Ches Crosbie

Leader of the Opposition in NL until the COVID Election of 2021, long- time class action and medical malpractice lawyer (now non-practicing).

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

@mark_slapinski The resignation is a settlement of four years of litigation under the controverted elections provisions of the Elections Act of NL. A general election must be held by September.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

@rlegrow @kristinaennis Consistent effort pays, congratulations Kristina!

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

@DhallaRuby Better eyes 👀 open than elbows up!

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

Ever wonder how the net zero scam works, and how World Economic Forum insiders like Mark Carney plan to make money from it?

Liberal PM Mark Carney is a devoted fan of high integrity, but not the kind of integrity you think. Carney is a big booster of “high-integrity credits”, a high-tech way of “removing” carbon, and selling the carbon for premium prices (i.e. turning the carbon into big money) on an artificial carbon credit market he has dedicated much of his insider career to creating. AI explains how this works for Carney’s company Brookfield:

• Brookfield invests billions in carbon removal and decarbonization technologies, seeking both financial returns and climate impact.

• Revenue streams include carbon credit sales, contracted services, and capital appreciation.

• High-integrity removals command premium prices and support Brookfield’s sustainability claims.

This model aligns with Brookfield’s broader strategy of leveraging sustainability and decarbonization trends to generate stable, growing, and inflation-protected cash flows from infrastructure and transition assets.”

If you want the deets, have a look at https://t.co/UlG5WZwUYP

With their man Carney calling the shots and building the trends in Ottawa, Brookfield’s strategy of “leveraging sustainability and decarbonization trends” to grow “inflation-protected cash flows” looks like a sure winner, for Brookfield and for Carney both.

Carney has millions of dollars’ worth of shares and options in Brookfield, possibly hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth (full amount undisclosed, because “blind trust”). He expects the carbon credit market to be a hundred billion dollar a year market, and his zealotry for net zero is powered by profound conflict of interest arising from personal investments in Brookfield (conveniently moved to a tax haven). As Prime Minister, Carney will be in an apex position to create that billion dollar market through Canadian government policy, and moonshot his Brookfield shareholdings at the expense of Canadians.

Carney will be in an apex predator position, that is. And ordinary Canadians will be the prey.

Vote Conservative if you don’t want to be the carbon they profit from.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

Most Canadians remain blind to the existential threat Canada is under from Mark Carney’s ruthless devotion to net zero climatism.

This from the Toronto Sun, normally thought to be a Liberal news organization:

“Of all the reasons not to elect Mark Carney as the next prime minister of Canada on Monday, his history as the world’s leading corporate booster of achieving “net zero emissions” by 2050 is the biggest.”

https://t.co/5bL8163aqg

Liberal leader Carney is the least vetted PM candidate in modern Canadian history. Dozens of conflict of interest and dishonesty issues contradict his capacity to govern Canada in the interest of Canada, and have gone unexamined in the hysteria over the Bad Orange Man.

Especially unexamined are Carney’s close ties to China. Much blame for this rests on the cartel media, corrupted by hundreds of millions of dollars in Liberal government subsidies, a subsidy scandal the dying cartel media won’t talk about.

But Canadians also have to take individual responsibility for their complacency about the danger to their country. We have allowed manipulated, anti-Trump patriotic emotion, to blind us to the real danger to Canada. What, after all, is the Carney slogan “elbows up” except an irrational desire to incur penalties through dirty play?

The real danger to Canada is not Trump’s desire to Make North America Great Again. The real danger is Carney/Trudeau climate ruthlessness, which will destroy our independent capacity to negotiate Canada’s place within the new geostrategic order.

“Putting Carney, the UN’s Special Envoy for Climate Action and Finance, and co-chair of the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero — “relentlessly, ruthlessly, absolutely focused on the transition to net zero” in Carney’s words — will mean cutting our own economic throat.”

Polling shows we may be waking up to the danger of losing Canada, with a swing to Conservatives.

So vote. The future of Canada and of Newfoundland and Labrador goes to those who vote. And the rational vote to preserve the Canada we thought we knew, is Conservative.

