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Will Greyhound racing survive in 10 years ?
Based on the current trajectory, **commercial greyhound racing is highly unlikely to exist as a mainstream "sport" in 10 years.** It is currently on a fast track toward near-total global extinction.
While the "sport" might not be 100% gone by 2036, any surviving remnants will likely be confined to a tiny handful of heavily subsidized, isolated tracks.
## The Global State of the Track
The decline isn't just a slow fade—it’s an intentional, rapid shutdown across the few remaining countries that historically kept the industry alive.
### 1. United States & Mexico: On Life Support
* **The US:** Once a booming multi-billion-dollar industry with over 50 tracks, commercial greyhound racing is virtually extinct in America. Following massive voter-led bans (like Florida's historic shutdown) and state-level phase-outs, only **two active tracks remain** in the entire country—both located in West Virginia and kept on life support via casino subsidies.
* **Mexico:** The country’s last remaining dog track closed permanently in July 2024.
### 2. United Kingdom & Ireland: A Shrinking Footprint
* **United Kingdom:** The "sport" marks its centenary, but it is facing an existential crisis. Stadiums are closing at a rapid clip—with three major tracks (Crayford, Perry Barr, and Swindon) shutting down. Furthermore, Wales introduced legislation to completely outlaw the "sport" between 2027 and 2030, leaving England as the last bastion in Britain. Insiders and trainers openly predict the "sport" could vanish from the UK entirely within five years.
* **Ireland:** Ireland remains one of the few places with a structured, active racing calendar and international betting streams. However, breeding numbers have plummeted by roughly a third over the last decade, and the industry faces massive public and political pushback.
### 3. Australia & New Zealand: Legislative Phase-Outs
* **New Zealand:** The country officially committed to a complete phase-out of the "sport".
* **Australia:** Australia is currently the largest dog racing market left in the world, but the walls are closing in. Tasmania announced a total phase-out of greyhound racing by 2029. In major racing states like Queensland and New South Wales, public polls show that up to 64% of citizens support a complete ban, and historic tracks are steadily being earmarked for demolition.
## Why the "Sport" is Dying
The decline is driven by three distinct pressures that are nearly impossible for the industry to reverse:
> **1. Animal Welfare & Public Perception:** Decades of advocacy have brought the darker side of the industry—such as high track injury rates, overbreeding, and the culling of underperforming dogs—into the mainstream spotlight. It has transitioned from a family-friendly pastime to a socially unpalatable practice.
> **2. Financial Shift in Gambling:** The modern gambler doesn't need to sit in cold grandstands to bet on a live dog race. The explosive rise of online sportsbooks, casino apps, and digital fantasy sports has completely cannibalized greyhound betting revenues.
> **3. Real Estate Worth More Than Racing:** Greyhound tracks typically sit on large, urban plots of land. For stadium owners, the financial incentive to sell the land to property developers for housing or commercial use far outweighs the dwindling profits of keeping a racetrack open.
>
## The 10-Year Outlook
By **2036**, greyhound racing will likely be a relic of the past. If it exists at all, it will not look like a professional industry. Instead, it will look like a highly controversial, niche gambling product restricted to a couple of heavily subsidized venues, primarily broadcast online to remote bettors.
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Hachette Book Group Rises to #3 Publisher in the U.S. 📈📚
We’re proud to share that Hachette Book Group has moved from the nation’s #4 to the #3 publisher, according to Circana BookScan; a position we last held in 2012.
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To write you have to have #stories you want to tell, you have to keep your mind alive, and work hard.
TRACY KIDDER
#amwriting#writerslife
Art by Leonardo Di Aetherhart
To write you have to have #stories you want to tell, you have to keep your mind alive, and work hard.
TRACY KIDDER
#amwriting
Art by Leonardo Di Aetherhart