Casey Breen

Demographer. Asst Prof @UTAustin.

[Casey Breen @caseyfbreen]

New paper (w/ @dennisfeehan) on 'new' data sources for demographic research and the shared cross-cutting methodological challenges they present:

https://t.co/f1YoDirkxM

[@Steven Ruggles @HistDem]

My new article on the “Pig in the Python” argues that the demand for young workers will grow dramatically over the coming decades, likely leading to rising wages, stronger unions, and lower inequality. 1/28

[Reilly Steel @reillysteel]

Here is some small-N evidence from Princeton that PhD student research matters in the form of a news post reporting that two recent PhD graduates published part of their dissertations in the field’s top journal (ok self-serving b/c one is me 🙂): https://t.co/gM1rEDj9Fo
3/3

[Jay Van Bavel, PhD @jayvanbavel]

Academia in a nutshell:

We are status-seeking chimps searching for status through a tiny number of journals. This is not particularly healthy nor efficient.

[Casey Breen @caseyfbreen]

@silastopping @n_seltzer Thanks, Michael!

[Casey Breen @caseyfbreen]

New in PDR! Happy to see this one out. (Joint w/ @n_seltzer)

Structured Inequality, Uncertain Lifespans: Demographic Perspectives on Predicting Individual-Level Longevity

https://t.co/qEUricLmCU

[Casey Breen @caseyfbreen]

valid

[Alexander Kustov @akoustov]

4/ Academics hold AI to absurd double standards. We criticize AI hallucinations while tolerating p-hacking, non-replicable findings, and data errors in peer-reviewed work. Very few published papers are genuinely useful. AI is held to a standard we never applied to ourselves.

[Melanie Mitchell @MelMitchell1]

@GregKamradt I use em-dashes and colons all the time, sigh. AI is stealing our best punctuation marks. Who can we sue?

[Duke University Population Research Institute @duke_population]

Today's DUPRI seminar features Jennifer Montez, Professor of Sociology & Director of the Center for Aging and Policy Studies at Syracuse University. She is presenting "Why have mortality rates become increasingly unequal across U.S. counties?"

[Maya Sen @maya_sen]

@DStephenVoss I don’t blame the students as much - they’re just responding to the incentives

I do blame universities!

[Per Engzell @pengzell]

Anyone still on here? I'm hiring a second postdoc to work on my MaMo project... 2 years, start flexible in the next 12 months.

Formal call out shortly, email me to know when the listing goes live.

[Casey Breen @caseyfbreen]

@ufsoc which one?

[Matt Hall @fertmortmig]

Just out in @ReadDemography: We leverage variation in applications to ICE 287(g) agreements 2000-2020 to show that #deportations and immigration enforcement is causally linked to increases in Latino-White segregation.

OPEN ACCESS PDF
https://t.co/GSOyjA6PQm

[Phryne Astynome @PAstynome]

Remember people, school name doesn’t matter at all and the tech industry doesn’t care about school prestige.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

😂

[Ethan Raker @ethanraker]

Need some holiday reading? Want to know how to estimate extreme weather impacts on demographic outcomes when data IV and O are at different spatial scales?

My latest with Nick and Gerard in @ReadDemography

https://t.co/e33mZ65BuO

[Arpit Gupta @arpitrage]

Causality and prediction are not two distinct concepts

Causal inference is fundamentally a prediction problem: you’re predicting the counterfactual

Randomistas found a few clever ways to do causality without prediction. But if you solve prediction; you get causality for free

[Aliakbar Akbaritabar, @akbaritabar.bsky.social @Akbaritabar]

I am extremely happy to share. Just out in @pnas.org:

“Global subnational estimates of migration of scientists reveal large disparities in internal and international flows”

Open Access: https://t.co/yAuXCYn3Ro
w/ @danko_maciej @XinyiZhao16 @ezagheni @MPIDRnews #PAA2025

[Andrea Tilstra @Andrea_Tilstra]

Loved working with @NicoleKapelle on this one! Check out our latest in @JofHSB

[Joe LaBriola @joelabriola]

Looking forward to visiting @PennPSC next week!

[Ethan Raker @ethanraker]

👀New work out today in @ReadDemography!