a little rebrand
KalshiData is becoming @cincdata
what started as a page tracking Kalshi’s growth is now expanding to cover the entire prediction markets industry
more platforms, more metrics, more insights
same mission: making the growth of prediction markets easy to track and understand
DMs are open
prediction markets closed last week with $36B in weekly trading volume
- Kalshi accounted for 82.5%
- Polymarket accounted for 14.7%
so the two biggest accounted for over 97% of the total
Kalshi is lowkey doing 22.4% of last year’s total notional volume in a single day
last year’s total: $23.8B
yesterday’s total: $5.33B
we now take this as “normal”, but putting it into perspective…
this is wild
in case you didn’t notice:
@Kalshi launched stock perps yesterday, pushing its daily perps volume to a new all-time high of roughly $2.2B
perps accounted for roughly 37.4% of @Kalshi’s total volume yesterday
perps will eventually surpass predictions in terms of volume
the question is when
The favorite on Kalshi won 479 of 487 midterm races so far.
That’s 98%, forecasted before a single vote was counted.
The markets beat the polls and the models. The data 🧵