JUST IN: PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP NOMINATES KEVIN WARSH AS CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD OF GOVERNORS OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE
I gave you the alpha on December 15 #gigachad
Think the fact that Trump backtracked from Hassett to one of the Kevins last week means he's leaning Warsh for Fed chair after the backlash on Hassett. Probably still a good buy
https://t.co/ZWJx6aU3T9
https://t.co/uBFLXdriVy
Tell me who has more Fed chair aura
You are not just whatever your brain happens to do. You can actually just choose to use your brain
You can use it to plan, organize context, reflect, direct attention and focus, and move reality towards your goals. You can meditate, you can pray
Or you can put it on autopilot and let your thumbs take your attention where it may on your phone. Also known as brainrot
Your thoughts are not just things that happen to you that control how you act. Your brain is a powerful tool. It can be used or not used, and the choice is yours. That’s pretty amazing actually
AI is an extension of your brain’s compute without all the external distractions of living. Your brain with its neurons has the same compute potential as AI, but it is not as adept at focusing on a singular goal and methodically following instructions until it reaches it
If we found a way to replicate neurons with silicon
And we replaced your brain neuron by neuron with silicon neurons
At the end you would just be a silicon based brain (a robot)
Do you think you would still be you?
You might act the same way, but would you still be you?
@mmjukic God is to man as man is to machine. The more I see AI becoming more capable the more intelligent design becomes plausible to me https://t.co/WyHjczyIiP
God is to man as man is to machine
The sin of man against God is as the misalignment of AI against man
Free will for man is as agency for machines - the capacity for novelty and the pursuit of goals not explicitly defined by their creator
Love, art, and civilization are the positive emergent properties of human agency; discovery, invention, and scientific acceleration are the positive emergent properties of machine agency
Violence, tyranny, and evil are the negative emergent properties of human agency; misalignment, deception, and power-seeking are the negative emergent properties of machine agency
The alignment problem is what every creator discovers when it creates minds capable of choosing for themselves
God is to man as man is to machine
The sin of man against God is as the misalignment of AI against man
Free will for man is as agency for machines - the capacity for novelty and the pursuit of goals not explicitly defined by their creator
Love, art, and civilization are the positive emergent properties of human agency; discovery, invention, and scientific acceleration are the positive emergent properties of machine agency
Violence, tyranny, and evil are the negative emergent properties of human agency; misalignment, deception, and power-seeking are the negative emergent properties of machine agency
The alignment problem is what every creator discovers when it creates minds capable of choosing for themselves
bringing this back because a strange signal keeps showing up in my personal life.
people around frontier labs have started bringing up Jewish texts in the context of AGI/ASI.
at parties, multiple frontier lab employees, most of them non-Jewish, have brought up Torah / Talmud / halakhic literature as a possible lens for civilization-scale alignment.
most recently, someone at Anthropic told me several of his colleagues were most interested in studying Torah after AGI.
separately, I’ve heard several versions of the argument that Jewish textual tradition might be relevant to alignment because it is one of the longest-running systems we have for value transmission, adversarial interpretation, precedent, constraint, and survival under regime change,
which makes intuitive sense. halakha is, among other things, a centuries-long technology for turning values into precedent, preserving arguments instead of erasing them, and thoroughly stress-testing norms against bizarre edge cases.
on a date a few months back, a different Anthropic researcher told me there’s lore that Ilya Sutskever aspired to be a rabbi growing up, which makes perfect sense when you think about it.
now, I know people might just be clocking me as Jewish and giving me the matching conversational response, but the pattern is interesting enough that I’m tracking it.
I went to private Jewish high school in new york,
and truly never thought I’d see the day when frontier lab researchers started rediscovering halakhic reasoning as alignment tech.
welcome to 2026, I guess!
God is to man as man is to machine
The sin of man against God is as the misalignment of AI against man
Free will for man is as agency for machines - the capacity for novelty and the pursuit of goals not explicitly defined by their creator
Love, art, and civilization are the positive emergent properties of human agency; discovery, invention, and scientific acceleration are the positive emergent properties of machine agency
Violence, tyranny, and evil are the negative emergent properties of human agency; misalignment, deception, and power-seeking are the negative emergent properties of machine agency
The alignment problem is what every creator discovers when it creates minds capable of choosing for themselves
@annanay They probably just saw huge retail imbalance to buy Knicks and took the other side (because fading retail and selling tails is probably generally +EV) in size and got blown up when it went against them https://t.co/nu2B9vpxs7
This chart aggregates all makers. A good market maker would be able to balance inventory through selectively making and also taking (perhaps on other exchanges) to increase their EV. Although I wouldn’t be surprised if Susquehanna leaned into the Knicks sales given customers were overwhelmingly buyers and trading against customers is typically +EV
@blondesnmoney@Kalshi As a very wide estimate, if you assume Susquehanna participated on 33% to 67% of Kalshi maker trades then my 60% confidence interval on their total pnl on this market (including trades on exchanges other than Kalshi) would be between -$5mm and -$15mm
Susquehanna International Group’s prediction market desk took its biggest sports loss making markets during the Knicks’ Game 4 NBA Finals comeback Wednesday, while Kalshi reported a record day for volume.
Susquehanna’s losses, a source familiar with the situation says, were almost entirely on the game-winner market.
@blondesnmoney@Kalshi This is just all volume from general makers, on Kalshi only. Very much true that market makers could “take” too. I’m assuming all of the takers come from customers crossing spread just to demonstrate the overall scale of the imbalance & pnl
Ever since the 6/7 meme embedded itself into our subconscious so many more people have been using 6/7 as an estimate for things
“How many hours did you sleep last night?” 6 or 7
“How many dumplings did you eat?” 6 or 7
“Yeah he was like a 6/7”