[David Coletto @DavidColetto]

Conservatives close gap on Liberals in crucial final stretch

The latest polls suggest the federal Conservatives are closing the gap on the Liberals in this crucial final stretch of the campaign. Caryn Ceolin is joined by the CEO of Abacus Data to discuss what polling tells us about how the election might end.

https://t.co/fVis0eVete

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

Trump Derangement Syndrome results in an inability to separate Trump’s personality and character from his strategic political program. Our inability to accurately discern his strategy may cost us our country.

Trump’s remarkable character, like it or dislike it, has gotten him a long way. The following appraisal is from German Substack writer Eugippious:

“Donald Trump is among the most significant political figures of my lifetime. I think his presidency represents a necessary correction to years of escalating progressivoid absurdity.

That does not mean, however, that I think Trump is infallible, correct in all things, or incapable of making mistakes. At base, Trump is a Caesarist figure – the leader of a populist backlash against an increasingly discredited American liberal elite. He is a showman and a brilliant if relentlessly underestimated political strategist with remarkable antifragile qualities. He is also fearless, aggressive, erratic and slightly crazy. If he weren’t all of these things at once – the good qualities together with the
indifferent and the bad – he wouldn’t be where he he is now”

Trump is either playing high-stakes 4D chess to reset the global financial and strategic order on America’s own terms, or he is impulsively blundering into a global recession and setting up America for decline. If  he is playing a 4D chess game, he is not telling us his moves. That would be contrary to the Art of the Deal principle of never telling your adversary your real intentions.  We don’t yet know which it is, brilliant chess or impulsive disaster."

One of Trump’s moves has been to intervene strategically in the current Canadian federal election-most recently last Thursday-in ways that boost the electoral prospects of the Mark Carney Liberals. Why?

Discerning voters need to get beyond Orange Man Bad and ask: is Trump being reckless, random and impulsive in endorsing Carney, or is he playing a 4D chess game in which the object is to elect a government of Canada which will compound previous Liberal failures, destroy Canadian unity, and bring Canada’s component parts within Fortress America?

If you love Canada and think that Trump may be playing chess, vote Conservative. And have Plan B for if the Liberals get in.

https://t.co/5UvUmUjeof

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

President Trump endorsed Liberal Mark Carney for PM because he knows that a vote for Carney is a vote for involuntary surrender to Trump’s America. It gets Trump what he wants.

Carney is a fanatical net zero globalist. Carney is the master, and Trudeau was the student. A decade of woke, progressive, climatard policies resulted in Canada’s lost decade.

Carney intends to double down on this failed Liberal record. Carney’s net zero ideology AIMS at degrowth. Translation: poverty for you, profiteering for the elites who are in on the scam. Elites like Carney and his Brookfield Infrastructure corporate conglomerate, cozy with the Chinese, protected in tax havens and positioned to profiteer globally from lunatic government net zero spending.

The result will be Canada as an impoverished and isolated failed state, without economic or military capacity to assert sovereignty against Trump’s America.

A vote for Carney is a vote for Canada as the 51st state, and Trump knows it.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

Liberal PM Carney looks to be a serial offender against the truth. His trustworthiness and transparency have been challenged again, and this time even the Liberal-subsidized legacy press is offended.

https://t.co/MCY6oh59Va

President Trump has been stirring up Canadians with his 51st state trolling, and his quasi-endorsement of Carney for PM. Who better to “deal with” Trump, Carney or Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre, has displaced the Liberal record of Carney-advised failure on economic and cost of living issues, as the ballot box issue in the voting which closes the national election on April 28.

Carney had a telephone call with Trump a few weeks ago, and sources familiar with the call have contradicted Carney’s public statements about it. I asked Perplexity AI to provide an objective conclusion as to the latest Carney misdirection revelation:

“Mark Carney has been caught in a situation where his initial public statements downplayed or omitted the fact that Trump raised the “51st state” idea during their call. Subsequent reporting and Carney’s own later admissions confirmed that the topic was discussed. While Carney denies intentionally misleading Canadians, the sequence of events shows a clear discrepancy between his first public account and later clarifications.”

