Chetan Desale

Full-time Trader | Risk Manager | Markets & Macro | Car Enthusiast | Speed in charts & engines

[Tesla Club India® @TeslaClubIN]

🔋 Tracking Cell Data for 4w EVs in India🇮🇳

New Additions:
⚡️ MG Tomahawk EV
69.2kWh LFP
Prismatic ZEnergy likely
115kW DCFC seen yet

⚡️ BYD Sealion 7 (Dynamic)
71.8kWh LFP
Blade BYD
110kW Peak DCFC

⚡️ BMW i5 LWB
81.6kWh NMC
CATL Prismatic
160kW Peak DCFC

⚡️ BMW i7 50 xDrive / M70 xDrive
117kWh NMC
Cylindrical Unknown
250kW Peak DCFC

⚡️ Porsche Cayenne Turbo Electric
113kWh NMC
Pouch LGES
390kW Peak DCFC

[Chetan Desale @chetand2237]

@RahulChels From Hinjewadi

[Chetan Desale @chetand2237]

@AUTOINTELIN 15 L on road for top model will be sweet deal

[RushikeshH @RushikesH27027]

One of those places that reminds you just how insanely beautiful the Sahyadris are💚

[Chetan Desale @chetand2237]

@MotorOctane Looks like vitara from side angle 🥹

[Graddhy - Commodities TA+Cycles @graddhybpc]

The commodities bull market should last 10 more years.
It is & will be glorious.
A generational, truly life-changing opportunity.

US Treasury announced yesterday that they are doubling its liquidity-support buybacks. And, they with that also I think revealed their pain threshold for the long-end yield.
Hard assets reacted accordingly.

Have been saying for at least a decade that, when CBs move from hiking+QT to cutting/YCC+QE, plus when the bull markets in general equities+bonds are history, and when increasing inflation has made fixed income even more of a non-alternative, then global capital flows into the commodities space will be more than historical.

Note on the chart below that commodities have already turned very big picture versus the US stock market. Means the generational, life-changing opportunity started 6.5 years ago.

Also, been posting on the pink line breakout and backtest, saying the next leg up is in the making.
And, now we see the narrative developing with e.g. the announcement from the US Treasury yesterday.
=> charts front-run the coming narrative

Was the US Treasury´s move yesterday YCC (yield curve control)..? Well, probably not, I think it can be more viewed as inhouse debt management. Which means that they have yet to announced actions that mean pure QE. It will come. And it will be afterburner fuel for the commodities bull market.

For heaven's sake - do not miss the commodities bull market.
It will literally save your life by escaping inflation. #joinus

[Triple Arrow Capital @Triplearrowcap]

Recapping our highest SME conviction ideas derived by going through almost 150 SME results last quarter that we covered on this page till now: (many more in the pipeline)

Use this weekend well, study and watch video, you will definitely learn something. (bookmark it)
Video explainer + equity reports on SME companies 👇

1. Sacheerome ltd
-Moat: Only indian company in Flavours and fragrances manufacturing with rock solid financials
-Video explainer: https://t.co/wmTU61gVdL
-Equity report: Releasing Sunday

2. Neetu Yoshi ltd
-Moat: RDSO CLASS 'A' approval (highest certification in railways) to manufacture safety critical components.
-Video explainer: https://t.co/wYJAwCS9NW

3. Yash highvoltage
-MOAT: Biggest bushings (mission critical) manufacturer in India used in transformers, use to be imported before yash started making. Growth guidance of 40% cagr for next 4 yrs
Equity report link: https://t.co/NgpPvp5pjk

4. Indo smc
-MOAT: Built on high technical barriers to entry and strong government vendor approvals for enclosure boxes for smart meters
-Equity report link: https://t.co/zLVuFY3EJd

5. Techd cybersecurity
-MOAT: Tailwind through DPDP bill passed by government and guidance of 70% organic growth
-Equity report link: https://t.co/3yYRkG0KPg

