidity shifts
• runs thousands of BTC simulations in seconds
• detects contracts lagging behind sentiment
• enters before repricing
• exits minutes later with the spread

Results:

• 3,464 trades
• 78.6% win rate
• 381k profit

The real edge wasn’t predicting Bitcoin.

It was reacting faster than the market could update itself.

By the time most traders noticed the move, the trade was already finished.

This isn’t gambling anymore.
It’s latency + AI + execution.

[dxrnelljcl @dxrnell]

You'd rather lose money fast than make money slow

You know this is true because you do it every single day

You skip the coin that's been building for weeks because it's "boring"

Then you ape into something that launched 3 minutes ago and watch it go to zero

You had the winner right in front of you and chose the lottery ticket instead

[Casey @caseycallouts]

Chinese engineer made $600,000 in ONE MONTH trading BTC markets on Polymarket.

No hype.
No signals.
Just the right tools + a 6-layer execution stack.

85% win rate.
~$150K profit per week.

Wallet: https://t.co/YvxsUIjYwt

That’s roughly $7M/year generated from pure market inefficiency.

Most people still use Claude like a chatbot.
The smart ones use it as infrastructure.

I reverse-engineered the entire strategy with Claude.

What’s under the hood:

• agent orchestration
• BTC market inefficiency detection
• execution timing models
• probability recalibration
• automated risk sizing

Professional-grade pipeline.

Closer to Jane Street than retail trading.

You can ignore this and keep trading manually.

Or save the post, study the system, and understand where markets are heading.

[Casey @caseycallouts]

THIS POLYMARKET BOT MADE $840,000+

Just a quant system farming inefficiencies in Bitcoin Up/Down markets 24/7.

Wallet: https://t.co/YvxsUIjYwt

Average daily profit?

+$23,341 PER DAY.

With high-frequency market making powered by Bayesian probability updates + Stoikov inventory management.

The engine constantly reprices probability faster than retail traders react.

Bayesian layer:

P(H|D) = P(D|H) · P(H) / P(D)
Kelly sizing determines position aggression:
f = (bp - q) / b

Stoikov balances exposure while quotes are placed:

r = s - qγσ²(T - t)

This is what separates it from random gamblers clicking YES or NO.

The craziest trades:

• $3,088 → $126,285

• $21,257 → $168,659

• $236,954 → $419,964
And the biggest edge?
Parlays.

The bot chains BTC + ETH + SOL “Up / Down” positions together.

Each correct prediction compounds the next one.

One edge becomes multiple layers of amplified exposure.

At the core, the strategy is insanely simple:

{ YES + NO < 100¢ }

If both outcomes combined are underpriced…

…the bot takes the imbalance before the market corrects itself.

[Casey @caseycallouts]

This Polymarket bot has a 47% win rate.

And still made +$80,000 in 30 days.

Polymarket account:
https://t.co/R3J6XfEqqc

+$23K last week.
+$3K/day average.

Best trades:
→ $96 → $1,900
→ $134 → $2,318
→ $445 → $2,279

The strategy?

It waits for panic.

When BTC violently pumps or dumps, traders start nuking one side of the 5-minute market.

Contracts crash to 5–30¢.

The bot buys the fear.

Not because it “knows” direction.

Because most moves briefly overextend before snapping back.

Even tiny rebounds create ridiculous returns:
5¢ → 15¢
10¢ → 40¢

That’s enough.

The second edge is even simpler:

Buying near-certain outcomes at 99¢ seconds before expiry and farming tiny low-risk gains over thousands of trades.

6,000+ trades later:
+$103,000.

No prediction model.
No alpha group.
No insider info.

Just exploiting emotional order flow faster than humans can react

[Casey @caseycallouts]

$TON will create new millionaires this summer…

[Frank @frankdegods]

Telegram positioning to become homebase for AI agents

[TAOFIQ @Taofiq]

TON will make you a millionaire.

[Alex Becker 🍊🏆🥇 @ZssBecker]

It's really easy to take your life and the people in it for granted.

No matter how hard you work, in a snap it can all be gone.

Focus on climbing the mountain. But don't get so obsessed you forget to enjoy what you have. One snap is all it takes.

[CryptoJack @cryptojack]

🚨 Pavel Durov stated that $TON ranks #1 among all L1 blockchains in transaction finality speed.

[Casey @caseycallouts]

CHINESE DEV wired Claude into Polymarket and turned a tiny bankroll into a six-figure run.

One trade:
$177 → $15,800 on 5-minute markets.

Past 7 days:
+$95,000
~+$13.5K per day

Stats:

54 trades made over $3,000
max loss: -$2,986
total PnL: +$117,000+

Profile: https://t.co/9wn3fzashl

[POΞ ⚡️ @poe_real69]

scanning

[Erik Stevens 🐆 @HopiumPapi]

Which would you rather do: take 15 trades a month and be profitable, or take 300 trades a month and lose money?