this is how hyperliquid destroyed crypto
before hyperliquid everything in crypto was based on speculation
people bought based on hype, adoption and possible usecases
but now hyperliquid exists and generates billions in revenue, there is a fair way to value cryptocurrencies, and most projects just don't generate any economic value
now finally people are starting to see and understand that most of the tokens out there are vaporware slowly trading to zero
sorry not sorry, hyperliquid
> be random guy on the internet
> makes decisions purely on vibes
> misses a few huge opportunities in crypto
> wonders why his life keeps looking random
> stumbles on a weird article about probability theory
> realizes every decision has expected value
> realizes markets are just Bayesian machines
> realizes most "genius trades" are survivorship bias
> realizes most people size bets completely wrong
> realizes he’s been playing the game with no math at all
> opens Polymarket
> starts thinking in probabilities instead of opinions
> suddenly the world starts looking like a giant EV calculator
turns out most life outcomes are just probability problems people never bothered to model:
> career decisions
> investments
> relationships
> risk
all of it is just EV + Bayes + Kelly
> the crazy part?
none of this math is complicated
> you can literally learn the models in this article
> use AI to help you apply them
> and completely upgrade how you think in a few months
but most people will keep making decisions the same way
> vibes
> emotions
> scroll Twitter
> one lucky success story
and wonder why nothing compounds
this complete autist Joe Hahn watched the Bond movie and thought to himself "yeah man this exact melody, just reversed, and then added loop beat in the end would slap no?"
then they keep it as an easter egg for over two decades?
absolutely insane
i am passionate about the fact whoop bracelets are genuinely the most vapor goyslop ever created (albeit by marketing geniuses)
“bro you should get a whoop bracelet so we can see each others sleep score” bro i am fucking good on that.
“bro it really helps health tho” - guy who isn’t absolutely diced. gonna need before and after pics directly correlated to your purchase of a whoop bracelet if you say anything positive about it.
“it’s helped me track my sleep” dude i do not need a bracelet to tell me i slept like DOGSHIT for the 5th night in a row i can tell because i want to off myself, or vice versa.
you also look like an absolute cornball. zero material progress in physique or bank account has EVER been made with one of these.
my buddy who’s a diabetic is the only one who gets a pass. the rest of you are lesser.
Life is fucking electric bro. Don’t fall for the doomer shit. Thats for losers and normies scared of their own shadows. Walk around like God sent you and smile at everyone you see. Spread light and abundance. Build things and take chances. This is the best time in history!
The biggest challenge in trading is being motivated enough to keep looking, but disciplined enough to rarely touch.
The area of maximum risk rewards the constant clickers while the area of maximum opportunity rewards the careful pickers.
On a personal level, as an old cat watching the game he loved change so drastically it even adds to the complexity of the flexibility required to win.
I won't go deep and bore you with my critiques on the current onchain environment, the draining fee structure, deployer culture and the saturated slop, but I will say that in my mind it's still clear that we are entering the general area of maximum opportunity.
And don't be fooled, there is no difference in net worth - me and your favorite CT nerds are just like anyone else, sitting in TG/Discord chats being constantly offered delightful sub 100k coins or high leverage flip opportunities.
So here I am, writing to you and to myself a reminder - the checklist Im using before deciding to buy anything these days, I call it the Triangle of Sadness:
1. The Shiny Thing. Uncharted territories yield great returns - as imagination is the best fuel of overvaluation, and men are naturally optimistic. Example: 402x meta.
2. Solving a problem dramatically better than competition. Pretty straightforward but often hardest to catch as it requires deep understanding of what is out there, its limitations and weaknesses. @Lighter_xyz is a great example.
3. "Criminal activity." A phrase many love to use in relation to anything going up without them, in reality - a situation where team/founders have the benefit of others victory on the short term for their long term plan. Best example is @Aster_DEX (0 real traders on the platform and an obvious Binance washer yet delivered a liquid 20x).
When you see one of these in the time ahead, slam it and take maximum risk.
The less you click, the clearer and easier they are to identify. You have more time to research, and you are less fatigued emotionally and spiritually from 14 year old terrorists in your orderbooks all day.
When I was younger I thought that being greedy when others are fearful is a skill, but as I grow I realized its more of a privilege, obtained by having ammo when things get boring, which is a result of being careful when others are clicking.
I AM ABOUT TO WALK INTO THE MOST ABUNDANT BALANCED WEALTHY AND SUCCESSFUL PERIOD OF MY LIFE. I NATURALLY ATTRACT GOOD FORTUNE, AND I AM WEALTHY IN MORE WAYS THAN ONE. I GIVE MYSELF PERMISSION TO PROSPER, AND I HAVE THE POWER TO BUILD THE LIFE THAT I DESIRE. GOD WILLING ❗️❗️