Trying to rebuild my profile because X decided to X me for NO REASON. Cautionary Tale for any Influencer with a moderate amount of followers. @IntractAmbassador
Look how accurate this Cup Finder (by LonesomeTheBlue) Trading View indicator can be. 👀🤯
It's FREE starting from the lowest tier subscription.
I typically measure the depth of the cup and apply that distance to the rim of the cup. Voila.... you have an important level marked out. Sometimes the exact trend reversal point.
https://t.co/K6HKnN8pbV
#TradingView #Crypto #StockMarketCrash #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoRecovery
#Bitcoin
This trend line for $BTC has marked EVERY major bottom over the last 9 years.
2017 = Bottom
2018 = Bottom
2020 = Bottom
2022 = Bottom
Bitcoin has touched this trend line again after 4 years, so ..
2026 = Bottom?👀
$btc - back to lower timeframe
A local short entry (to short the local bounce)
Now with my macro bias out of the way of still expecting 60k to hold as a bottom, I am meanwhile looking to trade the forming range on the lower timeframes, which a range is indeed what I expect to happen next.
Don't get me wrong though, I am macro still bullish. But confusing timeframes is a novice mistake.
And I am moving fast here alongside volatility (the definition and mindset of staying "in tune" with the markets).
So before confusing you with shorts, here a quick update on my biases:
➡️Weekly: bullish (60k is the bottom and likely holds as the bottom) Action: looking to ad spot buy 2.
➡️Daily: range (I expect a range to form on the daily) (looking to trade the range coming).
➡️Hourly: shifting to bearish (given we are bouncing and likely to form a range, that means retests of the low coming and shifting to a bearish hourly bias until resolved).
This short is an initial short entry to capitalize on the local bottom shorts, on the premise of all the bears who cause max bearish sentiment on the time.
That bearish sentiment comes with a high density of bottom shorting, not just aggressive shorts, but long term bags being "hedged". Usually happens at the worst times, right into the low sub 62k.
Hence, upon every forming bounce, they already close, as emotional as they are initiated. And the stronger the bounce, the more they will be trapped (and close).
That liquidity of closing shorts = buying which means, free liquidity for us to capture the actual short. One that institutions play as a slow build, with an initial first.
Exactly what I am doing, targeting the local wick as a backfilling exercise. Not going in full yet all at once, but getting involved as the pressure of the bottom shorts rises.
So do not let this short confuse you. I expect the bottom to hold, but my daily bias is to expect a range, and when a range is forming and a bounce is taking place, that means a range high is nearing, one that can be used to build shorts back down locally.
I also marked out some levels of sensitivity that are of interest to compound.
It's time to build the streak back up again.
$btc
Next steps with current trades
Monitoring local bitcoin price action further.
After a long time, you have seen me finally flip bullish, and we wasted no time as Yesterday, we built a clear cut idea of a long for the first time in a long time.
That idea turned into action which has now turned into a nice and clear trim at 1.2RR at 73.7k, which we detected as clear local liquidity resorption in live time and we marked as likely the top of the low timeframe range at least.
We are still ranging between that and the entry level of the long, 73k.
With the trade now risk free and the 700$ "guaranteed" signature caught, any move lower and deeper into the zone is where I am interested to long again.
I am also still holding the shorts from 82.3k. Looking to TP the (time-based/range-based) finalisation of this downtrend which I believe will stop exactly into the purple zone, I am still looking for an optimal TP.
Acceptance above 74.2k, is also what I see as early confirmation of the large move up we are planning, and is what I will use to aggressively close the last 10% of the 82.3k shorts (mind you, they would be up 15RR plus so even 10% is not worth losing to an uptrend especially when I am bullish), acceptance is very key.
Now I hear you. "Acceptance above", is as dubious as a house with no doors. That's why I prefer acceptance level on a wick basis whenever possible (such as our 2450 level on each, never reached, price dropped, clean bias level). This level is not an acceptance level with a wick basis, so how to frame it instead? Let's talk about it shortly because framing this is key to avoid confusion and execution anxiety, and it's never done in enough detail on X.
It's also hard to explain the full mechanics without showing the full step-by-step evaluation process. The good news is, the process is always the same. And there is a relatively new concept I have developed which is acceptance based on order book aggression.
For the ones curious, try mapping out local directional order book depth aggression on a chart, and filter out the times it persists directionally with a 3:1 factor for 1 exact candle on the minute chart, above an acceptance level.
You'll see it (almost) never fails. So takes a bit of work and a lot of back-testing, but the same method can be used again and again and again.
Any-who, with no further detail, I believe the classic way is also still quite decent: high OI, high delta, high volume and some dubious interpretation "to taste".
A bit more dubious, a bit more indicators and tabs open, but it still works reasonably.
