Some follow-up conversation explores some potential reasoning:
* Compliance with H1B regulations
* Compliance with public institution hiring reqs
* Testing the market
https://t.co/SSE4SRUQD6
@Markzandi@MiddleWayEcon Paper by Hunter Ng estimates 21% rate of "ghost" jobs. Low marginal cost of advertising a job opening incentives employers to list jobs they don't intend to fill immediately, in order to maintain their talent funnel. https://t.co/VbJz4vblSl
@DragonsteelBook I give BackerKit slack. It is legitimately difficult to simulate this kind of load in advance and identify which part of your server specifically will become the bottleneck and break. It's not always something you can be 100% ready for before it happens, even if you plan for it.
@DragonsteelBook Shoot this kinda sucks for the project launch. I myself don't mind waiting until it's up so I can order, but every second BackerKit is down another person moves on and one less gorgeous leatherbound gets printed. :'(
I have been pretty successful for the last 6 months not thinking about the "without its people" option, but this last week has made that impossible. Difficult right now not to get depressed.
Disturbing tendency to conflate anyone who believes in any kind of AGI risk as a "doomer". If that's the definition, Sam Altman is a doomer. Ilya Sutskever is a doomer. Helen Toner is a doomer. Shane Legg is a doomer. I am a doomer. Guess what? We are importantly different doomers. None of their opinions are my own, nor their plans, nor their choices. Right or wrong they are not mine and do not proceed from my own reasons.
@JustAnkurBagchi@ESYudkowsky Just to add to the below, those that have been following along just know that Eliezer speaks very precisely, and this is a very complicated topic that loses much when spoken about simply and in layman terms. Eliezer isn't trying to be opaque, in fact he's trying to be precise.
@Markzandi Modification to CA law now mandates cities build out their affluent areas with high-density residential. Could unlock a ton of new housing starts this year. https://t.co/3zRUf4lWyn
@Markzandi Love this. I see lots of "we're probably already in a recession, it just hasn't been called yet" sentiment in my circles, but it's all emotion and no data. Talk-ourselves-into-recession is a force of its own, but not the end all be all for now.
@Markzandi Question for the podcast: You fast forward 2 years and learn that, in that time, NBER had declared that a recession had happened, and that it began on date X. Now, what are the odds that date X has already passed? (ie X is prior to June 21, 2022)
@Aella_Girl A huge portion of early coding experience revolves around simply learning the *names* of the concepts involved. Once you know that, it becomes much more easily to Google answers and discussions about the specific concepts you're learning.
Happy #WinterSolstice!
From here on the days get longer and at Spring Equinox (March 20) they will be growing longer the fastest.
Also a reminder: seasonal lag will still delay the COLDEST day of the year anywhere from another 15 days to 2½ months depending on your location.