I've thought about this concept a lot and would like your opinion... but stocks themselves will tell you how much exposure you should have.
If leaders are breaking out, holding support, giving low-risk entries, and your positions are working, there's no reason to stay overly defensive.
Before you know it, you can naturally find yourself heavily invested simply by adding to strength and letting your winners earn the right for more capital. On the flip side, if setups are failing and leaders are breaking down, the market is telling you to pull back.
I think too many traders become obsessed with where the indexes are instead of focusing on what the leading stocks are actually doing.
If I'm building cushion, my positions are acting well, and leaders continue offering low-risk entries, I'll continue putting money to work.
The best markets have a way of pulling me in naturally.
I don't force exposure... the stocks earn it.
My take on FOMC tomorrow:
There is no way the new Fed Chair comes in hawkish. Trump doesn’t allow that.
Especially after the Iran deal was completed on his birthday
$MU 9x. $INTC 48x. $MRVL 78x. $ARM 134x.
One of these companies is sold out through 2026 and likely 2027, generating record margins, and supplying the most critical component in AI infrastructure, the Cognitive Capacity Layer.
It is the cheapest one on the list.
Power transformer lead times are now approaching 2.5 years, with generator step-up transformers averaging 144 weeks.
AI isn't constrained by GPU demand anymore - it's constrained by power.
$FPS sits right in the middle of that bottleneck, providing the switchgear, E-Houses, and low-voltage distribution needed to energize new data centers.
No power. No AI.
THE FOMC SCRIPT
>Little dip on Tuesday into the close and Wednesday until FOMC, as the market is always de-risking and the index is at ATH, this makes sense
>Warsh won’t betray Trump at his first meeting, he will bend over like a good body
>We fly beyond infinity until earnings
-RM
$DRAM Has a plenty more upside.
Stocks making new 52 week highs will make more 52 week highs
But $MRAM is small cap that can do leaps to 40s.
I own both.
$DRAM quietly building a cup right at highs.
Top holdings:
🇰🇷 SK Hynix
🇰🇷 Samsung Electronics
🇺🇸 Micron $MU
🇺🇸 Sandisk $SNDK
Memory remains one of the strongest AI themes this cycle.
Korean Media: SK Hynix Preparing Massive $66.4 Billion Shareholder Return Program Following ADR Listing
- Korean media report that SK Hynix is expected to announce a large-scale shareholder return program worth approximately $66.4 billion after its ADR listing.
- To minimize dilution concerns and potential backlash from existing shareholders, the company has reportedly reduced the ADR offering size from 2.4% of outstanding shares to the low-2% range.
- SK Hynix is expected to raise approximately KRW 40 trillion (about $26.5 billion) through the issuance of new shares as part of the ADR offering.
What does these four companies have in common?
They are the world's top Semiconductor Equipment Manufacturers. These guys don't make the actual chips, they build the machines that allow major chipmakers to design and fabricate microchips.
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$AMAT $ASML $KLAC $LRCX