Iron +223% on "No"?
The platform will effectively be able to connect traditional financial intermediaries and legally serve U.S. users.
However, to become a DCM, Polymarket must file Form DCM along with all required documentation. Even a fully correct application takes the CFTC at least 180 days to review, and after approval there’s typically an additional 1��2 months of technical setup before launch.
When can Polymarket realistically enter the U.S. market?
Optimistic scenario: not before summer 2026.
Baseline scenario: launch 6–12 months after submitting the application, assuming everything goes smoothly.
Realistic time range: 1–2 years.
Probability of launching before the end of 2025: around 1–3%
Reasons:
Launch requires full DCM status, and historically this process has taken months, never weeks.
There are no cases where a brand-new platform received DCM approval in 30 days — it has always been a lengthy cycle.
Approval through an FCM simply allows interaction with intermediaries;
the DCM approval itself is separate and absolutely required for launching markets.
Even if Polymarket submitted everything six months ago
A launch “within a month” is still very unlikely. After receiving DCM status, the platform must still:
integrate with FCM brokers,
connect to reporting repositories,
run and submit regulatory test suites,
set up clearing,
finalize market design and infrastructure.
This typically adds another 1–3 months.
@Polymarket @PolymarketTrade
The MON token has gone through its TGE phase and is already trading on Tier 1–2 exchanges at around $0.025. If you were eligible, check your wallets — the tokens were distributed without a claim. The price has now risen to $0.032. I haven't sold any from the sale yet; I'm planning to hold because of the tech.
The project has launched its mainnet, and staking is available with an APY of about 14%, a 10% fee, instant activation, and a withdrawal period of 2 epochs (~11 hours). @monad
I entered the Polymarket market MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? — NO.
I expect the site to get overloaded in the first minutes, so a large share of users won’t be able to deposit in time.
Pre-deposits open at 17:00 MSK — let’s watch.
@megaeth@Polymarket