Commodity Wx Group

Commodity Weather Group, LLC (CWG) helps its clients manage and mitigate the weather’s important impacts on agricultural and energy commodities.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Hotter/drier period for Spain threatens stress on earlier-planted corn. https://t.co/2taMBNV6sl

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Eastern cool-down may return by 16-20 day per analog progression and some subseasonal guidance.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Watching new trough into Midwest by end of 11-15 day, but models may be too fast, given negative GLAAM tendency continuation.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Another surge of heat for Midwest to East with 80s and 90s for late next week.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Models gained demand mid-to-late next week, due to digging Western trough see-sawing another Eastern warm-up.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Climatological warming trends in the coming weeks will likely limit the odds for the storm track to continue to dive south of the Midwest, as has been common during May. https://t.co/sjGzzurpt4

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

The first national good/excellent ratings for corn came in at 67%, 3% below the 5-year average for week #22. https://t.co/xxh34GXd5H

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Southern to Central moisture connection continues with historical support from positive global wind anomalies with negative tendency.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Cooler than normal waters off upper East Coast may enhance impact of next week's onshore flow.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Brief bal-week burst of heat blasts East PJM, with mid-90s potential for lower Mid-Atlantic.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

GLAAM tendency seems to be driving train currently for U.S. prevailing pattern. Lower tendency, despite continued positive anomalies, are helping to expand heat, even if disrupted at times by active El Niño precipitation.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Models debating heat ridge position by end of 11-15 day: West Coast or North Central U.S.? Either way steers heat away from South and East.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

More East Coast troughing missing ahead?

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

11-15 day models have been capturing ridge position fairly well, but have been missing downstream troughing, causing significant forecast errors for East Coast cities.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

European ensemble shifting U.S. heat ridge westward heading toward middle June.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Midwest rain deficits are favored to expand in early June, but there is essentially no correlation to final corn/soy yields at this very early stage. https://t.co/Eulzj9Pz3k

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Day 15 all-ensemble mean and clusters show western to northern warm to hot potential, with continued weaker South to frequently East.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

North-based warmth supported by combination of El Niño and negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions.

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Active 15-day pattern ahead with both cooler and warmer to hotter periods, but main warmth focused North with more cooler risks South (very niño-like).

[Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx]

Drier trends into early June and warmer/drier ENSO summer correlations elevate risks for the N. Plains/Canada spring wheat, although yield impacts were mixed. https://t.co/GwnUnrKUbx