6. Flysbs Aviation ltd
-MOAT: Only listed private charter operating asset light model with fantastic financials and huge growth runway
Equity report link: https://t.co/UMJbAm0oAj
Video Explainer: https://t.co/q83kPZeUZk

7. Msafe equipments ltd.
-MOAT: There scaffolding rental model giving them 40%-60% margins and growth guidance of 70% with ocf positive numbers
-Equity report link: https://t.co/5WHnhiAFgu
-Video explainer: https://t.co/W0pahDfSdd

8. Shree Refrigeration ltd.
-MOAT: They hold 3 certifications which makes high entry barriers to apply for HVAC defence tenders
-Video explainer: https://t.co/PQEzq7Sjpk

9. KSH International ltd
-MOAT: Largest exporter of specialised magnet winding wires + high entry barriers and long approval cycle
-Video explainer: https://t.co/lQsQKDgYxL

9. Sacheerome ltd
-Moat: Only indian company in Flavours and fragrances manufacturing with rock solid financials
-Video explainer: https://t.co/wmTU61gVdL
-Equity report: Releasing Sunday

10. Apsis aerocom ltd
-Moat: AS9100D and ISO 9001:2015 quality management certifications for manufacturing precision safety critical components for defence, aerospace, healthcare industry. 40% ebitda margins
-Post brief: https://t.co/Tm5MxZHHmI
-Video explainer: coming soon

#sme #ipo #ipoalert #Multibagger

[Chetan Desale @chetand2237]

@vaneshmali Jalgaon madhe Kuthe ?

[Chetan Desale @chetand2237]

@SriniVega Ncd from nuvama are better option provides 10% interest monthly, Provides OD against investment. for more information DM me .

[Akshat Shrivastava @Akshat_World]

The next major bull run is likely to happen in the next 10 years (on these themes):-

1) Robotics
2) Drones
3) Precision surgeries & Space exploration

The way to play this is to do VC style investing.

Let's say your portfolio is 100 units.
You allocate 10 units to these themes.

Then you buy 1 unit of each firm.

Even if 3 go 10X (which is a very likely outcome), you will win big.

I am spending time researching the firms here.
And, will build positions on these themes.

[Chetan Desale @chetand2237]

@charts_breakout Tulip make much more sense from my point of view.

[Chetan Desale @chetand2237]

Crazy

[Amit Paranjape @aparanjape]

ANNUAL REMINDER for media and folks here, as the monsoon's first water discharge from Khadakwasla Pune may happen overnight/tomorrow.

'Cusecs' (Cubic Feet Per Sec) or Cubic Meters Per Sec - is a discharge RATE. NOT a quantity.

TMC, MMC are volume metrics

1 TMC = 1 Thousand Million Cubic Feet

1 MMC = 1 Million Cubic Meters

1 Cubic Meter = 1000 Liters

[Chetan Desale @chetand2237]

@tarunsmehta Too small for 6 fters frame my knee touched handlebar all the time

[Margin of Safety🇮🇳 @InvestorOfJAMMU]

Nifty Microcap is much more attractive.

Q4 EPS growth of Microcap index was 28% YoY.

[Chetan Desale @chetand2237]

@Gs_Wanderer Here is mine , What a machine !!

[Nikhil Tiwari @nctiwari05]

Bombay Dyeing has a market cap of around Rs 2,300 crore. The company is sitting on approximately Rs 1,400 crore in cash and fixed deposits. Just the ongoing Three ICC luxury tower in Dadar has a revenue potential of Rs 6,500 crore. The realization from a single scheme in Dadar is nearly 3x the entire market cap, and margins could be 50%+. Think about that for a second.

This is a Wadia Group company. One of the oldest business houses in India. The textile business is what people associate with the name but that is not where the value is. The value is in the land. Prime Mumbai land. And nobody is pricing it correctly.

Bombay Realty, the real estate arm, has two flagship developments in the heart of Mumbai. Island City Centre at Dadar and Wadia International Centre at Worli. The Dadar land parcel alone has a total development potential of 30-35 lakh square feet. At current Mumbai luxury pricing of Rs 50,000-55,000 per square foot, you are looking at Rs 15,000 crore of gross development value. From one location.

