CLEATZ 🇺🇸 🏈 🏀 ⚾️

Tracking the money and trends in sports betting & prediction markets.

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The money is all over France for their World Cup match today vs. Senegal

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⚾️MLB Best Bets for Tuesday, June 16

Today’s board has a clean theme:

- Wind OUT at 3 parks
- Rain risk at 2
- Top HR%: Juan Soto 34.4%
- Top Kalshi EV: Christian Walker +24.2%

- Best combined signal: Yankees -1.5

The Bronx is the sweet spot: Yankee Stadium has the strongest tailwind on the slate at +17.5%, and NYY -1.5 is drawing 94% handle / 63% bets with the ML steaming from -143 to -149.

Money + weather agree.

https://t.co/DV0y8N8EQg

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@RossTuckerPod @BrockHuard Great decision! TV will always be there. Coaching your son is a gift.

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Full movers board and "most likely": https://t.co/HHkbKuA7ev

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⚾️MLB Odds & Props "Most Likely" Board for June 16

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Top MLB "Movers" Today

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Largest Home Run props odds movers today

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All data for today: https://t.co/HHkbKuA7ev

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⚾️MLB Odds & Props "Most Likely" Board for June 15

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Today's MLB "Movers"

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⚾️MLB Best Bets for Monday, June 15

10-game slate
- Top HR%: Shohei Ohtani 33.1%
- Top Kalshi EV: Ketel Marte +13.5%
- HR Lottery: +16979

Top plays:
① Ohtani HR +215 — 33.1% HR
② Ketel Marte HR Yes — +13.5% EV
③ Junior Caminero HR +243 — 30.6% HR
④ Hunter Goodman HR +274 — 29.7% HR
⑤ J.T. Ginn O4.5 Ks — top K pick

Power spots: Wrigley, Dodger Stadium, Citizens Bank.

https://t.co/hhVsbBhulZ

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Full data set: https://t.co/HHkbKuA7ev

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⚾️MLB Odds & Props "Most Likely" Board for June 14

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We have some real "Movers" in MLB today

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⚾️MLB Best Bets for Sunday June 14

- 15-game slate
- Wind out / in: 5 / 5
- Top Kalshi EV: +13.7%

Today’s theme: power is back on.

Top plays:
① Fernando Tatis Jr. HR Yes — +13.7% EV
② Manny Machado HR Yes — +8.1% EV
③ James Wood HR Yes — +7.1% EV
④ Nick Kurtz HR Yes — 33.6% HR
⑤ Stephen Kolek O3.5 Ks — top K pick

Wind flipped. Tailwinds matter again.

https://t.co/0qVmWq3ZyR

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⚾️MLB Best Bets for Saturday June 13

- 15-game slate
- 6 wind-in / rain parks
- Top Kalshi EV: Kyle Schwarber HR Yes (+19.7%)

Sharp money is sitting under roofs today:
• Brewers -1.5 — 93% handle / 35% bets
• Yankees -1.5 — 92% handle / 59% bets

Best K look: Sean Burke O4.5 Ks (6.4 proj)

https://t.co/uYU3n3Opws

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🏀Knicks vs. Spurs Game 5 Props & Parlays

- 17 props on the board
- Avg probability: 61.7%
- Avg L5 hit rate: 68%
- O/U split: 8 overs / 9 unders

Top plays:
① Landry Shamet O0.5 REB — 73.3%
② Keldon Johnson O4.5 PTS — 70.1%
③ Julian Champagnie O0.5 AST — 69.7%
④ De’Aaron Fox U1.5 STL — 68.4%
⑤ Wemby U12.5 REB — 63.6%

Full board: https://t.co/PJ2W9LtK2S

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⚾️MLB Best Bets for Friday June 12

- 15-game slate
- 5 wind-in parks
- Top Kalshi EV: +12.6%

Top plays:
① Matt Olson HR Yes — best EV on board, +12.6%
② Julio Rodríguez HR Yes — cleanest air
③ Zack Littell O3.5 Ks — top K pick
④ Bryce Miller O4.5 Ks — biggest K gap
⑤ Mariners -1.5 — 98% handle / 47% bets

Theme today: sharp run-line favorites + wind-in power caution.

https://t.co/KetAiJWcI4

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🇺🇸USA vs Paraguay World Cup market is LOUD 👀

DraftKings bettors are hammering USA:

① USA ML: -105
② 90% of bets on USA
③ 88% of handle on USA

But Kalshi’s 3-way market is pricing it much tighter:
USA: 50%
Draw: 29%
Paraguay: 23%

That’s the fun part of comparing sportsbook action vs prediction market odds. DK shows the public piling into Team USA, while Kalshi is still leaving a pretty meaningful chance that this ends in a draw or Paraguay surprise.

Public side: USA 🇺🇸

Market warning: not automatic.

https://t.co/9bKaKmZluN

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Full data set: https://t.co/HHkbKuA7ev

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MLB Odds & Props "Most Likely" Board for June 11

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Today's top "Movers" in MLB