It is ironic that many Canadian citizens may vote for newbie PM Carney to “deal with” Trump, when Carney can’t be trusted to tell them about his personal interactions with the Orange Man on their behalf.

After the past five years of constant government lies, Canada needs a PM who will earn trust back, not destroy it. Carney has proven himself inadequate to the job.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

How President Trump sees North America:

This is where Trump‘s preoccupation with Greenland and his ballyragging about Canada as the 51st state comes from. Trump views the world through geo-strategic spectacles. The nearly undefended northern sea lanes are opening, and Russia just across the pole is armed and dangerous.

Trump is concerned to build ramparts and secure the approaches to the northern part of the continent. To build Fortress America.

And Trump does not want an impoverished, ideologically hostile rogue state on America’s northern border, which is what Canada will become if the economically destructive, net zero fanatic Mark Carney, and his failed Liberals, form government.

The issue is not who, Carney or Poilievre, can better “take on” Trump. The issue is who will recognize geo-strategic reality and preserve Canada’s sovereignty within the new boundaries of Fortress America, by navigating a mutually beneficial military and economic relationship with the anti-globalist, aroused military and economic superpower to the south. And it isn’t globalist avatar Mark Carney.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

We know PM Carney’s global banker resume, but what do we know about his agenda?

Trudeau’s economic advisor Carney just gave us insight into his agenda for Canada by releasing a platform costing which admits to increasing Canadian national debt, now $1.24 trillion, by $225 billion if implemented.

Carney’s boss Trudeau already doubled Canada‘s national debt. Carney plans not to reduce our debt vulnerability, but to drastically increase it.

The bankruptcy of nations happens in the same way the bankruptcy of individuals happens. At first gradually, then suddenly.

A shocking report from the Liberal government’s own Privy Council emphasizes the path of increasing poverty down which Trudeau/Carney Liberal policies are driving Canadians.

This is not an agenda of managerial competence and stability and “Canada Strong”, the illusion of which attracts so many Canadian voters. It is an agenda for destruction of Canadian living standards and our hope for the future, and quite possibly an agenda for the destruction of Canada.

[cbcwatcher @cbcwatcher]

Joe Warmington asks Pierre Poilievre about the dystopian Privy Council report about the future of Canada and he quotes from the report

"And then this, this, this last line, it just, it staggers me that because groceries are expected to become so expensive"

"Carney's top government department, people may start to hunt, fish and forage on public lands and waterways like this is"

"This is exactly why I'm in politics, to reverse this, to give people back the promise of this country."
@joe_warmington @PierrePoilievre

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

Civil war is far from Canadian minds. But Canadian war studies Professor David Betz makes a disturbing case that civil war will break out in advanced Western countries within the next five years.

https://t.co/9WKoRVparw

Dr. Betz persuasively argued for the probability of civil war in a Western nation state, spreading to other states, in the linked interview with former CBC journalist Trish Woods. But in the interview, he did not allow for the possibility that Canada, a federal state, has developed mechanisms for processing potentially violent conflict and is not doomed to follow the example of the Americans and their violent civil war.

Thanks to having to grapple with Quebec succession, Canada has arrived at a broad methodology for orderly succession from the national sovereign authority. This requires a referendum with a clear question and a clear majority in favour of succession, and negotiation between the succeeding province and the rest of the federation. The pressures toward civil war may thus be sublimated into a constitutionally approved process.

Betz says that the principal catalyst for violence in most Western states will be persistent disregard by progressive political elites, of the desire of ordinary people for the preservation of their traditions and cultural heritage.

This cultural heritage is our inherited western civilization, based on Judaeo-Christian and Enlightenment values of tolerance, liberty and high social trust. It has been eroded by an influx of people from low trust, low performance regions, many of whom are unwilling to adapt to a high trust and high performance society.

Globalists like PM Mark Carney seek close profit relationships with totalitarian countries like China, don’t believe in borders and encourage high levels of immigration which swamp their citizens’ perception of community identity. Globalist elites are more loyal to undemocratic institutions with global control ambitions, like the World Economic Forum, the United Nations, and international financial organizations, than they are loyal to sovereign, democratic nation states, including their own.

