$BTC 5th March 2026 thoughts ⬇️
Market Structure
Right now Bitcoin on the higher time frames is still bearish. On the weekly chart the market is forming lower lows and lower highs, which means the overall trend is still pointing downward.
Bottom Formation
A proper bottom in the market takes time. It usually doesn’t happen in a single move where price suddenly pumps and the bottom is formed. Markets normally take time to stabilize and build a base before a real trend reversal happens.
Short Bounces Are Normal
If price moves up for short periods or we see sharp bounces, that is normal. These moves can happen because of short squeezes or liquidity grabs. They do not automatically mean that the market has bottomed.
About Missing the Bottom
There is no need to panic and think you missed the bottom. Even if Bitcoin moves toward the 83k–88k area, it can still be considered a bounce within a larger bearish structure because the higher time frame still shows lower highs.
Long Term Plan
My personal plan is to accumulate Bitcoin slowly between the 62k and 42k range using DCA for the long term. I have already started buying a little and will continue accumulating if price moves into that range.
Focus Going Forward
For long term investing my main priority is Bitcoin accumulation. At the same time, short term and intraday trades will continue as usual, and I will keep sharing charts and updates as the market develops.
$BTC
Time to squeeze out some of the shorts that missed the drop.
Expecting a potential reaction around last week's CME gap, followed by a move down toward the P-ATH zone likely kicking off what could be a frustrating consolidation phase.
If we get macro confirmation, the zone I've marked with the magnet becomes the likely target. We'll reassess based on how price reacts there.
The logic right now is simple: sell the highs, buy the lows.
-My thesis on altcoins finding a bottom here hasn't wavered. They should start flipping soon, and certain ones will likely begin outpacing the market.
We're sitting at price levels where BTC dominance is losing steam, and capital typically begins flowing back into alts around these zones.
Pretty confident a lot of people folded and sold at a loss already, we just saw a Saturday bloodbath comparable to FTX or the COVID collapse.
Fear's completely justified. My stance stays the same.
One more thing: monthly EMA structure is still intact and bullish.
$BTC
#Bitcoin has reached a critical point on the local timeframe that is either confirming our previous diagonal idea, or moving towards another high for a potential WXY combo.
Bears are going to get crushed in the upcoming weeks once distribution is over.
New ATH, soon.
$BTC $USD
Chart 1: USDT.D
Classic bullish market structure. Expecting one more sharp leg up in USDT dominance before a reversal.
Will sync this move with BTC to get better entry points.
Chart 2:
Expecting a similar fractal to play out reach supply, deviate, and then reject.
USDT.D bullish = BTC bearish
Short term, expecting more bleeding before reversal.
$BTC | HTF Outlook
Expecting a move down to 91.6k–85.1k by the end of the month, which should complete our Corrective Wave C. This would likely set up December–January for some relief to the upside before another push lower.
For now, price is holding the previous low at 101,045, leaving room for a potential retest of 104,500, possibly even up to the 108,227 region.
Setups I’ll Be Taking:
📈 Long here → TP 104k–108k
📉 Short 108.2k → TP 91.6k–85.5k
Entry / TP / SL coming your way.
$ETH
Irony at its finest. I used to be one of the biggest bears on #Ethereum. Now, in a sea of bears, I find myself bullish.
Playing against the crowd has always worked in my favor.
Bullish.
$BTC
We’re only down about 20% from ATH and already talks about a bear market? Fair enough, but that's just fear mongering at best. I've been bearish when it was needed, and bullish when it was needed. This is why we must exhaust every scenario and remain neutral as possible.
Every prior correction in this bull cycle was not only deeper, but also carried far more potential for a bear market than the current move.
What we’re seeing now is more consistent with distribution on low volume within one larger range since August.
"Timing" the market:
Shifting your attention between BTC and altcoins is an important skill for any trader.
I've used this to time my trades on $BNB and $ZEC in the past month.
There are 3 market environments to rotate between:
1. Aggressive BTC ATH breakouts
When this happens, BTC has most of the attention and liquidity.
-> Best play: Rotate into BTC trades. Altcoins will lag here.
2. BTC Upper Range Consolidation
The market has established some strength, and lagging altcoins will start to see inflows.
->Best play: Trade altcoins that showed the most strength before the BTC pump. The ones already at key breakout levels perform best.
3. BTC Lower Range Breakdowns
When BTC loses bullish structure, market confidence falls. Traders become risk-off on altcoins because these see outflows first.
-> Best play: Look for breakdown plays on altcoins that showed weakness on the way up. These will fall the hardest.