@0xmaddie_ People say it like it’s a bad thing but the surprising, impressive, counterintuitive bit is exactly that “predict the next token” can do so much
Bitter Lesson undefeated
@samstein@mattyglesias and if you notice that and are frothing at the mouth about it:
a) it's too obvious that it's happening to write off as a conspiracy theory
b) you have less bandwidth to be mad about other would-be conspiracies
@samstein@mattyglesias Important reason for this besides education polarization: There's a big real conspiracy going on in the Trump administration that takes up a lot of the same energy.
A clique of billionaires bought themselves influence and are using it to illegally rip up the government
@colin_fraser there's also a God-of-the-gaps sort of thing here, in that anything that works and produces language will be called an "LLM" regardless of whether it is or includes one
e.g. I think you could argue o1/o3 et al aren't "LLMs" in the early-2023 sense but the word does refer to them
@mattyglesias Moderate issue stances are compatible with media-friendly tactical radicalism: it’s the Trump 2016 playbook
A little more performative vigor without becoming far left would help
@archibald_adam@AstorAaron@SupremacyWoke @JStein_WaPo if you are in line at the DMV, do you believe that closing half the counters would make the line go
1) faster, or
2) slower
@dilanesper@Chuck_Decker55@lxeagle17@foam_boat@PangolinRollin@AdvOpinions I explicitly said in so many words that the votes would be counted and here you are putting words in quotation marks in my mouth that I didn't say.
you're hopeless, you're frankly dishonest and this discussion has no further point
@dilanesper@Chuck_Decker55@lxeagle17@foam_boat@PangolinRollin@AdvOpinions not that there aren't attempts to get MAGA-friendly people on election authorities, but again, decentralization, and moreover blatantly not counting votes is a bad way to cheat: it's obvious, it's visceral, it's easy to grasp, it invites backlash
wouldn't expect it
@dilanesper@Chuck_Decker55@lxeagle17@foam_boat@PangolinRollin@AdvOpinions splashy crises aside, the worry is abuse of state power to disadvantage the opposition, a la Orban and friends
vote counting as such ought to be honest regardless: states administer elections, aren't under federal control, and subverting such a decentralized system is hard/slow
@dilanesper@Chuck_Decker55@lxeagle17@foam_boat@PangolinRollin@AdvOpinions I didn’t *say* it was cancellation of elections for god’s sake. I said there is a *risk* of elections being unfairly tilted against the opposition party.
I think it’s clear you just want to feel superior to other people and there’s no use continuing this
@dilanesper@Chuck_Decker55@lxeagle17@foam_boat@PangolinRollin@AdvOpinions I can tell you a few things I would (and hopefully later this year will) find reassuring:
o) we don’t see pretextual prosecutions of opponents
o) Trump doesn’t openly defy the courts
o) Rs lose special elections this year, especially to the House, and don’t cry fraud
@dilanesper@Chuck_Decker55@lxeagle17@foam_boat@PangolinRollin@AdvOpinions Seeing as you’re obviously a smarter, better, superior breed of being to me, here’s a question: what could you see that would cause you to change your opinion about this?
If you can’t answer that question, you haven’t thought about it hard enough.
@dilanesper@Matt_barlowe@Mark_J_Ryan@lxeagle17 You’re being rude enough, and I find it annoying enough, to come right back at you: have you considered that you, a lawyer, are not sufficiently able to conceive of scenarios having to do with a breakdown of law?
When all you have is a hammer and a sense of superiority…