A possible example of this swamping of community is the selection, by the Liberal government which Mark Carney heads, of Pictou, NS for settlement of new immigrants, starting this year. (Many will eventually move elsewhere.) I own a cottage near Pictou. It is a town of 2000 with an ageing population located in a picturesque rural setting. Is targeted immigration coming to a small town near you?

Liberal PM Carney has promised a reduction of Canadian permanent resident immigration levels from his Liberal government’s 500,000 target last year, to 300,000. He is a globalist and is surrounded by the same Trudeau Liberal members of Parliament and cabinet who delivered the mass immigration and open border policies of the last 10 years.

Every voter must decide for himself or herself whether they believe him.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

Does the United States have a contingency plan for war with Canada?

According to Substack writer John Leake, citing a variety of sources including Wikipedia, the answer is yes, and plans go back at least to the 1930s.

Such plans are not surprising. The United States has the world’s dominant military, and planning is the essence of military preparedness. To fail to plan is to plan to fail, as the saying goes.

But personally, I take Trump’s bombastic talk about Canada as the 51st state as an expression of his bombastic and attention-seeking personality, not as a statement about an intention to annex Canada. And I choose to be amused by it.

Why so many Canadians abruptly forgot 10 years of Liberal  incompetence, high tax policy and economic stagnation and the ballot box issue in the general election, and decided that newbie Liberal PM Carney is the leader to “deal with” Trump, is perplexing.
What makes us think that anyone can deal with Trump?

But if dealing with Trump and preserving the Canadian state is the ballot box issue, then I would not choose a multi-passport globalist financial elitist who does not believe in borders for the job.

Leake, an American, thinks so too:
"It seems to me it would be a great pity if Canadians decide to elect Mark Carney—the epitome a programmed WEF globalist banker automaton—because they believe he would be more skilled at protecting Canadian interests from Donald Trump. Everything about Carney indicates that he serves globalist interests, and not the interests of the Canadian people."

https://t.co/aBxLWoN03K

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

This past weekend marked a central event in the Judaeo Christian heritage around which Canada is formed. For Christians, Easter Sunday is a historical event and a living reminder of God’s love, the transformative power of faith, and the assurance of eternal life through belief in Christ.

The vitality of Christian faith will prevail over all, but the federal Liberal government under Carney intends to add to the obstacles by removing “Advancement of Religion” as a charitable object, undermining over 30,000 Christian charities.

Another move to turn Canada into a “post-national state”?
Something to reflect on when casting your vote.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

If Liberal leader and unelected PM Mark Carney had his way, I might be in jail. Along with many other Canadians who supported the peaceful Freedom Convoy protest.

Carney wrote an authoritarian Globe and Mail op-ed during the 2022 Freedom Convoy protests in Ottawa, characterizing the demonstrators as committing “sedition”, “insurrection”, and attempting to overthrow democratic governance.

Carney swept financial donors to the convoy into his bucket of seditionists and insurrectionists, and advocated for the “full force of the law” against participants and donors alike.

I was a donor. The Convoy was spontaneously protesting senseless government repression of liberties Canadians assumed they enjoyed before the Covid madness, and I wanted to support brave and kind Canadians. I specified anonymity in my donation, but criminals
stole the information and made it public, so I’m not disclosing anything new.

The Federal Court found that while the Freedom Convoy protests caused significant disruption, they did not meet the legal threshold of “serious violence” required to justify invoking the Emergencies Act

The court determined the protests lacked evidence of systemic threats or acts of serious violence against persons or property.

So, don’t take legal advice from Mark Carney, or trust him to apply the law. Canada’s Criminal Code defines seditious intent as advocating force against lawful authority, and there was no evidence of such intent. And don’t count on Carney to keep a cool
head when others are losing theirs, either-an ability most might think requisite in a leader.

The reference in Carney’s op-ed to “following the money” is sinister. Some donors, chosen randomly, had their bank accounts frozen. The court found that this was in violation of Charter rights. I could have been one of the donors whose banking was wrongfully frozen.

