CM

shotgun on 4th and 1 is an affront to human decency

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@LukaUpdates I can do 10

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@AndrewDBailey Lmfao Tech 1 on Mitch but Wemby does this without a call

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@johnsaponaro J Lo left New York and lived in Hollywood for 30 years. All respect to Jenny in the block but someone that chooses to come here from anywhere and tries to make a life here is just as much of a New Yorker as she is.

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@hyattwatcher colts/mets/spurs lmfao

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@richard_normal Make more money

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@TobiBuehner What is the point of your post if not that

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@NickGeraci4 Choosing to waste energy being upset about this instead of focusing on the great run theyre on is a choice

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@lorenrichmondjr 20k+ more passing yards and 100+ more TDs when it’s all said and done?

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@3lv1s_20 @KnickSpree27 Idk if you watched on Weds but the Spurs aren’t even undefeated against the Knicks lmfao.

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@Buccigross Barbashev / Miller #bucciovertimechallenge

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@GfzviIudb @Fab0o0o Knicks in 4

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@GfzviIudb @Fab0o0o 1) has nothing to do with “actual juice,” 2) I can assure you they don’t play some lame-as-shit gimmick cartoon noise when the PA announcer introduces the other team.

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@GfzviIudb @Fab0o0o It’s not about getting their moment. The Knicks are going to introduce the Spurs at MSG without some gimmick.

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@leb_dct_cultist @Michael_Druggan Why would I play Option A at 5% odds to then go bet $200 at +45000 (0.2% implied probability) to win $90k when I can just cut out the middle step and get the same odds by picking option B from the jump.

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@leb_dct_cultist @Michael_Druggan There’s no reason to dictate every decision you make by EV. In real life, risk tolerance isn’t fixed, it’s variable. You can, and should, consider variables outside of “is this the most optimal strategy in a vacuum”

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@leb_dct_cultist @Michael_Druggan Sure, if you completely change the hypo, the conditions change. I am more risk tolerant in this situation.

Suppose another lottery where Option A is 90% to win 100 million and Option B 50% to win a billion. I’m going against EV here too, for completely different reasons.

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@Michael_Druggan @leb_dct_cultist You don’t live in a math equation dude

[CM @connorrmccarthy]

@leb_dct_cultist @Michael_Druggan $200 doesn’t change my life. $90k does. I’ll sacrifice 10% in EV on the 450x multiple on a free spin.

If you’re paying to spin, any lottery is -EV, right? To optimize, just don’t play. But if you do, foregoing a 450x payout because you’ll lose 10% less in the long run is stupid.