Adam Schiffer

Poli Sci prof and birder/photographer.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@EsotericCD Not quite "three straight." Tomorrow Doesn't Matter Tonight -- 3rd single from KDinH -- was a minor Top 40 hit.

Also, they're all good songs. But I'm not gonna fight that battle in this venue :)

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

Jim Stimson spends decades refining his measure and Nate just. . .scribbles it.

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

I'm not sure how well this chart will render on Twitter, but anyway — much more explanation about all of this at the link above.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@MeghanMcCain Pretty sure you were alive circa 2001-04. Perhaps you forgot, though, since - as you acknowledge - things can change really fast.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@umichvoter Was it 60-ish percent Latino in 2012? Or is this, at least in part, a compositional effect?

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

What?

[Nate Silver @NateSilver538]

The West Coast and California in particular have more "freshwater" (ideological/idealistic) politics, while the East Coast is more "saltwater" (pragmatic, constraint-driven) and East Coast politics are quite a bit more robust because politics is a saltwater business.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@birdmoder Oh no! That's a tough one. I've been able to resolve most of my big ones, though sometimes it took a while (Common Cuckoo 3 yrs, Lineated Woodpecker 5 yrs).

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@birdmoder Lol. That's like counting the cookies I smelled but didn't taste.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@baggins_bow Total: 233
Yard: 53 (new best)
County: 120
Texas: 195
Lifers: 11

Waaaay under 2023 for total (411) and lifers (119) -- but that's what happens when you don't go to Costa Rica. My only goal was to beat my yard record, and I did it by 5 species.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

We always talk about lying w/ statistics - but here’s a stats guy lying w/ words by describing, with present-tense verbs, a dataset that ended in 1969.

[Kareem Carr, Ph.D. @kareem_carr]

According to a recent paper, the vast majority of academics gain their elite status the old-fashioned way, they were born with rich parents.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@historyrock_ And that's well past the 2-hour mark. Then he comes back out and does Helter Skelter and the last few songs on Abbey Road.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@AlecMacGillis Yeah, I live in her district, and local news is just a skeleton of what it was when I moved here 22 years ago.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@GarryMcGorm @TheExtremeMusi1 They weren't terrible when I saw them -- but definitely one of the bigger disappointments (compared to expectations).

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@El__Bohemio @TheExtremeMusi1 I saw Tom Bailey (doing TT songs) in 2014. Absolutely awful. I can see why they almost never toured.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@nick_weil @ZeroSuitCamus So does Outshined

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

Were it to be a 3-day news story, that would be a massive failure of news judgment. But bias cops gotta bias cop.

[John Podhoretz @jpodhoretz]

So the fact that ABC News and George Stephanopoulos have agreed to pay Donald Trump $15 million for defamation with a false claim of rape is going to be a front-page, lead of the evening news story for the next 3 days, right?

Stop laughing.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@ECampbell360 They need 9 groups to board a plane to Bizmarck?

[hikerdelic @hikerdelic]

Retweet for a chance to win one of the last remaining How High Jackets.

Winner announced tomorrow at 10am, after which the final 37 jackets go on sale (we ordered extras to cover replacements etc)

https://t.co/rq8M450kFn

@Tim_Burgess

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@birdmoder Plus, it contradicts the industry’s main talking point that they are a low-margin business that works hard to lower costs for consumers.

[Adam Schiffer @coldcardinal]

@baggins_bow Splendid or Superb Fairywren (or even a Mediocre Fairywren would do), Pink Robin, any Roller or Bee-Eater. Also any toucan or motmot I haven't seen yet.