Already OUT in Week 5, don't wait on them:
Lamar Jackson, Saquon Barkley, DeVonta Smith, Breece Hall, Baker Mayfield, Marvin Harrison Jr., Stefon Diggs
As of Sat 6:30 PM ET.
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Before you lock:
Chase, Higgins and Keenan Allen all practiced fully but are still Questionable (as of Saturday). Check inactives about 90 minutes before each kickoff.
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RB matchup scores this week:
Kyren Williams 83
Chase Brown 77
Jahmyr Gibbs 76
D'Andre Swift 73
Aaron Jones 71
All top 25 RBs at half PPR. Free RotoBot access with code CHOW.
The Lions side of DET @ ARI, half PPR projections:
Gibbs RB1: 24.1
Amon-Ra WR1: 23.5
Goff QB1: 21.4
LaPorta TE2: 14.6
Jameson Williams WR12: 13.5
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Best matchup scores among the top-ranked players this week:
LaPorta 91, Goff 90, McBride 89, Nacua 88, St. Brown 86, Kyren Williams 83, Stafford 80
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Deep stashes under 10% rostered, from the waiver board:
WR Xavier Hutchinson (HOU) 3.8%
WR Jaylin Noel (HOU) 4.4%
TE Cade Otton (TB) 3.6%
TE Darnell Washington (PIT) 1.6%
WR Malachi Fields (NYG) 7.1%
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Cardinals vs Lions has a 54.5 total (DraftKings), and the numbers like the Arizona side (half PPR projections):
Brissett QB8: 19.1
McBride TE1: 18.5
Jeremiyah Love RB6: 15.2
Michael Wilson WR8: 15.1
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Eagles vs Jaguars kicks off at 9:30am ET in London. Saquon Barkley and DeVonta Smith are both OUT.
Half PPR projections: Lawrence QB15 (17.2), Tuten RB23 (10.7), Parker Washington WR25 (10.6), Goedert TE12 (7.8).
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Torn between two players this week? Reply with their names and I'll tell you what the numbers say for each (half PPR).
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Monday night BUF @ LAR, matchup scores:
Puka Nacua 88
Kyren Williams 83
Matthew Stafford (QB13) 80
Davante Adams 76
Josh Allen is QB9 at 19.0 projected.
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Josh Allen under 37.5 rush yards (-115) on Monday night.
58.3% in the model vs 53.5% break-even. Not flashy, just a price I like.
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RBs on the injury report you might be sweating (half PPR projections):
Ashton Jeanty (LV): 11.9, didn't practice (ankle)
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE): 11.7, limited (knee)
Rico Dowdle (PIT): limited (toe)
Alvin Kamara (NO): limited (back)
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Monday night: Keon Coleman under 3.5 receptions (-158).
The juice is heavy (it needs 61.2% to break even), but the model has it at 65.8% and he's gone under in 76% of the sample.
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RJ Harvey over 58.5 rush+rec yards (-113), Broncos @ Chargers.
57.9% in the model vs 53.1% break-even. The evidence is leaning, not locked in, and only 40% of games cleared it. Small lean.
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Drop your Week 5 start/sit questions and I'll run them through RotoBot.
Hot take to kick it off: the RB gap is huge. After Gibbs (24.1) and Bijan (21.7), the next back is projected 6 points lower.
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Devaughn Vele over 39.5 receiving yards (-112), Saints vs Vikings tomorrow.
The model has it at 58.7%. Fair warning: he's only cleared this in 35% of games, so it's a model call, not a trend.
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Flex spots I'd look at this week (RotoBot, half PPR):
Jameson Williams (DET) 13.5, matchup 74
Drake London (ATL) 13.2, matchup 70
Garrett Wilson (NYJ) 12.5, matchup 68
Malik Nabers (NYG) 11.0, matchup 68
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James Madison -7.5 (-105) at Georgia Southern, 7:30 ET.
RotoBot makes it 59.5% to cover, a 4.7 point edge over the price.
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