So the 74.2k level is key for me, acceptance above means the market sends fully to 76k, and because of my plan and high timeframe view, should accept us above 76k too after some testing, which means 80k's and yearly highs imo, and a very good look of this bottom consolidation, very thin liquidity above and we can start chatting about 100k. Ideally, with ranging locally first (creating doubt but also filling those voids).
But without jumping the gun, we're here for now, and are just building longs on the basis of our plan.
In all other cases, we IMO are still in the consolidation stages of our purple zone, the zone I think we indeed bottom, and we should actively trim longs as soon as we get our $700 move, and re-long if revisited lower, whilst keeping shorts open (if you still hold them per instruction, if not, that's okay).
Indeed respecting how we are ranging between our entry level of 73k and 73.7k, our exact trim level, likely the local low timeframe top.
To summarize, we are in a bottoming process, still looking to break local consolidation, which we marked as locally topped at 73.7k with a key trim, But, we start trading longs, while we look for an optimal TP on the final short, as the final footsteps in the sand remaining from all the downtrend trading we did off the 82.3k high, before the bullish storm finally blows them all away.
Closing off all the short business, and transitioning into long business.
The way I aim to trade key reversals.
NFA.
THIS IS VERY CONCERNING 🚨
US consumer stocks just fell below 2008 financial crisis lows relative to the S&P 500.
This has only happened twice before, the 2008 crash and COVID.
Both times it signaled a collapsing consumer.
This Guy Turned $620 Into $4.2 Million
Wallet 0x158 has been holding 2,000 $ETH for over 10 years.
Bought in the Ethereum Presale at just $0.31 per coin.
Moved it 2 hours ago.
That is a 6,800x return.
Diamond hands win. Always.
Is $ETH Setting Up The Cleanest Long Of The Cycle?
The Roadmap Is Simple:
🟢 Buy Zone: $2,000 – $1,400 (Demand)
🔴 Resistance: $4,700 (Breakout Trigger)
➡️ Upside: $10K → $15K → $20K
Every Major ETH Rally Started From A Zone Just Like This.
The Smart Money Doesn't Chase Green Candles.
They Buy The Boring Range Nobody Talks About.
What's Your Cycle Top For #ETHEREUM ? 👇
NFA & DYOR
Most traders study indicators.
Very few study past super-performers.
That’s a big mistake. 📈
If you want to find future monster stocks, you need to understand how past winners behaved BEFORE they made their huge moves.
These patterns repeat. Over and over again.
Here’s what I study in past leaders 👇
1. Relative Strength: The best stocks already outperform the market before the breakout. They resist pullbacks and keep making new highs while others struggle.
2. Catalyst: Big winners usually have a strong reason behind the move. Huge EPS growth, sales acceleration, new products or services — institutions need a story.
3. Tight Patterns: Before the next leg higher, the stock often gets quiet. Volatility contracts. Volume dries up. That’s where the opportunity starts.
4. Institutional Volume: Monster winners almost always show repeated accumulation days. Funds leave footprints.
5. Trend Alignment: Most huge winners appear during strong market periods. You want the wind at your back — not in your face.
6. EMA Behavior: The best stocks respect EMA8 and EMA21 during their advances. Learning this changes your exits completely.
I spent thousands of hours studying past winners.
Not because I enjoy nostalgia.
Because I want to train my brain to recognize opportunity in real time.
Most traders look at random stocks every day.
I study repeatable characteristics.
That changes everything.
The market rewards preparation.
Not prediction.
I’ve taught this process to thousands of traders.
You can learn this too.
🇺🇸 Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, said it out loud:
Your kids will work 3.5 days a week. Live to 100. AI is going to cure cancer, stop car crashes, make new materials, save lives.
"Life will be better."
He's not a tech bro dreaming out loud. This man runs the money.
Video: @clashreport
Bitcoin sells off when Treasury yields stay above 4%.
Watch the 10-year yield closing below that level for three days straight. That's when ETF buyers typically return and push BTC and ETH higher.
"The long-term thesis of crypto is fiat."
(via @join)
“Honestly? We’re genuinely terrified” — Flipper Zero creators reveal massive new Flipper One swiss-army knife PC and ask community for help https://t.co/DOvDfI824I
A smart trader who made $1.4M on $ALON spent $12.6K to buy 5M $VIRL over the past 2 days, right after $VIRL was added to the https://t.co/DrKlYnPPqY ecosystem page.
Wallet: 27EBxSVVNK3a1M2tkM6gTJMG9QxvV6Dc4BJEZHynQQ6g
Garrett Jin(#BitcoinOG1011short) is back longing $BTC!
Garrett Jin deposited 39.5M $USDC to #Binance, then used a new wallet (0x92ea) to withdraw 40M $USDC from #Binance and deposit 10M $USDC into Hyperliquid.
He then opened a 5x long on 504.4 $BTC($59.11M) and also bought 42,524 $HYPE($2.33M).
Liquidation price: $62,656.49
https://t.co/6sIffxj2Hl