CollinMyShot

Neuroscience PhD. Lover of baseball, beer, brains, and the beach. Not necessarily in that order. Formerly Lilbookofcalm

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@JustinMasonFWFB Just repost this for Steamer/BATX/etc in 3 months lol

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@platoons_suck @RonShandler @BaseballHQ @ToutWars Further, it discourages tanking by not only removing a good draft pick, but also making you less attractive to young talent.

And encourages teams to try to play better all season for prospective talent too. Play hard in Sept to show off for the next Skenes, y'know?

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@platoons_suck @RonShandler @BaseballHQ @ToutWars Disagree. If you're a 20 yo 1B and see that Bryce Harper is blocking you for the next 7 years, you might pick a different org. The luxury tax will make teams balance spending on veteran FA vs minor leaguers

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@DSzymborski

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@mike_petriello Come to think of it, why are HR excluded from babip?

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@DSzymborski When you have guys at either end of the 5th/95th percentile like that, do you think it's more likely that
(a) there was a legit skill change between seasons?
(b) they got super un/lucky and if we re-ran the season, would be closer to their 50th percentile?
(c) case to case basis?

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@bdentrek Plus he stole 6 bags this year which is probably a great sign for his knees

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@RyanBHQ A rousing success for the inaugural season. Really enjoyed the Thursday pods!

My only wish is that there was a summary of some kind at the end. Your top 1-3 schedule-based hitter and pitcher targets. It is such a wealth of info that I often forget about Boston by the Nats lol

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@sportz_nutt51 Last year the big SB dudes were Esteury Ruiz, Nico Hoerner, Ha-Seong Kim, Andres gimenez, Brice turang. These feel like loosely reasonable comps and a strong warning against valuing him too highly

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@bdentrek @BubbaBloomPod @RyanBHQ How are your seasons going fellas?

Which leagues are you making the strongest push in these last two weeks and how are you planning to attack the standings in faab this weekend for those teams?

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@Smada_PLive .3 and .6 don't feel right to me either though. Maybe we just need an even number of outs to help with this nomenclature 😅

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@tangotiger The dates were based on the end of that 0/20 skid post ASB in the tweet you were quoting, but otherwise yeah I prolly wouldn't have known to pick those

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@tangotiger Used Adjusted EV on Savant rather than EV50 because I'm still figuring out how to use splits on the site, but...

PCA before 7/27/2024
-xwOBA: .239
-Adj EV: 90.4 mph
-Whiff rate: 34.0%

PCA after 7/27/2024
-xwOBA: .340
-Adj EV: 92.0 mph
-Whiff rate: 29.0%

Verdict: Legit improver

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@RyanBHQ @BaseballHQ Yes, fun. Absolutely. That's the word I, and most people, would use to describe stressing out watching Adam Oller at PIT in September. For sure

[CollinMyShot @Collinmyshot]

@BreakingBen_T I hadn't intended Snell and JoMo to be stashes when I did the draft 6 weeks before opening day lol. And Skenes has literally saved my season in that league, so idk what my takeaway is 😅. Probably no more late signee SP...