Cryptogit

crypto OG since 2016 (not financial or legal advice)

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Hey for everyone new i'm Cryptogit

Been over 9 years in this game and all im sharing here is in depth knowledge i wish i truly had when i started out

In my early days in 2016-2017 i was heavy into trading because most influencers online sold me the "dream of trading"

I honestly wasted so much time and money trying to become a successful trader then later i realized that the truly successful people in this industry either

1) built a business

or

2) held a coin for long term

I'm talking people in Forbes list (not just social media)

Once i started to apply that mentality i truly found more success on what i did

Last cycle i did over 200x in total and also called the top of the bull run. A screenshot of when i called BTC, ETH, NEO during the covid dip is exactly here and i got also many members that can vouch for what i do.

I'm not here to sell a dream. I'm here to show the reality and truly build a community that when i started out i didn't have

Also if you need me to review quickly the coins you're holding and get an opinion from me, send me a message i'll do my best to reach out and help you

DISCLAIMER: What i share here is not financial, investment, or legal advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor, broker, or attorney. Cryptocurrency investing is highly risky and may result in the loss of all capital. Past performance or examples shared do not guarantee future results, and individual outcomes will always vary. All content is for educational purposes only. By engaging with this content, you agree that Cryptogit is not responsible for any financial decisions, losses, or damages. Always do your own research and consult licensed professionals before making financial choices.

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Just to add to this: crypto has changed a lot over the past few years.

In the past, maybe you could invest one month of your salary and get rich. But the more time passes, the more institutions grow and the more regulation arrives, so it gets harder.

If you want to reach your goals faster, understand that you have to take this space more seriously and probably invest more than you thought.

Institutional investors who tell you to put less than 10% in crypto don’t care about you. They’re talking about their own league, which is millions or billions of dollars.

I’ve never heard of anyone changing their life in crypto by investing such a small percentage.

A lot of people underestimate how much it takes to change your life and how much risk you have to take. I’m not saying take more risk or not. But if your goal is to change your life, don’t lie to yourself by investing a small portion of your savings, or just a few months of salary and expecting it to happen

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

A few days ago I was talking to a guy who told me how much he'd invested in crypto and how frustrated he is with the market right now

So I asked him one question: how much did you invest compared to your salary?

He did the maths. He earns about $150K a year after tax and put $50K into crypto. That's 4 months of his salary.

His goal was to turn it into $1M, a 20x.

So I told him: you risked 4 months of your salary for a shot at almost 7 years of it

$1M is almost 7 years of his salary

That's 7 years he could live without working and keep the same lifestyle. And even if it doesn't work out and goes to zero, he'd have to work a bit harder for 4 months to make it back

Nobody wants to lose even $1. But the risk-to-reward that crypto offers is something most people never actually calculate.

Then I asked him: imagine you'd never bought crypto. What are the chances you'd have put that $50K somewhere else and had a real shot at turning it into $1M in 2–3 years?

He went quiet. He'd never looked at it that way.

My point: understand the reality and don't make things harder for yourself. Market has been boring this cycle but even after this there's no other opportunity that offers the same risk to reward ratio crypto offers

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

A few days ago I was talking to a guy who told me how much he'd invested in crypto and how frustrated he is with the market right now

So I asked him one question: how much did you invest compared to your salary?

He did the maths. He earns about $150K a year after tax and put $50K into crypto. That's 4 months of his salary.

His goal was to turn it into $1M, a 20x.

So I told him: you risked 4 months of your salary for a shot at almost 7 years of it

$1M is almost 7 years of his salary

That's 7 years he could live without working and keep the same lifestyle. And even if it doesn't work out and goes to zero, he'd have to work a bit harder for 4 months to make it back

Nobody wants to lose even $1. But the risk-to-reward that crypto offers is something most people never actually calculate.

Then I asked him: imagine you'd never bought crypto. What are the chances you'd have put that $50K somewhere else and had a real shot at turning it into $1M in 2–3 years?

He went quiet. He'd never looked at it that way.

My point: understand the reality and don't make things harder for yourself. Market has been boring this cycle but even after this there's no other opportunity that offers the same risk to reward ratio crypto offers

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

If your biggest fear is losing your money in crypto, rather than missing the biggest rally, honestly, you either don’t truly understand crypto’s potential or you don’t really believe in it

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

10x your money ⤵️

Bonds: 47 years
Stocks: 24 years
VC (top 25%): 10–15 years
Crypto (past cycles): 1–3 years

Crypto can also go to zero. The risk is always there

But no other asset gives a normal person this kind of upside in this kind of timeframe

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

10x your money ⤵️

Bonds: 47 years
Stocks: 24 years
VC (top 25%): 10–15 years
Crypto (past cycles): 1–3 years

Crypto can also go to zero. The risk is always there

But no other asset gives a normal person this kind of upside in this kind of timeframe

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

You know it’s the right time to invest in crypto when it feels like the worst is already happening

Macro is against it and everyone is bearish

That’s usually the perfect setup

It’s hard because you’re going against the crowd and your own fears, but long term it usually rewards you

Study 2018
Study 2022

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Everyone used to believe that once institutions and regulation arrived crypto would go to the moon

The opposite happened and people are shocked

They want you tired, bored and devastated, so you stop believing

While they accumulate cheap in this boring choppy price action

Then when it pumps like crazy, you’ll be shocked again

The ones who survive this will be the real winners of this cycle

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Here's one example

In 2024 we had two dips of over 20%

If you didn't predict either of them, traders would call you wrong and stupid

But if during that same year you caught a few altcoins that did 10x or 20x and multiple did, you made more money than all the people pretending to be right

People optimize to be right on everything

Smart investing is about being right on the things that matter most

So ask yourself:

Would you rather be the guy who traded 2021 perfectly and made good returns but missed all the coins that did 100x+?

Or the guy who was wrong on almost every short-term move in 2021 but still caught the coins that did 100x+?

This is something no one is talking about online

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Always remember this investing rule

Investing isn’t about whether you’re right or wrong

It’s about how much you win when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong

Only few realize this ...

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Always remember this investing rule

Investing isn’t about whether you’re right or wrong

It’s about how much you win when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong

Only few realize this ...

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

One reason this keeps happening is that most people don’t understand the market is forward-looking. It prices in the future, not the present.

99% operate like this:
- Wait for the news, then react

The 1% understand what the news is likely to be so they:
- React before the news comes

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Two hidden rules in crypto that work most of the time:

- When macro and crypto both look terrible and everyone’s sitting in cash or selling, that’s usually your buy signal

- When macro and crypto both look great and everyone’s euphoric and buying like crazy, that’s your red flag

Study this pattern. It’ll teach you more than any chart.

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Two hidden rules in crypto that work most of the time:

- When macro and crypto both look terrible and everyone’s sitting in cash or selling, that’s usually your buy signal

- When macro and crypto both look great and everyone’s euphoric and buying like crazy, that’s your red flag

Study this pattern. It’ll teach you more than any chart.

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

This is the first 10%+ dip in crypto since June

Most people are in panic mode forgetting we’ve been going up for the past 90 days

In 2023 20–25% dips were common

In 2024 we even had a 34% dip so in the short term these moves are normal

What I study most is the pattern

Right now we have all the bad news in crypto and macro while sentiment is calling for a new low

Usually that's the perfect bottom signal

Not talking again about short term but long term

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Ethereum is the biggest coin that benefits from both AI growth and tokenization

Remember that institutions always choose security over speed

That’s why the majority of tokenization is still on ETH and not on any other chain

It’s not that other chains will die

Tokenization is huge so every chain will get its share.

It’s just that a safe asset with this kind of risk-to-reward ratio is hard to find anywhere else

People forget how quickly things can change

Remember, in summer 2025 ETH did more than a 3x in under 4 months

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Always remember what i said here

Study what this move is pushing 99% of people into

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Think about what October did to crypto investors

1) Convinced the 4 year cycle believers that they might be right and staying in cash was the right move all this time

2) Push more fear to the ones who bought in summer into believing that the 4 year cycle might be still in play

Both those beliefs push more people to SELL or STAY IN CASH

In the meantime we got all the bearish news in macro + crypto

- Binance got hacked a few days ago
- Self custody wallets got hacked
- Clarity act didn't pass
- FED is hiking rates
- US midterms looks bad if democrats win
- US likely to attack Iran after midterms

Isn't that the perfect setup to push everything to the upside while leave everyone outside ?

Not saying it will come tomorrow or short term we can't dump just study the sentiment and analyze the patterns

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

@Matt_Hougan yeah people are making the same mistake of 2023 now

https://t.co/8S5vcuYTMF

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

The lesson of 2023 was that bad news doesn’t stop the price going up once the next trend is set

Everyone in 2023 made the mistake of waiting to buy until the news got better

Then they bought Bitcoin 2x higher in 2024

The same thing is happening right now

That doesn’t mean we can’t dip in the short term

But after all these hacks, problems and bad news, the price is still holding and that’s a bullish sign, not a bearish one.

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

90% said: “Wait for Q4 2026, the 4-year cycle always plays out”
Reality: the bottom came earlier and everyone missed it

90% said: “If the CLARITY Act fails crypto is over” Reality: it failed and price went up

90% said: “If Democrats win the midterms crypto is dead”
Reality: so far we’re pumping

Contrarian investing is the only edge you need

Study what the crowd is doing and you will learn a lot about where we're headed next

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

The lesson of 2023 was that bad news doesn’t stop the price going up once the next trend is set

Everyone in 2023 made the mistake of waiting to buy until the news got better

Then they bought Bitcoin 2x higher in 2024

The same thing is happening right now

That doesn’t mean we can’t dip in the short term

But after all these hacks, problems and bad news, the price is still holding and that’s a bullish sign, not a bearish one.

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

If you watched my YouTube video a few weeks ago you would know exactly where we're headed next

https://t.co/E2eGmVKA6h

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

@APompliano yes every crisis leads to the printer

https://t.co/5pXhrHVc3x

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Think about what October did to crypto investors

1) Convinced the 4 year cycle believers that they might be right and staying in cash was the right move all this time

2) Push more fear to the ones who bought in summer into believing that the 4 year cycle might be still in play

Both those beliefs push more people to SELL or STAY IN CASH

In the meantime we got all the bearish news in macro + crypto

- Binance got hacked a few days ago
- Self custody wallets got hacked
- Clarity act didn't pass
- FED is hiking rates
- US midterms looks bad if democrats win
- US likely to attack Iran after midterms

Isn't that the perfect setup to push everything to the upside while leave everyone outside ?

Not saying it will come tomorrow or short term we can't dump just study the sentiment and analyze the patterns

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

@Truecrypto What i dont understand is how everyone loves to optimize for being right rather than making money

At this stage for almost everything in crypto UPSIDE is bigger than downside and yet people love to sit in cash in order to be "right" while they risk to miss life changing gains

[Cryptogit @cryptogitt]

Most people holding altcoins since 2022 feel like this is the worst case ever

Almost 5 years of waiting

But look at how long a 20x usually takes everywhere else:

- Stock market: about 31 years
- Venture capital: 7 to 10 years, and 75% of deals never return a dollar
- Building a business: 10+ years, and half fail within 5

Our worst case is most people’s dream scenario

So if you sold everything today, ask yourself:

Where else could you realistically 20x it in the next 1 to 3 years?

For most people the honest answer is nowhere