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@corellian32 @danpfeiffer In a neutral election you should expect a R+10 PVI seat to be GOP 60% Dem 40% which is 10 points redder than a PVI+0 seat where you should expect a 50% - 50% margin.

In a R+5 PVI seat, the GOP should win 55/45. And so on.

In a D+10% year this district SHOULD be 54/46 GOP.

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@corellian32 @danpfeiffer It's not complicated. House popular vote margin in 24 was R+2%. A D+10% environment in 26 is a 12% swing.

In a district with a R+10 PVI, applying the same swing, you should expect a PVI of R+4 (or 54%)

PVI ≠ margin. PVI is a share difference from the 50% baseline.

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@corellian32 @danpfeiffer Clearly you don't know how Cook PVI works because a PVI of R+10 would provide an average GOP margin of +20%.

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@walkeri141 Average gas price in Ohio on Janaury 20, 2025 and October 7, 2024 was $3.02/gallon.

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@JMilesColeman At what point does IN05 (Trump +16) come into discussion? If KY06 is rated Lean GOP and it was Trump +15, have to think IN05 shouldn't be "Safe GOP".

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@StartSitEmFF Kalif Raymond or DJ Moore

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@kkondik @JMilesColeman Was the closest Texas Senate got in 2018 Lean GOP? Or likely?

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@CBSNews Did not have CBS News being one of the few to call this post racist on my bingo card.

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@SophiaCai99 There are no gorillas in The Lion King.

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@votetimscott Sooooo, it's not fake but "the most racist thing" suggests you've seen other racist things from this White House. What are we even doing here?

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@Reuters There was a literal book and a website detailing EXACTLY what they would do.

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@annmarie Is he trying to give the Liberals a majority government?

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@davidaxelrod @VP Maybe he's in charge of Venezuela now?

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@kaitlancollins @DannyEFreeman Or...and this is probably more important...how.

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@atrupar Well, it's Medicare, but yes. Yes we do.

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@atrupar They've literally been saying it's coming soon for 16 years.

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@nkellyIN More GOP Senators voted against the bill than voted for it. What is he even talking about?

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@netflix Live look in on @iamjohnoliver and @LastWeekTonight getting a new business daddy.

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@TangoMakki @Bencjacobs FWIW, Clinton was reelected 24 years before Joe Biden in 2020. Time is a crazy thing. Just think, Bill Clinton was 46 when he won in 92. And had already been a Governor and State AG for 14 years by that time.

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@FraggedFigment @Bencjacobs Fwiw, he's younger than Trump and hasn't been in elected office for 25 years...