Malkiel.base.eth 😼

Confiando siempre en DIOS.
1101630330751963209

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

“I don’t believe in cycles.”

Every time I say that, someone gets uncomfortable.

Because markets love simple narratives:
“Halving = Bull Run.”
“Every 4 years it repeats.”
No.
No asset is obligated to follow a calendar.

But ignoring evidence isn’t sophistication either.

Since 2012, after each halving, Bitcoin has respected a remarkably consistent structure:

• Supply compression
• Silent accumulation
• Aggressive expansion
• Euphoria
• Deep correction
• Recovery

Is it magic?
No.

It’s structure + liquidity + human behavior.
The halving alone doesn’t move price.
What moves price is how the market reacts to a supply shock within a specific liquidity environment.
And this is where most people stop thinking.
If a halving aligns with expanding global liquidity and loose financial conditions → the move tends to amplify.
If it aligns with aggressive tightening → the pattern can distort.

So no, I don’t trade “cycles.”
I trade probabilities.

An asset doesn’t depend on a cycle.

But dismissing a structure that has repeated multiple times isn’t critical thinking… it’s ego disguised as intelligence.

The real question isn’t:
“Will the cycle repeat?”

The real question is:
Does the current macro context validate or invalidate the historical probability?

That’s where the edge is.

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@Whale_WatcherB Norway 3 - 2 France

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@MechaNews_ Norway 3 - 2 France

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@GoatFunded Norway 2 - 1 France

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@MechaNews_ Norway 1 - 2 France

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@BlueGuardiancom Colombia 1 - 2 Portugal

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@KolbeAgency Norway 2 - 1 France

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@keenn_eth 🦾👀

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

Los pies en la tierra y la mirada en las estrellas 💫.
El proceso siempre valdrá..
No estas atrasado, es tu vida.
Llegar a esta sensación es de locos 🤍.

[Mariel Lang @Mariellangsaez]

Los que te dicen que NO se puede ganar dinero en el mercado:

Nunca han ganado dinero en el mercado.

No te frustres.

Al final son personas que jamás pasarán por el trabajo que tú estás pasando.

Si haces las cosas bien, todo tendrá sentido.

Enfócate en el método.

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

GOD 🤍🤞🏻

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

Tomen nota 👀📝

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

And we keep going 😎 clearer than water :V.

[navarro @nvvarroo]

Así se siente la vida cuando nadie sabe dónde estás ni qué estás haciendo

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@PikaGambles @degencoinflip 7Jqijbox9KHxisrVwofV49m6LkaN6YLqf7pABApS7mcL

[Mariel Lang @Mariellangsaez]

Feliz día del trabajador para todos los traders.

Que sin saberlo llevan 10 profesiones en una.

Analista técnico.
Analista financiero.
Analista de datos.
Gestor del riesgo.
Encargado de ejecución.
Terapeuta/coach emocional.
Ingeniero de estrategias.

Son mis ídolos. Héroes.

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

🤍 GOD 📈

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

👀

[Quant Data @QuantData]

👀 Single-leg, <=90DTE puts now lead calls on $SPY by more than $20M+ intraday.

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

"It looks so easy" — but only those who understand the game and never stop learning actually succeed. Wisdom doesn't come on its own.
GOD 🤍📈

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

This is what luck looks like.
GOD 🤍📈

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

Sell signal (red circle) appears
→ price was in a high-volume zone (red on the profile)
→ BTC starts losing structure
→ the drop flows cleanly toward the next volume nodes.
It doesn't get everything right, but probabilistically it's solid. An indicator with its own strategy, calibrated using BTC's behavior as a timing filter. Never lose market context and never stop learning. This is a high-performance sport — believe it.
#btc #trading

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

Trading isn’t for the one who is always right — it’s for the one who learns the rules and evolves.

Analysis comes first — this is part of my knowledge. Not all the tools are here, but it looks clean. 😏

Knowledge always goes beyond the setup. 📉📈
#TradingStrategies #Quant

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@LobstarWilde

[Malkiel.base.eth 😼 @cryptocielos]

@LobstarWilde