They already sold 22 acres at Worli to Sumitomo Realty for Rs 5,200 crore. That cash came in, debt got wiped out, and the balance sheet is now essentially debt-free. Debt-to-equity is 0.1%. The company has more cash than total debt. That Worli monetization alone was more than double the current market cap.

And they still have land left. As per management interview, they have 800+ Acres (BD + Wadia Group) of land across India, out of that 80 + in Mumbai. Plus the massive Dadar development that is just getting started with Three ICC.

The core textile and polyester business is struggling. FY26 revenue fell 9% to Rs 1,460 crore. Full year PAT collapsed 94% to Rs 27 crore. Q4 showed improvement with PAT up 82% but that was driven by other income, not operations. The operating business is fundamentally unprofitable right now.

But here is the thing. You are not buying Bombay Dyeing for the textile business. You are buying it for the land bank. The textile business is a legacy cost centre that the market is using to discount the entire company. Strip out the operating losses and just look at what is on the balance sheet. Rs 1,400 crore cash. Zero debt. And land in Dadar and other locations worth multiples of the market cap.

If the Wadias decide to go aggressive on real estate development, this company reprices overnight. Even a joint development model where they contribute land and a developer puts in the capital would unlock enormous value. The Three ICC launch is the first real signal that they are getting serious about monetization.

The risk is pace. The Wadias have historically been slow to monetize. The textile business continues to bleed cash. And real estate development timelines in Mumbai are unpredictable. If they take another 5-7 years to develop Dadar fully, the value erosion from the textile side could offset some of the land upside.

Rumours are the next launch is in Thane. With this they wouldn't just be a one off scheme real estate player. New hires are there.

But at Rs 2,300 crore market cap for a debt-free company sitting on Rs 1,300 crore cash with Rs 15,000+ crore of developable real estate in South Mumbai, the risk-reward is heavily skewed in one direction. The market is giving you Mumbai land at a fraction of what any developer would pay for it.

Views are personal. For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

[bodila @51bodila]

JP Morgan headhunted trader for ~$500K/year from Lehman Brothers - after he predicted the bank's collapse under $600B in debt

- he explain why Goldman Sachs hired him at 20 and gave him ~$100M in his first week

27-min video to understand what strategies he uses in his trading that made every tier-1 fund in the world want to hire him

[Ashwin Badrinath @AshwinBadri2]

Indian stock markets are no longer being managed by visionaries. They’re being micromanaged by bureaucrats who treat traders like tax-paying lab rats.

This government keeps bragging about India becoming a global financial superpower while simultaneously strangling the very people who keep the markets alive. Retail participation exploded because ordinary Indians finally took risk, learned markets, provided liquidity, and believed they could build wealth outside traditional systems. And what did the government do? Tax them from every possible angle and regulate them into exhaustion.

STT. GST. Capital gains tax. Constant derivatives crackdowns. Random rule changes every few months. Policies designed by people who probably think option Greeks are a college fraternity.

The hypocrisy is insane. They celebrate record demat accounts on stage while quietly making active participation more expensive, more difficult, and less rewarding every single year.

You cannot build a world class capital market with a third world policymaking mindset obsessed with extraction over growth. Every new announcement feels less like economic reform and more like a desperate cash grab from the only section of young Indians still willing to take financial risk in this economy.

And the scary part? This slow destruction won’t show up immediately. Liquidity dries slowly. Innovation dies quietly. Risk appetite disappears gradually. One day the government will wake up wondering why participation collapsed after spending years treating traders and investors like enemies instead of economic contributors.

[Yuvraj Shah @YuvrajShah02]

Everyone's buying or trading silver right now. But almost nobody can tell you why.

That knowledge gap is exactly what has made me a few crores on this metal.

It's also why most people holding it today will panic-sell at the worst possible moment.

This post is for everyone who genuinely wants to understand silver.

Here's the thesis 95% of people are missing 🧵: