ChamberZero

We possess the means to create a utopia.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@rpyers Great chart!

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

Of the 45 house races where last election margin was <10 pts and both sides have raise at least 1m, the money diff is

Average 20.4%,
Median 9.4%

So 15% is not an extraordinary diff. That said the above screenshot is missing about ~3m which would push to ~20%, on the upper end but not extraordinary.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@rpyers Very interesting!

Lopsided midterm raises is another early tell.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@CLFSuperPAC Breakdown of where CLF money came from and went.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@MatthewFoldi @CLFSuperPAC @SpeakerJohnson Breakdown of where CLF money came from and went
https://t.co/1MjGQxsM1Z

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

View the details here: https://t.co/3wAwy75IiS

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

Full overview of Musk's donations this cycle

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@RealBenMichael Talarico's direct and indirect donors.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@teddyschleifer Curious how you handle attributing PAC spending that doesn't directly name a candidate? (canvassing, mail and digital spending etc.)

I spread them across the candidates the same PAC’s ads named in the weeks around each payment.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@EliClifton Breakdown of the aforementioned $30 million in spending

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@Rothmus This is misleading.

Majority of Paxton's support comes from 'uncoordinated' outside spend which never reaches his committees.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

Total Midterms Spending through Nov 1st.

Dem 🔵
Total Spent: 5.9B
Available Cash: 1.82B

Rep 🔴
Total Spent: 5.47B
Available Cash: 1.82B

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@SteveCortes Untraceable money

Ossoff: $10.2m (6% of total)
Collins: $644k (2% of total)

The spending is so one sided in this race, it doesn't matter much.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

@ExcludesNI @SteveCortes Harris left - Trump right

Breakdown of spending sources including untraceable sources.

D Money is far less traceable than R Money across all elections.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

Top elections by spending this cycle.

House Money: $3.5b
Senate Money: $2.9b

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

What is the cheapest Senate election this cycle?

Wyoming for total of ~$7 million (including primary spending between R's)

Last Wyoming Senate election was +50 R

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

It must be noted; 1960-1990s Texas dems while far from their solid south roots, would be considered conservative Republicans by modern standards.

So Talarico would be the first real liberal senator.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

Last time Texas had a Dem senator was 1994 after Bentsen retired.

[ChamberZero @ChamberZero_]

LBJ ending in 1960 was the last time they had 2 D Senators.