Q4 through Q2 of 2025 should be life changing.
If you made it this far holding $ETH & $ETH Beta like & $Pepe, $Brett, $Andy 0x68, & $LWOLF 0x67... this is your road map.
Historically $ETH bleeds against $BTC after the halving & then outperforms through Q2 of the following year.
I am fully deployed in premier $ETH beta like the boys club & I will be sitting on my hands until next summer. This trade will be studied for decades. They will say you got lucky, but you didn't. You saw what others didn't and took the risk that 999/1000 wouldn't dare take.
We're in this together. Family will be studied.
#Bitcoin is continuing to do what it always does & I'm pretty exited about this next phase!
🟠 = $BTC Halving
🔴 = US Presidential Election
In each of the 3 cycles shown, #BTC rallies into the halving, chops/bleeds for a few months, moves up into the election, then moons.
Notice the length of the 2016 & 2020 cycles... they're the same amount of days from their bear market lows +/-.
1. Overall sentiment on X is bullish.
2. Why does it seem bearish, then?
Vigilance is something that has protected us from threats from the earliest days of our existence. Negativity bias stems from a few places, this one being the most notable. We're constantly seeking out ways to survive and protect, and we don't even realize we're doing it.
Availability heuristics: think about the days (in markets) that stick out in your mind the most. They were likely large, negative days. We retrieve this information faster because it sticks out/is more notable, having us think they're more likely to happen.
Positions of authority: People use negative tones to grab attention. Again, we're vigilant creatures. We want to know the threats. Just like your cable or local news likes to focus on the negative, so do so many financial commenters. People listen.
Cortisol: potential threats raise it, increasing our physical awareness. But it also amplifies the perceived likelihood of a negative occurrence.
I feel like I plug this book once/year, but it really is one of the best written starting points if you want to begin understanding why we act they way that we do. Like anything else, it takes practice to overcome common pitfalls.
And there is nothing wrong with you. You're just...human.