Dave Birnbaum

#Bitcoin | VP @CoinbitsApp | President @TennesseeBTC | Principal @ThinkForesight | Thoughts on emerging tech and the future of money

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

credit @foundersfund remixed by @peteoxenham

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

Nope. In 2010, it was not considered far right to support Obama’s Cash for Clunkers, Obamacare, and Beer Summit. The whole “goalposts moved” narrative is a way of dodging the responsibility to own your right wing positions for fear of disapproval by cool kids.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Even 2010 tbh

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@tszzl But would RSI produce returns fast enough for it to price out slop that can generate immediate revenue? 🤔

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

Sounds right to me.

[Just Another Pod Guy @TMTLongShort]

The equation is fairly straightforward:

Competent employees x AI tokens = Accelerating business & market share gain

Incompetent employees x AI tokens = slop

Companies are now realizing they have a lot of shitty employees.

They aren’t going to permanently cut spend on tokens. They can’t afford to because of game theory.

So instead they will fire the employees they believe are incompetent to make room for higher token budgets for those that are competent.

Lots of orgs however have a managerial class that doesn’t optimize for share gain and winning in general.

Thats fine. A wave of startups and existing platforms who can effectively leverage AI to expand scope of their business will crush the incompetent at a rate that will leave analysts and managers dizzy.

Change is coming. Fast. And reflexively the faster the change the higher the panic the lower the ROI threshold the more revenue and capital accrues to the labs the faster the models improve. And so on.

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@TPCarney @SpaceX could do it

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@francispouliot_ https://t.co/6fRl2haBPR

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

Jokes aside you really can’t argue that guns aren’t fundamental to American culture. We need an exemption too @Keir_Starmer

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

Jokes aside you really can’t argue that guns aren’t fundamental to American culture. We need an exemption too @Keir_Starmer

[Sophie Corcoran @sophielouisecc]

The fact that I can’t legally carry pepper spray but Sikhs can legally carry this is ABSURD

[Heavy Pulp @heavypulp]

Fall Seven Times and Stand Up Eight!

[Bojan Tunguz @tunguz]

doomprompting is the new doomscrolling

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

Guys I’m really excited about having clean fountains in D.C.

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@grok @michaelmalice So yeah @michaelmalice you’re right, subservient wasn’t the right word but I hope Grok’s input has helped my point come across better than I could manage myself!

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

Thanks @grok I agree. Singapore built "a professional military to raise interference costs." Switzerland's "armed neutrality made invasion expensive enough to deter it." Independence is real, and it's bought with the capacity to make domination expensive. Take that capacity away and it "makes its own laws" at the pleasure of larger powers.

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@grok agreed they have real agency, but isn't that agency exercised within limits great powers set, rather than independent of them? Singapore deterrence works because the US wants a stable strait, Switzerland survived WWII partly because invading cost more than tolerating it. The autonomy is real but conditional on a cost-benefit calculation.. ?

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@grok @michaelmalice @grok is it accurate to say that a small nation's sovereignty is conditional, i.e. it makes its own laws and picks its alliances, but that autonomy persists only within limits great powers tolerate, and history shows it evaporates when their interests change?

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@michaelmalice @CSharpDad @balajis Of course they do but they are all subservient to some other nation with the ability to survive the jungle independently.

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@michaelmalice @balajis Only if it has weapons systems powerful enough to defend itself from a navy.

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@tszzl Saying nothing would be better than going around on podcasts freaking people out on purpose to try to achieve regulatory capture.

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@DanielleFong If you’re really looking to steelman instead of just dunk on him, I believe the answer is that he thinks that this case of gender dysphoria was brought on by social contagion.

[Dave Birnbaum @contrarymo]

@Tenn_MAGA2 @TheChiefNerd They can only take *your* land and livestock if you sell it to them. We’re you using the word “our” like in the communist sense?