Dave

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@r1bmania @GunnerTas Not the racist guy from South Africa weighing in, great vibes

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@RNDTHOT @ShamashAran @LadyDemosthenes What? I'm not American and as I make clear in this thread, I think the US population is generally still unlikely to accept a woman or a non-white person for president, beyond just the lack of "chance".

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@RNDTHOT @ShamashAran @LadyDemosthenes You're confusing the statistical independence of events with stacking of events. If you roll a standard die 60 times, the chance of rolling a six is always 1/6 on every single roll (Independence). But you would still expect to see a six land roughly 10 times in total (Average).

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@RNDTHOT @ShamashAran @LadyDemosthenes That's relevant for future elections yes, there's no higher chance of a non-white president next time just because there's been fewer than expected before.

It doesn't explain the last 40 though and isn't relevant to the point we were discussing.

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@societyimprover @GunnerTas But would you call someone pretending to be happy miserable and cynical? That seems to better fit someone who was happy but downplaying it

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@CatherinesCouch @arctotherium42 Workers rights progress started with the Combination Acts 1799 and accelerated through 1800s. But in the 1980s Thatcher and her Employment Acts dismantled union power, removed legal immunities, deregulated industries and sold them to priv corps. Modern gig economy is a low point

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@fancy_disgrace @edfsf59832 @defectator @boomhotdog2 The point is that the Maltese people did not want to be part of the UK because they wanted to give up Independence or autonomy. That goes against everything they fought for since 1920s. They wanted the UK to rebuild their most heavily bombed place of WW2. https://t.co/xQ3uXMTyLI

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@fancy_disgrace @edfsf59832 @defectator @boomhotdog2 1947: 75%
1950: 74%
1951: 75%
1953: 80%
1955: 81%
1956 UK Referendum: 59%
1962: 91%
1964 Independance Ref: 80%
1966: 89%

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@fancy_disgrace @edfsf59832 @defectator @boomhotdog2 Significantly lower than the turnout for the independence referendum that followed it, which has the ~80% turnout of every general election of that era, the 59% turnout of 56 was 15 to 20% pts lower than any of these.

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@fancy_disgrace @edfsf59832 @defectator @boomhotdog2 Malta usually has the highest voter turnouts in the world for a non-compulsory nation. The turnout/vote was swayed by the false promise that the UK would rebuild Malta if they voted to be a part of it, and almost half of the population boycotted it.

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@fancy_disgrace @edfsf59832 @defectator @boomhotdog2 For further reading on the near exact 50?/50 political split over British influence on the island this is a good start

https://t.co/btLcNmxjr1

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@fancy_disgrace @edfsf59832 @defectator @boomhotdog2 False. The referendum was widely boycotted and never seen as legitimate. It was only a way to get the British to honour their commitment of restoring Malta after the damage of WW2. They never did and the Maltese people requested independence immediately after.

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@rconde123 @LadyDemosthenes Is it though? As a European it seems like a huge portion of your most popular art and culture internationally is in genres pioneered by Black Americans. It seems like they are under represented politically compared to their cultural impact.

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@RNDTHOT @ShamashAran @LadyDemosthenes Maybe more intuitively: If you have a fake coin that lands on heads 20% of the time, and you flip it 40 times you would expect to get heads 8 times.

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@RNDTHOT @ShamashAran @LadyDemosthenes If for simplicity we say the chance was 0% in 1868 and 42% today, and assumed a linear shift over that time, then the average chance is 21%, and over 39 elections statistically US on average should be on the 8th non-white US president.

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@ShamashAran @LadyDemosthenes If that were true why has every US president except 1 been a white man. All except 3 were protestants.

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@noncrediblepeer @LadyDemosthenes That is exactly what you're doing by denying the deep systematic racism that is clearly still not a solved problem in US politics compared to elsewhere. Why has every US president except 1 been a white man? Why can't you elect Native Americans?

[Dave @Chipzilla2k4]

@devusnullus @arctotherium42 Theres no single British accent. The West Midlands Black Country accent is more certainly the closest accent in the world to old English pronunciations though.