In the past 20 years, it has never happened that the rest of EM got capital inflows when China had outflows. But that is what's happening now. In the year to Q2 2023, foreigners pulled money out of China (red), while they put money into the rest of EM. Decoupling is happening...
So, what are the interesting aspects of this latest media-blowup on semiconductors? The fact that the headlines have 'China' in them do matter, but perhaps not in the ways you might think.
Let's take a closer look...
Worth reading — @CSISFreeman in @ForeignAffairs on what is driving Xi's assertive polices
Basic point: China worries it only has a narrow 10-20 year window to execute its rise, before demographic and other geopolitical factors turn against it.
https://t.co/OhfSBU9YlO
"The days when global decisions were dictated by a small group of countries are long gone," China's Embassy in London hits out at G7 plans to try to counter China's rising power
https://t.co/NGSHkj8oxG
Writing about Victoria's Belt and Road agreements means I get messages from people who quite literally want Dan Andrews executed for treason, as well as messages from people who quite literally want the People's Liberation Army Air Force to carpet bomb Australia, so that's nice
Since late Nov 2020, @US7thFleet has issued press releases for freedom of navigation operations it conducts. Targeted maritime claims include those of Russia, Japan, China, Vietnam, the Philippines, South Korea, Sri Lanka, India, and the Maldives.
Although $20bn a year has been slashed from Australian exports to China, the nation’s barley, coal, copper, cotton, sugar and timber producers have either partially or completely offset this by diverting shipments to new buyers in other countries. https://t.co/fgJEcKJgL9
Nifty graph here from @RolandMRajah - "the total economic impact of China’s trade coercion against Australia seems to have been quite limited thus far"
From now on, Beijing can stop the nonsensical narrative that it’s contributing to SCS peace and stability as it’s been sending only coastguards to do maritime sovereignty and rights protection, and to stop complaining that others are using navies to do the job.
Wow. Family of a British man who died from rare blood clot after taking AstraZeneca vaccine urges people to keep getting the jab.
https://t.co/iSMmgttDmF
“... Russian military intends to provide substantial assistance to Laos going forward, including with training and developing the latter’s armed forces.”
Myanmar's junta tried to block internet access, but "pro-democracy groups shared radio frequencies, offline apps that work without a data connection, and tips for using SMS messages as an alternative to data services to communicate." https://t.co/7YLElnnViK
Keep an eye on this development. This semiconductor-focused effort is likely to serve as a proof of concept for a range of bilateral and plurilateral tech policy initiatives.
https://t.co/wr8441f50X