And consider yourself forewarned if you do something peaceful that offends government, and a future PM Carney decides arbitrarily that you have committed “sedition”, and follows YOUR money.

No person’s life or property is safe, should Carney be elected Prime Minister on April 28.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

The recent dramatic increases in the yields for US treasury bonds are persisting, which is a very big deal for the United States. It is also a big deal for NL.

The US government is already spending $1.1 trillion per year just to pay interest on its $36 trillion national debt. Higher interest rates could easily amount to hundreds of billions of dollars in additional US debt servicing costs each year.

Retaliatory selling by China, which is stuck with a 100%+ tariff while Trump pauses further tariffs against most of the rest of the world, is a a major factor driving up bond yields and cost of borrowing. Trade war has graduated to financial war, and may escalate to other fronts of conflict. Expect turbulence, and continued higher rates, to persist. Trump has focussed the battlescape on China, his principal target all along.

China has repressive force to make their population ride out the contest, and America has the much stronger economy. The Art of the Deal will eventually prevail, but meanwhile there will be collateral damage.

Among the damaged will be NL’s already vulnerable financial position. Last week’s $11 billion budget forecast a price for oil and oil revenue which is too high, while projecting a need to borrow $4.1 billion on the bond markets. Now the cost of borrowing is going up. When elephants paw the ground, mice should tremble.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

The BIG news today is that Trump put a 90 day pause on US tariff retaliation on all countries, except those who already retaliated. Those countries who retaliated are-drumroll-China, AND Canada, under lame duck Liberal PM Mark Carney. This was Carney’s attempt to leverage Trump Derangement Syndrome as an election strategy.
The stock markets had a major rally on news of the pause.

The BIGGER but less noticed news in the last few days, is US government bond yields have spiked, with 30 year treasuries seeing their quickest increase in 40 years. This is a big deal, because it stands to make borrowing much more expensive, not least for the US government, which must refinance more than $8 trillion in bonds by the end of this year.

The cause of the yield spike is the dumping of bonds into the market, perhaps by big Wall Street firms who don’t like the Trump attack on business-as-usual, perhaps by sovereign nations, especially China, which holds over $1 trillion in US bonds.

I am guessing the bond market attack was driven by China, and the suspension of US trade retaliation against everyone else was aimed at sucker punching America’s principal adversary, China. Too bad that in his desire to stand out as a Trump defier by levying retaliatory tariffs, Mark Carney ineptly wheeled Canada into a field of battle occupied by two dueling giants.

Mark Carney should pay attention to the warning delivered by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to the American Bankers Association, that seeking closer ties with China “would be cutting your own throat“. Bessent added “Don’t retaliate, things will turn out well.” China is now isolated and targeted with 125% tariffs, because they retaliated. And oh yes, so did unelected PM Carney’s Canada.

Thanks, ballyhooed international financial wizard Mark Carney, let’s hope the dueling giants are too busy to notice us.

Last post, I took an optimistic view, suggesting that the Trump administration is not prosecuting its tariff policy just from a love of chaos, and that any intelligent trade negotiating partner must ask whether a grand strategic plan is at work, in which the tariffs are an opening gambit for universal negotiations. A plan which is centred on the need to master the ocean of American debt.

Next post, I will continue to develop the possibility that Trump has a plan, because knowing that plan will help us make smart voting decisions in the current Canadian federal election. Smarter decisions than holding hands with China.

[Kirk Lubimov @KirkLubimov]

🚨Donald Trump has announced a 90 pause on tariffs to negotiate with all the countries who reached out - except the countries that retaliated against the US with tariffs.

Who are these countries?

Canada and China.

As of right now, tariffs are in place on Canada and both the Liberals & CPC supported this.

Canada is run by idiots.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

Trump did not build a vast business empire and become US President twice, without knowing how to plan. So the default assumption for a counterparty to a Trump challenge should be that Trump has a plan, and the requirement for success in the challenge is to understand Trump’s plan.

Trump also did not build a vast business empire without understanding debt.

Trump’s plan is to Make America Great Again by retrenching an overextended Pax Americana to the Americas, or Fortress America, while stabilizing global confidence in American finances and in the American dollar as the global reserve currency. To achieve this, Trump has to be seen to have a plan to master America’s unimaginably large debt.

