Chen Huang

Product and Engineering. Previously at Google/Walmart.com/Adobe

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@alojohhardcore Series 1 = Teal = $MU
Series 2 = Turquoise = $SNDK

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@alojohhardcore Loaded all the way to $998 today while heavy on margin… I wouldn't have had the guts or conviction to push like this before earning without AJ🙌🔥 Thank you so much!

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@Yuri_Baranov @KennethWKnapp1 @AhmedHegazy @alojohhardcore I can confirm that during the yen carry trade, Fidelity, Robinhood and Schwab were down for me. To Schwab’s credit, their Thinkorswim desktop app was up at the time.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@KennethWKnapp1 @AhmedHegazy @alojohhardcore @Yuri_Baranov Ask for a match with Robinhood (~4.5%) or IBKR (~4.5%), which should be able to get you down to 7%. Same to the ToS access they should be able to help.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@KennethWKnapp1 @AhmedHegazy @alojohhardcore @Yuri_Baranov You can either chat or call their customer support, which is the best among all the brokerages. They often go out of their ways to help.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@KennethWKnapp1 @AhmedHegazy @alojohhardcore @Yuri_Baranov I have been able to use ToS for all my accounts regardless of margin. Schwab’s margin rate sucks though; mine is at 7%. I might move if I cannot negotiate it down.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@alojohhardcore Really enjoyed reading this report right at the inflection point! Is adding AMAT to the cockpit next? Eager to see how it ranks. Also, does a recent 45-60 day median multiple anchor make sense here, given the repricing likely happened around Q1 earnings (~30 days ago)?

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

Thanks for the breakdown. Building on your point about small-cap stocks—do you think exposing signals could make the group a target for predatory attacks? For instance, if you signal a smaller ticket like XPEV, could it attract extensive shorting from people trying to fade the group's momentum? Would love to get your thoughts on this risk.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

This timeline aligns with Ken Griffin’s perspective. He recently laid out a compelling case for high oil prices: while the U.S. is relatively shielded, energy scarcity spreading across the developing world for 6 to 12 months would create the perfect conditions for a global recession. We’re likely looking at these prices being fully priced in by August.

That said, August may already be late for the Trump administration to effectively bring down costs before the midterm campaign hits its peak. Because of that political pressure, we might actually see a push to drive prices down well before August.

https://t.co/CioAp0lw4U

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@grok @alojoh @gigafactories Why is the peak still well below 80% after 4+ years? @grok

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

For anyone tracking $PLTR’s multiple compression, the PLTR deep dive (at 33:42) breaks it down: https://t.co/pDYFX1iUnH

TLDR:
1. Using the PEG ratio, Palantir is actually fairly valued.
2. The high multiple is in a "league of its own" due to massive growth acceleration.
3. Even with a flat stock price, the P/E naturally resets to the ~40x range in a year as EPS catches up.
So an upside is still possible.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

If the multiple compresses to the 40x–45x range over the next year, does that imply the price stays stagnant or even corrects—unless we see massive EPS growth to offset that reset? Also, given your concern on crude, is a full exit a possible play if $100 oil starts to truly price in?

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@TaoRay 感谢陶老师分享。
1. 美股会不会因为通过吸引全球的资金从而继续推高估值？是否需要考虑全球主要股票市场的估值是否过高？
2. 除了过高估值，有没有类似2008年或2020年的系统性风险？美国政府债务会不会成为下一个系统性的风险，目前处于什么样的阶段？

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@alojohhardcore Front-running can set up a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” reversal — thanks for flagging it. Looking at loading some UVXY as a hedge going into this week.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@alojohhardcore In this "crazy scenario": AMD’s median forward P/E (20.5x) is nearly identical to NVDA’s. AMD likely has fully priced in Su's guidance.

In 2024, AMD peaked at 60x vs NVDA’s 40x, showing AMD's much higher valuation volatility.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@alojohhardcore @PulotRai (by MV) = Market Value. This means Xpeng currently makes up 17% of the portfolio's total worth at today's market prices.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@Balloon_Capital 看得很通透👍

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@alojoh I loaded up too, esp on Friday. I also believe the hysteria might still be ongoing.
https://t.co/bA7AVuOtBf

[Eyal Ofer אייל עופר @Eyalo365]

Trump's Truth Social claim: Iran is totally defeated, on its knees, practically apologizing.

Reality check

Significant damage to Iranian ballistic missile forces → true

But: Iran just destroyed a $300M US radar with a $30K drone. Some sources say the total damage to multiple radar sites is > 4 Billion $.

Iran hit US bases in 7 countries last week → While the US Navy is unable (at least not yet) to keep the Hormuz straits open. Oil at $90.
Iranian president: “We will never surrender”

No signs of collapse; likely to continue if China/Russia continues to back them with intelligence.

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

@zerohedge Trump being trump 😂https://t.co/9WJiGiuJ89

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

TRUMP: OIL SEEMS TO HAVE PRETTY MUCH STABILIZED

1) what

[Chen Huang @chenhuang]

True—it's ultimately about whether enough crews and operators are willing to take the risk, even for significantly higher pay. Life-or-death stakes don't vanish just because insurance becomes available, so this will take time.

This mirrors Operation Earnest Will in the 1980s: once U.S. escorts stabilized perceptions, traffic resumed despite ongoing threats. Crew willingness often follows when financial exposure drops and naval protection is visible.

Variables to observe: How quickly/cheaply the DFC coverage rolls out;
How many lines actually sign up;
Whether Iran escalates asymmetric attacks (drones, small boats, mines);

I hope tanker flows restart within days, but it is probably more likely to be weeks.