Everything is still going to plan.
Patiently waiting for that $BTC RSI higher low to lock in, and then I start my DCA.
Can be this week, or take another month. I don't care.
Bring it on.
I love the cadence of this chart
Bitcoin % of Supply in Profit/Loss
As I said previously, you start looking for major market cycle bottoms *after* they cross, not before.
They just crossed.
Such a great chart for keeping people on the right side of the market in midterm years
The targets keep getting lower, and lower, and lower.
Last cycle, $BTC never retested the first candle FVG.
This cycle, it's at 44.9K.
If we repeat prior price action, that gap may never get filled, and we may not see a retest of $40K at all.
$BTC has never dropped below its "Electrical Cost" during a bear market bottom.
Current Electrical Cost = $48,694
Until something catastrophic happens, like Covid or a global recession, Bitcoin will most likely bottom around $50,000.
A look at #Bitcoin historical bottoming pattern using Fibonacci levels
2013 - 2017 - 2021 - Present
Fibonacci instant reversal zone has never failed to be the EXACT bottom.
Will this time be different?
The final wizz Ta
Chart wont be valid anymore once we break below 55 k #btc
I refuse to believe that we will go to 45 k or lower. So here are my thoughts for Q3 /Q4 2026
Summer range between 74/60 k
Saylor has one more chance to unload his bags at 100 k.
What do you think?
You NEED to listen to me right now.
We are in LATE-cycle territory for the overall markets / $SPY.
Bearish divergences are forming with EACH new marginal high.
VOLUME is drying up, candles are getting smaller. This is HESITATION from the bulls.
Momentum is starting to FADE.
Markets will STILL keep going up long-term, but SHORT-TERM, we're in the 8th - 9th inning.
I expect a 5% HEALTHY pull-back.
What should you do?!
1. Keep your AI-winners!!!! Trim 20% to lock-in GAINS, never sell fully. They are WINNERS for a reason
2. Look for CONTRARIAN buys. The stocks that have been LAGGING. They will go down LESS, or even outperform.
3. BALANCE your portfolio with AI leaders + AI laggards + defensives!!!!
All you need to do is SURVIVE, and you will be rewarded with the BIGGEST bull-run in history over the next 5 years.
- Keep companies and consider trimming 20% like $ARM, $NBIS, $MRVL, $MU, etc.
- Slowly positions in companies like $CRWV, etc.
- Build positions in lagging companies like $NOW, $NKE, etc.
- Build defensives like $WMT, etc.
Get ready to buy amazing companies like $AMZN, $GOOGL, and many many others soon.
$BTC has 3-4 months to push as low as possible before the market finds its bottom.
After that window, the bottom is probably in.
As I've said before, I'm a buyer at these levels and continue adding to my spot holdings.
When BTC reaches $65K, I'll close the remaining 25% of my swing short that was opened at 77.8K.
$BTC bearish W pattern continues right on schedule.
At this pace, the bottom callers will be proven wrong within a week and price will retest the 200-week SMA at $61,866.
Every bear market, price has retested both of the targets below.