Paranoid about climate change, passionate about climate impact. 2x Masters in Energy Engineering & Climate Science | My views are my own. IG: @climateintel
Equity-weight that same UK number (poorer communities hit harder) and the loss rises to 15% of GDP. Under strong mitigation, it falls to 1-7%. The gap between best and worst case IS the policy lever. Rising et al. 2026, Nature Climate Change 16:790. https://t.co/KXJOAlrCDk
UK climate damages: 2% of GDP already lost (95% CI 1-4%), rising to 10% (2-20%) by 2100. Half comes from catastrophic and missing risk channels standard IAMs exclude. A blind spot in national risk accounting, not a footnote. Rising et al. 2026, NCC 16:790
10 of 42 climate models show drought risk to global breadbaskets at 2°C warming exceeding the multi-model AVERAGE at 4°C. Worst case: frequency triples, from 20% to over 70%. The blind spot: averaging away tail risk in breadbasket regions. Bevacqua et al. 2026, Nature 651:946
Same paper, fire-weather channel: worst-case model shows Fire Weather Index rising 4x more than best-case model (+6.5 vs +1.5) under identical 2°C warming. Model uncertainty, not warming level, is driving the risk spread. Concerning.
@drkaenzig Do you have any correlated impact on number of people slipping into poverty for 1% decline in GDP? I understand it varies on country basis but any insights into that would be useful
Thrilled to share our latest work with @AdrienBilal! Check out our new working paper:
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗠𝗮𝗰𝗿𝗼𝗲𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝗶𝗰 𝗜𝗺𝗽𝗮𝗰𝘁 𝗼𝗳 𝗖𝗹𝗶𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗲 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲: 𝗚𝗹𝗼𝗯𝗮𝗹 𝘃𝘀. 𝗟𝗼𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗧𝗲𝗺𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲
Read here: https://t.co/TWtYiH5M9b
Thread below👇
Breaking News!
Copernicus finally caught up through the end of January, and it's not pretty.
Overall January, 2024 was the hottest January on record, at 1.65°C above the pre-industrial baseline. January 31st was the hottest day of the month, at 1.93°C above pre-industrial.
No rain in Spain: water and land degradation crises will hit the entire economy, agriculture and tourism. Catalonia will decree this Thursday the emergency phase for drought in Barcelona and 200 municipalities. @UNCCD @GlobalLF https://t.co/3sghH4dlhF
No rain in Spain: water and land degradation crises will hit the entire economy, agriculture and tourism. Catalonia will decree this Thursday the emergency phase for drought in Barcelona and 200 municipalities. @UNCCD @GlobalLF https://t.co/3sghH4dlhF
McKinsey's government work has been steadily rising in the wake of a multidecade hollowing out of government (a trend McKinsey has promoted).
If you examine the gov't response to the pandemic, you’re likely to find McKinsey’s fingerprints everywhere.
https://t.co/HPL7yXhRgj
Consultancies, economist Mariana Mazzucato argues, know less than they claim and cost more than they seem to.
This was our most-read interview of 2023: https://t.co/o6ZcMXPNy9
In conclusion, stay aware of your whereabouts and ensure that residents are connected and are fully aware of the local hazards. Ensure dialogue between developers and tenants for periodic checks, and ensure sufficient budget is allocated for climate adaptation every year.
6. Heat related: Ensure buildings are well insulated to prevent excessive energy consumption for cooling. Look into green roofs on terraces or balconies to prevent direct sunlight. Use white paint on terraces to reflect sunlight. Increase trees/vegetation at road level.