Trump’s negotiation style often involves opening salvoes which are intended to disorient and off-balance counterparties, and it is a mistake to think that what he says he wants, is really what he wants. Thus the need for interpretation from people who know Trump well.

Rebalancing trade deficits is certainly a goal of the Trump tariffs, but his goals for strategic adversary China, are broader and more complex than his goals for say, Zimbabwe. His goals for negotiation with strategic partner Canada include border security and Arctic defence. What ties it all together is the imperative of getting control of America’s debt.

How badly in debt is America? As of March 2025, America holds $36.22 trillion in gross national debt. One-third of that publicly held debt, or $9 trillion, will mature within the next year, and the real and present danger is that this debt will have to be refinanced at significantly higher rates. To help to get a sense of what seems like an abstraction, consider the image below.

And 1 TRILLION seconds is 31.7 thousand years! Billions are hard to grasp, but trillions take us from the realm of a single human lifespan to the realm of 1,178 human generations!

We will consider how Trump may be planning to overcome the debt problem, and how this may effect Canada, in future posts.

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

@DJSpeicher You have my attention

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

President Trump himself said that Pierre Poilievre is “not a MAGA guy”.

And Poilievre is not a DOGE guy either.

Although often reported as a cut of bureaucracy, Conservative leader Poilievre’s recently announced plan is described on the party website as a cut in red tape. Cut of bureaucracy does not mean cut in bureaucrats, although cutting bureaucracy strongly implies that fewer bureaucrats will be needed to enforce the red tape.

Poilievre’s plan includes specific bureaucracy reduction targets, structured around a 25% Reduction in Federal Red Tape, a legislated requirement to remove two existing regulations for every new one introduced, and a Cost-Saving Ratio of a $2 cut elsewhere for every new dollar spent.

While Poilievre has broadly criticized the growth of the federal public service (which expanded by 40% under Trudeau), his recently stated targets focus on productivity-sapping regulatory burden rather than direct headcount reductions.

Many would say that headcount reductions must occur and should take federal employees at least back to pre-Trudeau numbers, but it is tough for an Ottawa-area MP to run on a platform that will inevitably be headlined by Liberal media as “cuts to federal employment”.

You may or may not approve of DOGE’s intended trillion dollars in savings in US federal expenditures, or of DOGE’s way of going about cutting waste and corruption, but you will not hear election talk of unleashing the potential of DOGE in Canada from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives. Poilievre is not MAGA, and he is not DOGE.

[Marc Nixon @MarcNixon24]

BREAKING NEWS

A Conservative-led government just announced DOGE 🇨🇦 for Bureaucracy

Cut 25% of bureaucracy in 2 years
For every 1 new regulation, 2 must be abolished

Gov. General to audit all future governments

Canada’s finally cutting the RED TAPE

Unleashing 🇨🇦 potential

[Ches Crosbie @ChesCrosbie]

Are you thinking that former central banker, and now lame duck PM Mark Carney, is a financial and economic maestro who has the talent and experience to defend Canadian sovereignty and prosperity?

You may want to compare notes with Jim Balsillie (formerly of RIM/Blackberry). He wrote on Mark Carney recently in the Globe and Mail, saying that Carney’s distorted establishment economic ideas resulted in “a systemic erosion of Canada’s prosperity”, and “will simply perpetuate the status quo, making Canada more vulnerable, less prosperous and less sovereign."

Globe and Mail article is titled "Mark Carney will not make Canada more prosperous". It is paywalled, so I link to journalist Brian Lilley’s explanation instead. https://t.co/HpkduiB683

Balsillie is deeply knowledgeable about high tech commerce in Canada and abroad. AI is the rocket fuel for an exponential expansion in economic productivity, but Carney’s “ossified” economic views focus on taxes and state centralized planning and control, not entrepreneurship and innovation.

Results matter. In five years as Trudeau’s economic guru, Carney produced five years of lost economic growth. Why would five more years of Carney economic guru-ship produce a different result?