17 years after the white paper, the Bitcoin network is still operational and more resilient than ever. Bitcoin never shuts down.
@SenateDems could learn something from that.
@zerohedge True.
That is why Bitcoin is based on energy: you can issue fake fiat currency, and every government in history has done so, but it is impossible to fake energy.
MORGAN STANLEY WANTS TO DEPLOY 16,000 ADVISORS TO GET YOUR BITCOIN
Morgan Stanley’s Global Investment Committee just dropped a Special Report telling its 16,000 financial advisors - who manage over $2 trillion in client assets - to start adding crypto to multi-asset portfolios.
They now describe #Bitcoin as “a scarce asset, akin to digital gold.”
This isn’t fringe anymore. One of Wall Street’s biggest wealth managers is officially warming up to $BTC.
The same advisors who once warned you about crypto… are now being told to help retail buy it.
Don’t let them front-run your stack. 🟠
Bitcoin is currently 528 days past its last halving (which occurred on April 19, 2024), and when analyzing the history of previous cycles, we notice a slight variation in the number of days between each halving and their respective ATHs: 371 days in 2012, around 525 days in 2016, and 546 days in 2020.
This subtle trend of lengthening suggests that we’re in the final stages of the current cycle, which aligns strongly with other fractal and market cycle metrics, such as the Fractal Cycle and the Max Intersect SMA, both of which also point to an imminent top.
If BTC reaches 548 days post-halving, that would land exactly on October 19, 2025. Hypothetically, extending to 561 days would place the top on November 1, 2025! Considering that the 4-year cycles remain consistent, we’re at most 30 days (or less) away from the price peak of this cycle.
Good luck to all holders and traders – let’s welcome the final bull run! 🚀📈
Hypocrisy from banks is causing problems for crypto again.
Banks want to remove your ability to earn rewards when holding stablecoins.
Competition is good for consumers. They're just mad that they're losing.
Big banks don't need another bailout, they need better products.
I think we'll see $1M per bitcoin by 2030.
Regulatory clarity is finally emerging, the US government is keeping a BTC reserve, there's a growing interest for crypto ETFs, among many other factors.
(Not financial advice of course, it's impossible to guarantee)
People are still underestimating Ethereum.
They don't know America is coming onchain and it's using Ethereum as its ledger.
I demonstrated that Ethereum is leading in real world asset market share but let's add another dimension.
Let's talk Growth.
In the coming decades I believe Ethereum could become the root of trust for $100 trillion in American capital markets.
America onchain
People think America becoming the Crypto Capital of the world is just a meme. I understand if you thought that - most narratives don't have substance - especially from politicians. I was also skeptical.
But this one is proving true.
Look at the actions:
- Genius Bill signed = tokenized dollars/treasuries
- SEC's Project Crypto = tokenized stocks
- Every FinTech & Wall Street = all in on crypto
This is just the start.
In short, tokenization has been mostly illegal in the U.S. through 2024 but not only has it become legal in 2025 it's now being pushed by the U.S. government in an effort to modernize U.S. markets. Wall Street and FinTechs are incented to make this happen.
American Capital Markets are coming onchain.
Nothing stops this train.
So how much capital will America tokenize?
U.S. % of global marketshare:
- Stocks: 49% ($62T)
- Bonds: 40% ($58T)
- Corporate bonds: 34% ($11T)
- Government bonds: 51% ($29T)
- ETFs: 70% ($12T)
- Money markets: 61% ($7T)
Total: $120T (non-overlapping amount)
The U.S. will tokenize it's $120 trillion in a multi decade transformation. As the U.S. leads, all global capital markets will follow.
The U.S. dollar is the world reserve currency.
U.S. treasuries are the world reserve asset.
Ethereum will become the root ledger for American Capital markets and the world.
The market isn't pricing this in.
Ethereum = world ledger
ETH = world reserve asset
Stripe's Tempo and the newly announced corporate chains are more positive than negative for Ethereum.
Why positive?
On the surface, these reinforce EVM network effects (almost all use EVM) and brings more assets onchain, which will increase flows from tradfi to Ethereum. Assets that were in banks will be one step closer to Ethereum - this is good for ETH.
Perhaps more impactfully, it differentiates the credibly neutrality of Ethereum - in a world of Circle's Arc, Stripe's Tempo, Tether's Plasma, and the dozens of corporate consortium L1 copycats sure to follow, in this war of all against all none will want to advantage the other, so all will ultimately use the neutral L1 of Ethereum as the only thing they can all agree on.
I do think high TPS alt L1s face a more serious threat from these corpo chains. Speed, throughput, distribution - hard to compete against a Stripe L1 on these, the only moat is decentralization and openness, yet these alt L1s are pressured into the innovator's dilemma of chasing TPS and losing moat.
But it's not all rosey for Ethereum. There was a naive belief that all corporate chains would become L2s as the obvious choice, but the results so far remain mixed. Ethereum is winning maybe 50% of new chains that matter - Coinbase, Robinhood yes - Circle and Stripe no.
Why aren't all these becoming L2s?
Probably because the benefits of shared liquidity (L2s fragmented, where's L2 interoperability?) and security (how much is really needed for RWAs?) haven't overcome the profit incentives (L1s get fat tokens) and technical limitations (L2s still not cheap/fast/private enough) sufficiently for L2s to win over these new corpo chains.
Still 50% is a solid win rate, and there's the promise that as L2 interoperability is solved and L2 tech improves some of these L1s may later convert. This is not a given, Ethereum will have to execute it's roadmap and fight for this outcome.
There's also the question - will any of these corpo L1s matter? None have in the past, but then again we've never had the stablecoin regulation and TradFi buy-in that we've have today. It is different this time.
If i was a bank i'd be worried.
Tldr;
- Net bullish Ethereum
- Bearish some alt L1s
- Very Bearish banks
President Donald Trump: “I created the Department of Government Efficiency, headed up by Elon Musk, who is here tonight. Thank you Elon. He didn’t need this. He really didn’t.”