Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair

Immune from confirmation bias because I’ve never had it

go check out

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

I swear I mostly dislike posting bluesky screenshots elsewhere

But this was too funny not to bring to a wider audience

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

in foreign elections ticket-splitting news, right-winger Seoul Mayor Oh Se-Hoon probably won an electorate that voted for Lee Jae-Myung today

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

it can only vote happen

[Dj @DjsokeSpeaking]

In 2024's primary, the first estimate from LAC had 355k outstanding, and they eventually counted 625k

In 2022, the first post-election update was 3 days after election day, but still undershot. The estimate at that point was 506k left and they eventually counted 628k more

[Dj @DjsokeSpeaking]

In 2024's primary, the first estimate from LAC had 355k outstanding, and they eventually counted 625k

In 2022, the first post-election update was 3 days after election day, but still undershot. The estimate at that point was 506k left and they eventually counted 628k more

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

I do wonder if California could address come of these problems by doing a LatAm-style conteo rápido or an exit poll that actually functions. Alas, we can't have good things

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis alleges fraud in the Los Angeles mayors race against Spencer Pratt.

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

One US-ism for the twitter discourse: calling everything the federal government. We think everything is a federal state when it isn't.

South Korea is extremely not a federal state, it is the Republic of Korea, not the Federal Republic of Korea, smh

[Kangmin Lee | 이강민 @kangminlee]

The DPK (liberal party) delivered sweeping local election victories across South Korea today, flipping even conservative strongholds like Daegu.

With federal government control already in hand, the DPK now dominates every level of power, setting up a left-wing nightmare for Korea in the coming years.

[Dj @DjsokeSpeaking]

My sense is that Raman and Steyer both will bare minimum get relatively close

The way CA counts ballots adds a lot of unpredictability bc sometimes batches just don’t do what you expect

Raman’s path is probably easier than Steyer’s atp

[hwdg @hwj0104]

I think I can call it; Jeon Jae-soo (DPK) will flip the city of Busan.

The call came as Jeon flipped Dong-gu, where LJM lost to KMS by 15%, with vote share gap of 1.2%.

[Dj @DjsokeSpeaking]

So it looks like the NYT (AP) estimate is understating outstanding ballots by at least 60k in riverside

AP’s estimate also would imply 287.5k votes outstanding in San Diego, but the county is projecting 375k

Seems like a lot of vote left out

[♊︎ 𝓟𝓸𝓴𝓲𝓙𝓪𝓬𝓲 🧋🌴💖💜💙 @PokiJaciii]

LA MAYOR UPDATE (THIS HAS EDAY VOTE CENTER)
🔵Raman +4819
🔴Pratt +4594

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

@PokiJaciii Pratt lost vote centers this badly? Okay

[Dj @DjsokeSpeaking]

Why are so many incumbent Rs getting cooked in South Dakota?

Do Rs just permanently hate incumbents lol

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

On this trajectory, Pratt is not going to even end up particularly close to the runoff

[Matt Hamilton @_hamilton_matt]

11:29pm update:
Raman makes more inroads on Pratt's second-place spot:

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

@AnonymousLeftie Ah shit typo’d, he’s cooked

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

Missoula you have stunned the nation!!

(Forstag did very well on Election Day to make a comeback)

[Sean @demsocsean]

AOC backed Sam Forstag takes the lead in MT-01

[Sean @demsocsean]

AOC backed Sam Forstag takes the lead in MT-01

[Ellis Bates @ElliscbIV]

San Francisco 10:45 PM PST vote drop:

🟦 Steyer 41% (+18)
🟦 Becerra 23%

Countywide shift since the VBM report:

🟦 Steyer 31% → 33% (+2%)
🟦 Becerra 25% → 24% (-1%)

[Adam Carlson @admcrlsn]

Anyone who is saying it’s over for Steyer or Raman *at this moment* doesn’t know ball.

[Dj @DjsokeSpeaking]

also this seems horribly flop for Pratt?

maybe there are still a lot of vote center votes outstanding but would not be shocked if Raman overtakes him

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

I think this is some Dem Tea Party happening, Bera sub-40% as the incumbent

[Centrist Reform Alliance Youth Party Chair @corncobanalysis]

Yeah this is a good start for Wiener, Saikat not so much